Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SEMI reports September front end and back end test/assembly equipment sales decline of 18% and 25% y/y, respectively, resulting 3Q23 sales decline of 17% and 28% y/y.</li>
<li>However, WSTS/SIA and US ISM Purchasing Managers Index reported more moderate 7% y/y decline in August global semi sales and 4% y/y decline in September index. </li>
<li>The discrepancy is due to global semi vendors are seeing PC and Smartphone IC improvement but need to consume earlier overbuilt inventories first before boosting in house or foundries' capex.</li>
</ul>


SEMI reports September front end and back end test/assembly equipment sales decline of 18% and 25% y/y, respectively, resulting 3Q23 sales decline of 17% and 28% y/y.
However, WSTS/SIA and US ISM Purchasing Managers Index reported more moderate 7% y/y decline in August global semi sales and 4% y/y decline in September index. 
The discrepancy is due to global semi vendors are seeing PC and Smartphone IC improvement but need to consume earlier overbuilt inventories first before boosting in house or foundries' capex.


What Sep US SEMI Equipment and Aug SIA/WSTS Global Sales Y/Y Discrepancy Tells Us?

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Rate hike expectations in the United States continue to fall</li>
<li>July is forgotten as speculation returns in the AI space</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Rate hike expectations in the United States continue to fall
July is forgotten as speculation returns in the AI space


<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>A clearing event sets up the catalyst for a bounce in the AI/Memory names</li>
<li>Joint Yen Intervention sets up the DXY for a breakdown</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
A clearing event sets up the catalyst for a bounce in the AI/Memory names
Joint Yen Intervention sets up the DXY for a breakdown


<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Oil price rise is pushing government bond yields higher globally, signaling the next inflationary wave has started</li>
<li>Precious Metals and miners rally despite higher yields and a strong Dollar- a positive divergence</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Oil price rise is pushing government bond yields higher globally, signaling the next inflationary wave has started
Precious Metals and miners rally despite higher yields and a strong Dollar- a positive divergence


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>CPI came in soft as expected, but rate hike expectations are mixed due to the ongoing conflict</li>
<li>Hong Kong and China platform names are getting a bid as money rotates out of the "hot" markets</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
CPI came in soft as expected, but rate hike expectations are mixed due to the ongoing conflict
Hong Kong and China platform names are getting a bid as money rotates out of the "hot" markets


United States

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index comprised of companies that are involved in the design, distribution, manufacturing and sale of semiconductors. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of december 1, 1993. Index methodology changed from Price-weighted as of 12/21/2009.

Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index (SOX INDEX)

Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index

Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index (SOX INDEX)

What Sep US SEMI Equipment and Aug SIA/WSTS Global Sales Y/Y Discrepancy Tells Us?

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