Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China’s steel exports have surged to multi-year highs, flooding global markets and forcing a wave of trade-defense actions across Asia.</li>
<li>Weak domestic demand, squeezed margins, and policy shifts have pushed Chinese mills to lean heavily on exports — prompting Beijing to cap output and link cuts to carbon goals.</li>
<li>Clear winners: Integrated Indian producers and Japan/Korea premium mills, which gain pricing power and margin upside as safeguards and curbs tighten supply.</li>
</ul>


China’s steel exports have surged to multi-year highs, flooding global markets and forcing a wave of trade-defense actions across Asia.
Weak domestic demand, squeezed margins, and policy shifts have pushed Chinese mills to lean heavily on exports — prompting Beijing to cap output and link cuts to carbon goals.
Clear winners: Integrated Indian producers and Japan/Korea premium mills, which gain pricing power and margin upside as safeguards and curbs tighten supply.


China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> traded wide to the scrip terms ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>'s EGM Vote. That was a buying opportunity. </li>
<li>A positive surprise as SAMR expediently signs off on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-kangji-medical-instrument-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28938:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK)</a> transaction. This could be wrapped up before Xmas.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> comfortably clears the 50% conditional threshold into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>; however compulsory acquisition appears out of reach</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US) traded wide to the scrip terms ahead of Geely Auto (175 HK)'s EGM Vote. That was a buying opportunity. 
A positive surprise as SAMR expediently signs off on the Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK) transaction. This could be wrapped up before Xmas.

China Mobile (941 HK) comfortably clears the 50% conditional threshold into HKBN Ltd (1310 HK); however compulsory acquisition appears out of reach


Last Week In Event SPACE: ZEEKR/Geely, Kangji Medical, HKBN, Lynas, Huaxin Cement, Nidec

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated holding was USD643.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD356mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Samsung H.I., HD HYUNDAI ELECTRIC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated holding was USD643.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD356mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Samsung H.I., HD HYUNDAI ELECTRIC.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 29th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Samsung H.I.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 18 Aug 2025, JSW and POSCO agreed to explore a 6mt steel JV in Odisha under a 50:50 structure.</li>
<li>JSW to reach 51.5mt by FY31 via Indian expansions; POSCO to hit 52mt by 2030 through green steel upgrades in Korea and overseas growth.</li>
<li>Strategic Positive: The JV blends JSW’s domestic scale with POSCO’s technology and global network, accelerating India’s steel hub ambitions.</li>
</ul>


On 18 Aug 2025, JSW and POSCO agreed to explore a 6mt steel JV in Odisha under a 50:50 structure.
JSW to reach 51.5mt by FY31 via Indian expansions; POSCO to hit 52mt by 2030 through green steel upgrades in Korea and overseas growth.
Strategic Positive: The JV blends JSW’s domestic scale with POSCO’s technology and global network, accelerating India’s steel hub ambitions.


JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD646.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,752mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Motor, Celltrion.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD646.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,752mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Motor, Celltrion.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean

South Korea

POSCO manufactures various types of steel products.  The Company produces hot rolled steel, cold rolled steel, stainless steel, and other forms of steel. The products are mainly used for automobile, construction, and shipbuilding industries.

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Posco ADR (PKX US)

China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

Rahul Jain

Last Week In Event SPACE: ZEEKR/Geely, Kangji Medical, HKBN, Lynas, Huaxin Cement, Nidec

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 29th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Samsung H.I.

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India

JSW and POSCO to form 6mt steel JV in Odisha, combining domestic scale with global technology to boost India's steel industry.

Rahul Jain

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

​China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

Rahul Jain

Last Week In Event SPACE: ZEEKR/Geely, Kangji Medical, HKBN, Lynas, Huaxin Cement, Nidec

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 29th): SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics, Samsung H.I.

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JSW Steel & POSCO Sign HoA for 6mt JV in India

​JSW and POSCO to form 6mt steel JV in Odisha, combining domestic scale with global technology to boost India's steel industry.

Rahul Jain

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

JSW and POSCO to form 6mt steel JV in Odisha, combining domestic scale with global technology to boost India's steel industry.