Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</strong></a>. Done. Finally. Look at whether you could borrow shares just before the close of the tender and short tender and buy back post ex-date</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rea-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:699:1" rel="noopener">REA Group Ltd (REA AU)</a></strong> rolls over as <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costar-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16907:1" rel="noopener">Costar Group (CSGP US)</a></strong> bets big on key rival <strong>Domain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Macromill (3978 JP)</strong></a>'s tender extended. Still not a done deal. Look to buy shares at terms with the goal of NOT tendering and owning the back end.</li>
</ul>



Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP). Done. Finally. Look at whether you could borrow shares just before the close of the tender and short tender and buy back post ex-date

REA Group Ltd (REA AU) rolls over as Costar Group (CSGP US) bets big on key rival Domain Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU).

Macromill (3978 JP)'s tender extended. Still not a done deal. Look to buy shares at terms with the goal of NOT tendering and owning the back end.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinko Electric, REA Group, Macromill, CNBM, Prosus/Tencent

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gamuda-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14363:1" rel="noopener">Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/99-speed-mart-retail-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40977:1" rel="noopener">99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK)</a> is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> deleted.</li>
<li>Passive funds benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


There is a high probability of Gamuda Bhd (GAM MK) replacing Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) in the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) in December.

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) is a close add and needs small outperformance over the next week to be added. That could see Genting Bhd (GENT MK) deleted.
Passive funds benchmarked to the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) will need to buy 0.3-0.75x ADV on the potential adds and sell 0.9-1.3x ADV on the potential deletes.


KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index measures the performance of emerging markets stocks that are not state-owned enterprises.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.</li>
<li>There are 154 adds and 80 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$300m.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index measures the performance of emerging markets stocks that are not state-owned enterprises.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.
There are 154 adds and 80 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$300m.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets Ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index Rebalance: US$300m Round-Trip Trade

Last Week in Event SPACE: OFAC's Humdinger, China Mobile, NTT, Car Inc, Pressance, Tianneng Power

<div>
<p><em>This week in StubWorld ...</em></p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wilmar-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:172:1" rel="noopener">Wilmar International (WIL SP)</a> continues to outperform <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ppb-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:793:1" rel="noopener">Ppb Group (PEP MK)</a> after the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdin-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29184:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999 CH)</a> spin-off; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550 KS)</a> is cheap, and there are catalysts in the pipeline apart from the recently announced demerger; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6315:1" rel="noopener">China Motor (2204 TT)</a> is trading cheap to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yulon-motor-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18249:1" rel="noopener">Yulon Motor Company (2201 TT)</a>, which in turn is trading rich to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-acceptance-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13398:1" rel="noopener">Yulon Finance Corp (9941 TT)</a>. </p>
</div>
<hr>
<div>
<p>Preceding my comments on these holdcos are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
</div>


This week in StubWorld ...


Wilmar International (WIL SP) continues to outperform Ppb Group (PEP MK) after the Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999 CH) spin-off; LG Corp (003550 KS) is cheap, and there are catalysts in the pipeline apart from the recently announced demerger; and China Motor (2204 TT) is trading cheap to Yulon Motor Company (2201 TT), which in turn is trading rich to Yulon Finance Corp (9941 TT). 



Preceding my comments on these holdcos are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.


These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


StubWorld: PPB/Wilmar, LG Corp, China Motor/Yulon Motor

Malaysia

PPB Group Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company operations include grains trading, flour and animal feed milling industry as well as downstream activities including livestock farming, food processing and consumer products distribution with primary focus in Indonesia, Malaysia, China, India and Europe.

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Ppb Group (PEP MK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinko Electric, REA Group, Macromill, CNBM, Prosus/Tencent

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

KLCI Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One at the Cusp

There is one high probability change for the KLCI in December. Depending on price movements over the next week, there could be a second change....

Brian Freitas

WisdomTree Emerging Markets Ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index Rebalance: US$300m Round-Trip Trade

There are 154 adds/80 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index. Round-trip trade is US$300m. There have been...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: OFAC's Humdinger, China Mobile, NTT, Car Inc, Pressance, Tianneng Power

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: PPB/Wilmar, LG Corp, China Motor/Yulon Motor

Wilmar continues to outperform PPB after the Yihai Kerry spin-off; and LG Corp (003550 KS) is cheap, and there are catalysts in the pipeline apart...

David Blennerhassett

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