HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CXO sector plummeted after Biden has officially signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. In our impression, all sharp declines of CXO were mostly due to geographical conflicts/overseas policy disturbances.</li>
<li>We remain conservative about CXO’s outlook. If investors still choose to invest in CXO, there are some questions to ponder based on the general environment of Sino-US confrontation.</li>
<li>As tensions between China and the US escalate, it may no longer be possible to think on the basis of "common sense". Investors are advised to think “outside the box”. </li>
</ul>


CXO sector plummeted after Biden has officially signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. In our impression, all sharp declines of CXO were mostly due to geographical conflicts/overseas policy disturbances.
We remain conservative about CXO’s outlook. If investors still choose to invest in CXO, there are some questions to ponder based on the general environment of Sino-US confrontation.
As tensions between China and the US escalate, it may no longer be possible to think on the basis of "common sense". Investors are advised to think “outside the box”. 


About the CXO Plunge After Biden Signed National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. </li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. </li>
<li>These insights also flag those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. 
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. 
These insights also flag those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.


Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 25th August 2022

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.
In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.


China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.</li>
<li>Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.
Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.
Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.


Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharmaron-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28428:1" rel="noopener"></a>Pharmaron’s share price plunged after the release of the estimate for 2022 interim results, even dragging down the entire CXO sector, which reflected the attitude of Mr Market.</li>
<li>One important reason for low net profit growth is related to the development strategy - Even if Pharmaron achieves  “integration”, its advantage/profit margin could largely shrink due to overcapacity/fierce competition.  </li>
<li>Pharmaron can only achieve V-shaped rebound by making breakthroughs in CGT CXO to boost valuations and expectations on outlook rather than pursue the strategy of “integration” as in the past.</li>
</ul>



Pharmaron’s share price plunged after the release of the estimate for 2022 interim results, even dragging down the entire CXO sector, which reflected the attitude of Mr Market.
One important reason for low net profit growth is related to the development strategy - Even if Pharmaron achieves  “integration”, its advantage/profit margin could largely shrink due to overcapacity/fierce competition.  
Pharmaron can only achieve V-shaped rebound by making breakthroughs in CGT CXO to boost valuations and expectations on outlook rather than pursue the strategy of “integration” as in the past.


Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) - The Story May Have Changed

China

Pharmaron Beijing Co., Ltd. engages in discovery, development, and manufacturing spectrum for small molecule drugs, cell therapies, and gene therapies as well as providing testing services for medical devices and clinic research. The Company offers laboratory, clinical development, chemistry manufactory and control, and other services. Pharmaron Beijing conducts businesses based in China.

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Pharmaron Beijing (3759 HK)

About the CXO Plunge After Biden Signed National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative

CXO plunged after Biden signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. As tensions between China and US escalate, it is no...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 25th August 2022

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158...

Sumeet Singh

Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

China Tourism is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn. Ahead of its...

Sumeet Singh

Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd (3759.HK/300759.CH) - The Story May Have Changed

Due to overcapacity/fierce competition,Pharmaron is hard to achieve V-shaped rebound by the strategy of "integration".We are conservative about its...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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