External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Ping An saw its VNB momentum turn positive in 4Q22 with 11.7% YoY growth, as its channel reform scheme expanded to nationwide.</li><li>Excluding assumption changes, FY22 VNB declined by 17.5% YoY, narrowing from -18.9% YoY in 9M22 and -20.3% YoY in 1H22.</li><li>During the FY22 results briefing, the management guided for positive VNB growth in 1Q23 and FY23, and indicated that the new business momentum turned around in Feb 2023 and the positive growth sustained into March, driven by improving productivity across agency and multiple channels, i.e. community grid, private wealth advisers, etc. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Ping An saw its VNB momentum turn positive in 4Q22 with 11.7% YoY growth, as its channel reform scheme expanded to nationwide.Excluding assumption changes, FY22 VNB declined by 17.5% YoY, narrowing from -18.9% YoY in 9M22 and -20.3% YoY in 1H22.During the FY22 results briefing, the management guided for positive VNB growth in 1Q23 and FY23, and indicated that the new business momentum turned around in Feb 2023 and the positive growth sustained into March, driven by improving productivity across agency and multiple channels, i.e. community grid, private wealth advisers, etc. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ping An (2318 HK) – Expect VNB turnaround in 1Q23 and FY23

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The 2023 jumpstart performance YTD of Chinese life insurers are divergent according to our channel check.</li><li>While most insurance companies continued suffering from new business declines given the weaker-than-expected pre-sale performance amid COVID outbreaks in Dec 2022, China Life recorded a decent FYP growth thanks to its early launch of pre-sale since Oct 2022.</li><li>We also note that the NBV momentum of CPIC and Ping An elevated substantially since midJan 2023, driven by: 1) enhanced agent productivity on the back of proactive agency reform and 2) consistent strong demands for savings products. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The 2023 jumpstart performance YTD of Chinese life insurers are divergent according to our channel check.While most insurance companies continued suffering from new business declines given the weaker-than-expected pre-sale performance amid COVID outbreaks in Dec 2022, China Life recorded a decent FYP growth thanks to its early launch of pre-sale since Oct 2022.We also note that the NBV momentum of CPIC and Ping An elevated substantially since midJan 2023, driven by: 1) enhanced agent productivity on the back of proactive agency reform and 2) consistent strong demands for savings products. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance – Divergent jumpstart performance among life insurers

<div><ul><li>In 9M22, Ping An’s OPAT grew 3.8% YoY to RMB123bn, translating into 2.8% YoY OPAT growth in 3Q22.</li><li>Life OPAT growth remained stable at 15% YoY, with VNB decline marginally narrowed to 20% YoY in 3Q22 from the 28.5% YoY decrease in 1H22.</li><li>P&amp;C OPAT declined 17% YoY in 3Q22 largely due to lower investment return. </li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In 9M22, Ping An’s OPAT grew 3.8% YoY to RMB123bn, translating into 2.8% YoY OPAT growth in 3Q22.Life OPAT growth remained stable at 15% YoY, with VNB decline marginally narrowed to 20% YoY in 3Q22 from the 28.5% YoY decrease in 1H22.P&amp;C OPAT declined 17% YoY in 3Q22 largely due to lower investment return. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ping An (2318 HK) – 3Q22 results in line

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Major listed insurers reported August premiums data, showing that P&amp;C premium income growth remained strong in August.</li><li>Our channel check suggests that life insurers’ new business momentum diverged in July-August.</li><li>Thanks to the turnaround in core agency scale on the back of proactive channel reform, CPIC’s agency FYP YoY growth turned positive in July-August, up from the double-digit decline in 1H22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div></div>

Major listed insurers reported August premiums data, showing that P&amp;C premium income growth remained strong in August.Our channel check suggests that life insurers’ new business momentum diverged in July-August.Thanks to the turnaround in core agency scale on the back of proactive channel reform, CPIC’s agency FYP YoY growth turned positive in July-August, up from the double-digit decline in 1H22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Financials Weekly – CPIC agency FYP growth picked up in Jul-Aug

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Somehow the current leg of decline in China's Real estate stocks and bonds has not gotten the attention of investors and money managers.</li><li>Perhaps because the first calls of China's Lehman moment showed it was an exaggerated extrapolation.</li><li>The first decline phase was limited to corporates with highly leveraged real estate balance sheets.</li></ul>

Somehow the current leg of decline in China's Real estate stocks and bonds has not gotten the attention of investors and money managers.Perhaps because the first calls of China's Lehman moment showed it was an exaggerated extrapolation.The first decline phase was limited to corporates with highly leveraged real estate balance sheets.

Hang Seng Index Constituents 14 July 2022

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides products and services through its five ecosystems in financial services, healthcare, auto services, real estate services and Smart City solutions. The Group's insurance business writes property, casualty, and life insurance products.

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Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)

Ping An (2318 HK) – Expect VNB turnaround in 1Q23 and FY23

Ping An saw its VNB momentum turn positive in 4Q22 with 11.7% YoY growth, as its channel reform scheme expanded to nationwide.

CMB International

China Insurance – Divergent jumpstart performance among life insurers

The 2023 jumpstart performance YTD of Chinese life insurers are divergent according to our channel check.While most insurance companies continued...

CMB International

Ping An (2318 HK) – 3Q22 results in line

Life OPAT growth remained stable at 15% YoY, with VNB decline marginally narrowed to 20% YoY in 3Q22 from the 28.5% YoY decrease in 1H22.

CMB International

China Financials Weekly – CPIC agency FYP growth picked up in Jul-Aug

Thanks to the turnaround in core agency scale on the back of proactive channel reform, CPIC’s agency FYP YoY growth turned positive in July-August

CMB International

Hang Seng Index Constituents 14 July 2022

Somehow the current leg of decline in China's Real estate stocks and bonds has not gotten the attention of investors and money managers. Perhaps...

Untying The Gordian Knot

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