IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

WuXi XDC Cayman  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.
In WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.6% as of Oct 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -6.8ppt week on week, led by energy, health care, materials and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.6% as of Oct 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by -6.8ppt week on week, led by energy, health care, materials and offset by consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 13th): Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom, China Southern

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viva-biotech-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27850:1" rel="noopener">Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK)</a> is raising RMB1.06 billion (~$150 million) through offloading ~24% of its equity interest in Viva Shanghai, the primary entity of the company's CRO business.</li>
<li>The consideration implies a revenue ratio and gross profit ratio of 4.90x and 11.04x, respectively. The ratios are at the similar level of the average ratios of other comparable peers.</li>
<li>Going ahead, Viva Biotech is planning to spin off its CRO business for separate listing in the A-shares market. IPO application is expected to be filed by June 30, 2024.</li>
</ul>



Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK) is raising RMB1.06 billion (~$150 million) through offloading ~24% of its equity interest in Viva Shanghai, the primary entity of the company's CRO business.
The consideration implies a revenue ratio and gross profit ratio of 4.90x and 11.04x, respectively. The ratios are at the similar level of the average ratios of other comparable peers.
Going ahead, Viva Biotech is planning to spin off its CRO business for separate listing in the A-shares market. IPO application is expected to be filed by June 30, 2024.


Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK): Fund Raising Through Offloading Stake in CRO Arm

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.4% as of May 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, utilities, financials and offset by health care, information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua, China Life, Citic Bank, CEEC, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.4% as of May 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, utilities, financials and offset by health care, information technology, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua, China Life, Citic Bank, CEEC, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 19th): China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$844.5 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, East Money Information, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Gree Electric Appliances, China Merchants Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 28th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$844.5 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, information technology.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, East Money Information, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Gree Electric Appliances, China Merchants Bank.


Northbound Flows (Apr 28th): Kweichow Moutai, East Money, CATL, Gree Electric Appliances, CMB

China

Pharmaron Beijing Co., Ltd. engages in discovery, development, and manufacturing spectrum for small molecule drugs, cell therapies, and gene therapies as well as providing testing services for medical devices and clinic research. The Company offers laboratory, clinical development, chemistry manufactory and control, and other services. Pharmaron Beijing conducts businesses based in China.

Price Gauge
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Pharmaron Beijing (300759 CH)

WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 13th): Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom, China Southern

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for　Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK): Fund Raising Through Offloading Stake in CRO Arm

Viva Biotech is raising $150M through offloading 24% of its equity interest in Viva Shanghai, the company's CRO business. Going ahead, the company...

Tina Banerjee

A-H Premium Weekly (May 19th): China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 28th): Kweichow Moutai, East Money, CATL, Gree Electric Appliances, CMB

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, East Money Information, CATL, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

WuXi XDC IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 13th): Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom, China Southern

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK): Fund Raising Through Offloading Stake in CRO Arm

Viva Biotech is raising $150M through offloading 24% of its equity interest in Viva Shanghai, the company's CRO business. Going ahead, the company...

Tina Banerjee

A-H Premium Weekly (May 19th): China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 28th): Kweichow Moutai, East Money, CATL, Gree Electric Appliances, CMB

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, East Money Information, CATL, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for　Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.