Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ &nbsp;combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank stocks in particular. The way this usually plays out is first with liquidity.&nbsp; </li><li>Banks pull credit lines from weaker banks (and weaker companies).&nbsp; </li><li>If a bank has a loan to deposit ratio (LDR) above 100%, it is often difficult to repay the redeemed credit line, as it means disposing of an asset, a loan – immediately. &nbsp; </li></ul>

A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ &nbsp;combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank stocks in particular. The way this usually plays out is first with liquidity.&nbsp; Banks pull credit lines from weaker banks (and weaker companies).&nbsp; If a bank has a loan to deposit ratio (LDR) above 100%, it is often difficult to repay the redeemed credit line, as it means disposing of an asset, a loan – immediately. &nbsp; 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the February rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> complete, there could be one change for the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rl-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33809:1" rel="noopener">RL Commercial REIT (RCR PM)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-global-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16224:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Global Group (AGI PM)</a> in the index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rl-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33809:1" rel="noopener">RL Commercial REIT</a> will be the second REIT to be added to the index.</li>
<li>There were wild moves at the January rebalance last year and it could be worth putting on a position in the stocks.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the February rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) complete, there could be one change for the index.

RL Commercial REIT (RCR PM) could replace Alliance Global Group (AGI PM) in the index. RL Commercial REIT will be the second REIT to be added to the index.
There were wild moves at the January rebalance last year and it could be worth putting on a position in the stocks.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes Likely in Feb

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Maynilad Water Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)</a> (MWS) is looking to raise around US$450m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing</li>
</ul>



Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) (MWS) is looking to raise around US$450m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.
MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing


Maynilad Water Services IPO - Recent Updates, Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)</a>  (MWS) is looking to raise at least US$633m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)  (MWS) is looking to raise at least US$633m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.
MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Maynilad Water Services Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Hasn’t Always Been as Strong

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)</a> (MWS) is looking to raise at least US$633m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) (MWS) is looking to raise at least US$633m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.
MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Maynilad Water Services Pre-IPO - The Positives - Key Infrastructure Provider

Philippines

Philippine National Bank (PNB) is a major Filipino bank offering a comprehensive range of banking and financial services, including deposit accounts, loans, trade financing, foreign exchange dealings, and asset management. It serves corporations, small and medium enterprises, retail customers, government units, and overseas Filipinos. PNB is headquartered in Pasay City, Metro Manila, Philippines, and was established on July 22, 1916.

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Philippine National Bank (PNB PM)

Be Wary of High LDR Banks at Present

A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank...

Daniel Tabbush

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes Likely in Feb

RL Commercial REIT could replace Alliance Global in the index. The impact on the stocks is high, and it could be worth putting on a position in...

Brian Freitas

Maynilad Water Services IPO - Recent Updates, Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) (MWS) is looking to raise around US$450m in its upcoming Philippines IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

Maynilad Water Services Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Hasn’t Always Been as Strong

Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) (MWS) is looking to raise at least US$633m in its upcoming Philippines IPO. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Maynilad Water Services Pre-IPO - The Positives - Key Infrastructure Provider

Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) (MWS) is looking to raise at least US$633m in its upcoming Philippines IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

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