Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Pinduoduo's surprise Q125 OP &amp; NP declines happened before US tariff, de minimis changes</li>
<li>Recent data from Bain &amp; Co. suggests extremely difficult US conditions for Temu, SHEIN</li>
<li>If representative, the April-May US data suggest deep, lasting US challenges for the platforms</li>
</ul>


Pinduoduo's surprise Q125 OP &amp; NP declines happened before US tariff, de minimis changes
Recent data from Bain &amp; Co. suggests extremely difficult US conditions for Temu, SHEIN
If representative, the April-May US data suggest deep, lasting US challenges for the platforms


PDD's Q125 Profit Decline Occurred Before US Squeeze | April-May US Sales Far Weaker for Temu, SHEIN

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>The stock price plunged by 16% after the 1Q25 results.</li>
<li>The two major competitors benefited from the state subsidies, but PDD did not.</li>
<li>However, PDD balances well between revenue growth and operating cash flow.</li>
</ul>


The stock price plunged by 16% after the 1Q25 results.
The two major competitors benefited from the state subsidies, but PDD did not.
However, PDD balances well between revenue growth and operating cash flow.


Pinduoduo (PDD): Plunged After Weak Results, But Overly Impacted

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Pinduoduo sees one of the steepest ownership drops in EM funds, with 95 net sellers and 28 closures in six months.</li>
<li>Major closures from Aubrey, AllianceBernstein, UBS, and BNP Paribas; largest outflows from Fidelity and BlackRock.</li>
<li>Despite sharp declines, PDD remains in 36.5% of GEM funds and a top 10 holding in China &amp; HK.</li>
</ul>


Pinduoduo sees one of the steepest ownership drops in EM funds, with 95 net sellers and 28 closures in six months.
Major closures from Aubrey, AllianceBernstein, UBS, and BNP Paribas; largest outflows from Fidelity and BlackRock.
Despite sharp declines, PDD remains in 36.5% of GEM funds and a top 10 holding in China &amp; HK.


Pinduoduo: Record Ownership Decline Amid Sharp Rotation

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings (PDD US)</a> stock price nosedived 28.5% yesterday wiping away more than USD55 billion in market cap following Management's call with investors.</li>
<li>During the call, the management guided towards weakening profits in the next quarters and stated that high revenue growth was unsustainable in the long term.</li>
<li>Investors however seemed to be spooked not by negative guidance on profitability/growth but by comments on impact of non-business factors and need to adapt to changing times etc.</li>
</ul>



PDD Holdings (PDD US) stock price nosedived 28.5% yesterday wiping away more than USD55 billion in market cap following Management's call with investors.
During the call, the management guided towards weakening profits in the next quarters and stated that high revenue growth was unsustainable in the long term.
Investors however seemed to be spooked not by negative guidance on profitability/growth but by comments on impact of non-business factors and need to adapt to changing times etc.


PDD Holdings (PDD US): Earnings Call Spooks Investors. Is There More than Meets the Eye?

<ul>
<li>Ownership levels among Asia Ex-Japan funds hit record highs as funds continue to add exposure.</li>
<li>13% of the funds in our analysis opened new positions over the last 6-months, with average weights increasing by 0.57%</li>
<li>New positions added by Invesco Asia Opportunities (4.3%), LO Funds High Conviction (3.6%) and Allianz Asian Equity (2.9%) over the period.</li>
</ul>


Ownership levels among Asia Ex-Japan funds hit record highs as funds continue to add exposure.
13% of the funds in our analysis opened new positions over the last 6-months, with average weights increasing by 0.57%
New positions added by Invesco Asia Opportunities (4.3%), LO Funds High Conviction (3.6%) and Allianz Asian Equity (2.9%) over the period.


China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

PDD's Q125 Profit Decline Occurred Before US Squeeze | April-May US Sales Far Weaker for Temu, SHEIN

Pinduoduo's shock decline in profitability in Q125 came before US tariff and de minimis changes. Recent April-May data out of the US suggests...

Tracking Traffic

Pinduoduo (PDD): Plunged After Weak Results, But Overly Impacted

The stock price plunged by 16% after the 1Q25 results. The two major competitors benefited from the state subsidies. However, PDD balances well...

Ming Lu

Pinduoduo: Record Ownership Decline Amid Sharp Rotation

Pinduoduo’s steady climb in active GEM funds has started to reverse, with widespread selling and closures. Caution now dominates the narrative.

Steven Holden