Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The UAE formally announced its exit from OPEC and OPEC+, effective May 1, 2026, ending a 58-year membership, citing production quota constraints and national interest as the deciding factors.</li>
<li>As India's third-largest crude supplier with ~10% import share, a quota-free UAE could structurally lower India's energy import bill, ease CAD pressure, and directly lift refiner margins.</li>
<li>PSU oil marketing companies (IOC, BPCL, HPCL) stand to be the most direct beneficiaries; but the macro read extends to the rupee, inflation trajectory, and India's terms of trade.</li>
</ul>


The UAE formally announced its exit from OPEC and OPEC+, effective May 1, 2026, ending a 58-year membership, citing production quota constraints and national interest as the deciding factors.
As India's third-largest crude supplier with ~10% import share, a quota-free UAE could structurally lower India's energy import bill, ease CAD pressure, and directly lift refiner margins.
PSU oil marketing companies (IOC, BPCL, HPCL) stand to be the most direct beneficiaries; but the macro read extends to the rupee, inflation trajectory, and India's terms of trade.


How UAE's Exit from OPEC Will Reshapes India's Energy Sector?

<ul>
<li>Escalating West Asia tensions and near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz have exposed India's ~10-day LNG buffer, triggering a draft PNGRB policy mandating a 10% buffer at terminals.</li>
<li>India imports 36 BCM of LNG annually, the 4th-largest globally, with fertiliser, CGD, and industrial sectors structurally dependent on it, yet holds zero strategic gas reserve.</li>
<li>A multi-year capex cycle for above-ground LNG tanks, FSRU-based buffers, and pipeline densification will disproportionately benefit Petronet LNG, HPCL, GAIL, Swan Energy, and Gujarat State Petronet.</li>
</ul>


Escalating West Asia tensions and near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz have exposed India's ~10-day LNG buffer, triggering a draft PNGRB policy mandating a 10% buffer at terminals.
India imports 36 BCM of LNG annually, the 4th-largest globally, with fertiliser, CGD, and industrial sectors structurally dependent on it, yet holds zero strategic gas reserve.
A multi-year capex cycle for above-ground LNG tanks, FSRU-based buffers, and pipeline densification will disproportionately benefit Petronet LNG, HPCL, GAIL, Swan Energy, and Gujarat State Petronet.


Gas Insecurity: India Imports 36 BCM of LNG Annually, Stores Almost None of It!

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio performance in 1Q26 was +17.83% versus its benchmark performance of +1.79% for an outperformance of 16.04%.</li>
<li>Over the last year, AAHP's Sharpe ratio is 4.39 with a mean excess annualized return of 69%.  The portfolio has a gross and net exposure of 132% and +30%, respectively.</li>
<li>The war has changed outlooks for economies and markets in the region.  Accordingly, we reduced risk in the portfolio and adjusted our long/short exposures to reflect this new reality.</li>
</ul>


The Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio performance in 1Q26 was +17.83% versus its benchmark performance of +1.79% for an outperformance of 16.04%.
Over the last year, AAHP's Sharpe ratio is 4.39 with a mean excess annualized return of 69%.  The portfolio has a gross and net exposure of 132% and +30%, respectively.
The war has changed outlooks for economies and markets in the region.  Accordingly, we reduced risk in the portfolio and adjusted our long/short exposures to reflect this new reality.


Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio (March, 2026)

<ul>
<li>So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.</li>
<li>Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.</li>
<li>Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.</li>
</ul>


So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.
Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.
Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.


OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

<ul>
<li>The Iran war has effectively severed India's primary LNG supply corridor, triggering output cuts at at least three domestic urea plants and a force majeure notice from Petronet LNG.</li>
<li>LNG accounts for 80% of fertiliser sector gas demand in India. A prolonged disruption arriving just ahead of kharif planting risks higher subsidy burdens, costlier imports, margin compression for companies.</li>
<li>Gas-Dependent urea producers (Chambal, GSFC, NFL, RCF) face near-term earnings headwinds; phosphate-focused names like Coromandel could face sulphur input inflation.</li>
</ul>


The Iran war has effectively severed India's primary LNG supply corridor, triggering output cuts at at least three domestic urea plants and a force majeure notice from Petronet LNG.
LNG accounts for 80% of fertiliser sector gas demand in India. A prolonged disruption arriving just ahead of kharif planting risks higher subsidy burdens, costlier imports, margin compression for companies.
Gas-Dependent urea producers (Chambal, GSFC, NFL, RCF) face near-term earnings headwinds; phosphate-focused names like Coromandel could face sulphur input inflation.


How the Iran War Is Squeezing India's Fertiliser Sector?

India

Petronet LNG is an Indian oil and gas company primarily engaged in the import, storage, and regasification of liquefied natural gas (LNG). It operates LNG receiving and regasification terminals, with major facilities in Dahej, Gujarat, and Kochi, Kerala, supplying regasified LNG to various sectors including fertilizers, city gas distribution, refineries, and power generation. The company was founded on April 2, 1998, and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.

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Petronet LNG (PLNG IN)

How UAE's Exit from OPEC Will Reshapes India's Energy Sector?

UAE exits OPEC, potentially lowering India's energy import bill and benefiting PSU oil marketing companies, with broader implications for the...

Nimish Maheshwari

Gas Insecurity: India Imports 36 BCM of LNG Annually, Stores Almost None of It!

India's vulnerability to LNG supply disruptions prompts new policy mandating 10% buffer at terminals, benefiting key players like Petronet LNG and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio (March, 2026)

While we do not believe that the Iran conflict is close to a resolution, we believe that the U.S. side needs to reach one, and that will eventually...

David Mudd

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

How the Iran War Is Squeezing India's Fertiliser Sector?

With LNG flows from the Strait of Hormuz near standstill and Qatar's mega urea plant dark, India's fertiliser companies face a feedstock shock at...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

How UAE's Exit from OPEC Will Reshapes India's Energy Sector?

​UAE exits OPEC, potentially lowering India's energy import bill and benefiting PSU oil marketing companies, with broader implications for the...

Nimish Maheshwari

Gas Insecurity: India Imports 36 BCM of LNG Annually, Stores Almost None of It!

​India's vulnerability to LNG supply disruptions prompts new policy mandating 10% buffer at terminals, benefiting key players like Petronet LNG and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Alpha Hedge Portfolio (March, 2026)

While we do not believe that the Iran conflict is close to a resolution, we believe that the U.S. side needs to reach one, and that will eventually...

David Mudd

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

How the Iran War Is Squeezing India's Fertiliser Sector?

With LNG flows from the Strait of Hormuz near standstill and Qatar's mega urea plant dark, India's fertiliser companies face a feedstock shock at...

Nimish Maheshwari

UAE exits OPEC, potentially lowering India's energy import bill and benefiting PSU oil marketing companies, with broader implications for the...

India's vulnerability to LNG supply disruptions prompts new policy mandating 10% buffer at terminals, benefiting key players like Petronet LNG and...