Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 5 September.</li>
<li>We highlight 6 stocks that have a higher probability of being added to the index. With the index committee entitled to a lot of discretion, there will be differences.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL</a> completes 3 months of listing just prior to the review meeting date and is a dark horse candidate, though the committee could let the stock season for another quarter.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 5 September.
We highlight 6 stocks that have a higher probability of being added to the index. With the index committee entitled to a lot of discretion, there will be differences.

CATL completes 3 months of listing just prior to the review meeting date and is a dark horse candidate, though the committee could let the stock season for another quarter.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for Sep25

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the September 2025 index rebal event will be publicly announced after the close on Friday 22nd August 2025.</li>
<li>We continue to expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a> to be an ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> to be a DEL in HSCEI in September 2025.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
The official index changes and indicative weights for the September 2025 index rebal event will be publicly announced after the close on Friday 22nd August 2025.
We continue to expect Pop Mart (9992 HK) to be an ADD and J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) to be a DEL in HSCEI in September 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: One Index Change Possible; ~US$180mn One-Way; Announcement Soon

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in September 2025.</li>
<li>We expect one ADD and one DEL for September 2025. We also estimate there to be US$269mn in one-way flows.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in September 2025.
We expect one ADD and one DEL for September 2025. We also estimate there to be US$269mn in one-way flows.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: Final Expectations; One Index Change Possible

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> ended on 30 June, the results will be announced on 22 August and will be implemented on 5 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> could be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> could be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>There is a possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> being added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> as well.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the HSCEI INDEX ended on 30 June, the results will be announced on 22 August and will be implemented on 5 September.

Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) could be added to the index while J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) could be deleted from the index.
There is a possibility of Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) being added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) as well.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace J&T Global (1519 HK)

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe Pop Mart’s advantage is its ability of choosing available IPs.</li>
<li>We expect Pop Mart’s revenue will grow by 69% in 2025.</li>
<li>However, the stock is overvalued by cross-sectional comparison and fairly valued by time-series comparison.</li>
</ul>


We believe Pop Mart’s advantage is its ability of choosing available IPs.
We expect Pop Mart’s revenue will grow by 69% in 2025.
However, the stock is overvalued by cross-sectional comparison and fairly valued by time-series comparison.


Pop Mart (9992 HK): On IP Choice, But Not Blind Boxes, Waiting for Lower Price

China

Pop Mart International Group Limited operates as a toys wholesales company. The Company provides trendy toys designing, production, marketing, and other services. Pop Mart International Group markets its products worldwide.

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Pop Mart (9992 HK)

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for Sep25

We highlight 6 potential adds to the HSI in Sep. CATL has an outside chance of inclusion. Estimated turnover is less than 3% and the trade is...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: One Index Change Possible; ~US$180mn One-Way; Announcement Soon

Both the expected ADD and DEL are high-conviction calls. They have been well-flagged for a long time now. It might be reasonable to assume there is...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Sep25: Final Expectations; One Index Change Possible

Pop Mart (9992 HK) could replace J&T Global (1519 HK) in the HSCEI index in September 2025. If this change takes place, there could be one-way...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace J&T Global (1519 HK)

Pop Mart could replace J&T Global in the HSCEI in Sep. There will be capping and FAF changes for stocks. Shorts have been increasing in both...

Brian Freitas

Pop Mart (9992 HK): On IP Choice, But Not Blind Boxes, Waiting for Lower Price

We believe Pop Mart’s advantage is its ability of choosing IPs. We expect Pop Mart’s revenue will grow by 69% in 2025. However, the stock is fairly...

Ming Lu

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