Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<blockquote>
“Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything.” (Joseph Stalin)
</blockquote>
This insight is titled "Strange Cases of Similarities Between the US Presidential &amp; The South Korean Parliamentary Elections." More than a month has passed since the U.S. Presidential election. Trump has yet to concede this election. Biden has yet to be officially inaugurated as the next U.S. President. This insight is not meant to be a prediction. I do not make an attempt to forecast who will be officially inaugurated as the next U.S. President. Such political predictions is not my expertise.
Nonetheless, the main reason why i am writing this insight is to highlight the numerous cases of similarities of what happened in the US Presidential election in November 2020 and the South Korean Parliamentary election in April 2020. Many of our readers will likely be more familiar with what is happening in the U.S. Presidential election rather than the South Korean Parliamentary election which occurred more than 8 month ago.


“Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything.” (Joseph Stalin)

This insight is titled "Strange Cases of Similarities Between the US Presidential &amp; The South Korean Parliamentary Elections." More than a month has passed since the U.S. Presidential election. Trump has yet to concede this election. Biden has yet to be officially inaugurated as the next U.S. President. This insight is not meant to be a prediction. I do not make an attempt to forecast who will be officially inaugurated as the next U.S. President. Such political predictions is not my expertise.
Nonetheless, the main reason why i am writing this insight is to highlight the numerous cases of similarities of what happened in the US Presidential election in November 2020 and the South Korean Parliamentary election in April 2020. Many of our readers will likely be more familiar with what is happening in the U.S. Presidential election rather than the South Korean Parliamentary election which occurred more than 8 month ago.

Strange Cases of Similarities Between the US Presidential & The South Korean Parliamentary Elections

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

We are no longer recommending an overweight to China (MSCI China) due to recent RS deterioration. Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure. MSCI EM Technology and Materials are our top two Sector overweights. Additionally, the EM Health Care Sector shows bullish price and RS inflections, making it a timely Sector to add exposure to at current levels.

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jun 26th. The aggregated short interest was USD15.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in HyundaiAutoever, JEL, Hyundai Motor, MIRAE ASSET SEC, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jun 26th. The aggregated short interest was USD15.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in HyundaiAutoever, JEL, Hyundai Motor, MIRAE ASSET SEC, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 26th): HyundaiAutoever, JEL, Hyundai Motor, MIRAE ASSET SEC

<div class="content-highlight">It has been reported in the past few days that <a href="http://www.koreaninvestors.com/?p=12175" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NPS</a> is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, &amp; governance) based investing for Korean stocks and bonds starting 2021. NPS has currently given a mandate to a company to help NPS to apply ESG based investment system. The ESG evaluations are expected to aid NPS to actively exercise shareholder rights and also to carry out negative screening of stocks.</div><h3>Implications of NPS Incorporating More ESG Criteria on Domestic Investments (Bonds &amp; Stocks)</h3><ul>
<li>Negative Impact on VICE industries </li>
<li>Positive Impact on Renewable Energy Industries</li>
<li>Negative Impact on Coal &amp; Oil Industries</li>
<li>Greater Representation of Women in Senior Management Team/BOD</li>
</ul>

It has been reported in the past few days that NPS is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, &amp; governance) based investing for Korean stocks and bonds starting 2021. NPS has currently given a mandate to a company to help NPS to apply ESG based investment system. The ESG evaluations are expected to aid NPS to actively exercise shareholder rights and also to carry out negative screening of stocks.Implications of NPS Incorporating More ESG Criteria on Domestic Investments (Bonds &amp; Stocks)
Negative Impact on VICE industries 
Positive Impact on Renewable Energy Industries
Negative Impact on Coal &amp; Oil Industries
Greater Representation of Women in Senior Management Team/BOD


NPS - Greater Emphasis of ESG Based Investing for Korean Stocks & Bonds Starting 2021

For now we view the recent pullback as a countertrend move that helped correct the extended and overbought conditions we noted over the past two weeks. Overhead resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our bullish outlook remains appropriate.  In today's report we highlight attractive charts in both defensive and cyclical Sectors. On the semi-defensive side, Sectors covered include Health Care and Services. On the cyclical side, Sectors covered include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Transportation

For now we view the recent pullback as a countertrend move that helped correct the extended and overbought conditions we noted over the past two weeks. Overhead resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our bullish outlook remains appropriate.  In today's report we highlight attractive charts in both defensive and cyclical Sectors. On the semi-defensive side, Sectors covered include Health Care and Services. On the cyclical side, Sectors covered include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Transportation

Global Equity Strategy: Short-Term Bullish Trends Clash With Longer-Term Resistance

South Korea

Posco Future M Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes energy materials. The Company produces battery materials, advanced chemical materials, basic industrial materials, and other related products. Posco Future M also produces lime chemical and refractory products.

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Posco Future M (003670 KS)

Strange Cases of Similarities Between the US Presidential & The South Korean Parliamentary Elections

In this insight, I discuss the strange cases of similarities of the US Presidential election in November 2020 and the South Korean Parliamentary...

Douglas Kim

Overweight EM Vs. EAFE; Dollar Weakness Continues

Our favorite countries remain Taiwan (TAIEX) and India (SENSEX), while Brazil (Bovespa) and South Korea (KOSPI) display improving price and RS...

Vermilion Research

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 26th): HyundaiAutoever, JEL, Hyundai Motor, MIRAE ASSET SEC

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in HyundaiAutoever, JEL, Hyundai Motor, MIRAE ASSET...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NPS - Greater Emphasis of ESG Based Investing for Korean Stocks & Bonds Starting 2021

It has been reported in the past few days that NPS is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, & governance) based...

Douglas Kim

Global Equity Strategy: Short-Term Bullish Trends Clash With Longer-Term Resistance

For now we view the recent pullback as a countertrend move that helped correct the extended and overbought conditions we noted over the past two...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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