Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

Jardine Matheson Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>70% of Senior Directors are confident in data centres, showing faith in their reliability and efficiency despite challenges.</li><li>HPL's acquisition of InterContinental Auckland for $102M marks its entry into the New Zealand market, expanding its portfolio.</li><li>Stuart Grant's appointment as head of Hongkong Land's $8B Shanghai project highlights the company's commitment to growth and development in the region.</li></ul>

70% of Senior Directors are confident in data centres, showing faith in their reliability and efficiency despite challenges.HPL's acquisition of InterContinental Auckland for $102M marks its entry into the New Zealand market, expanding its portfolio.Stuart Grant's appointment as head of Hongkong Land's $8B Shanghai project highlights the company's commitment to growth and development in the region.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Mar-2025): 7/10 Senior Directors Confident in Data Centres, But Talent Shortage Will Widen

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Following a torrid few months, a fall in long bond rates provided relief for the property sector in November.</li><li>1H24 results were generally uneventful, with the major surprise being Investore (IPL) cutting its dividend ahead of the tax changes next year.</li><li>We expect a few others will follow suit when guidance for FY25 is issued in May. On the positive side, Auckland Council approved the sale of the Downtown Carpark to Precinct (PCT). </li></ul>

Following a torrid few months, a fall in long bond rates provided relief for the property sector in November.1H24 results were generally uneventful, with the major surprise being Investore (IPL) cutting its dividend ahead of the tax changes next year.We expect a few others will follow suit when guidance for FY25 is issued in May. On the positive side, Auckland Council approved the sale of the Downtown Carpark to Precinct (PCT). 

Real Estate Reflections - On the Interest Rate Roller Coaster

<ul><li>It has been a bleak couple of months for the listed property sector.</li><li>The one-two punch of the proposed tax changes and higher for longer interest rates has seen the sector sell off -14% over the last three months.</li><li>This was the fourth largest three month correction since 1996, behind only the Asian debt crisis, the rapid rate hiking cycle in June last year, and the start of the COVID pandemic. </li></ul>

It has been a bleak couple of months for the listed property sector.The one-two punch of the proposed tax changes and higher for longer interest rates has seen the sector sell off -14% over the last three months.This was the fourth largest three month correction since 1996, behind only the Asian debt crisis, the rapid rate hiking cycle in June last year, and the start of the COVID pandemic. 

Real Estate Reflections - The Storm Before the Storm

Precinct Properties New Zealand / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We reinstate our rating on PCT at OUTPERFORM with a NZ$1.30/share 12 month target price.</li><li>Following the issuance of its convertible notes, PCT has one of the lowest geared balance sheets in the sector and has capital to invest in opportunities within its growing capital partnerships.</li><li>PCT has c.NZ$1.8bn (built value) of assets under management and believes it has a pathway to &gt;NZ$4.0bn, with the Auckland Downtown Carpark redevelopment a significant driver.</li></ul>

We reinstate our rating on PCT at OUTPERFORM with a NZ$1.30/share 12 month target price.Following the issuance of its convertible notes, PCT has one of the lowest geared balance sheets in the sector and has capital to invest in opportunities within its growing capital partnerships.PCT has c.NZ$1.8bn (built value) of assets under management and believes it has a pathway to &gt;NZ$4.0bn, with the Auckland Downtown Carpark redevelopment a significant driver.

Precinct Properties NZ - Growing the Partnerships

<ul><li>It hasn't been a great couple of months for the property sector. After being hit with political promises of higher taxes in August, rising interest rates saw the sector sell off in September.</li><li>With the NZ 10 year Government bond yield now c.5.5%, sector valuation metrics, which already looked full versus history, have come sharply back into focus.</li><li>Persistently high interest rates remain a headwind for the sector, particularly given higher taxes and interest costs are likely to see dividends cut (we forecast -3% on average by FY26). </li></ul>

It hasn't been a great couple of months for the property sector. After being hit with political promises of higher taxes in August, rising interest rates saw the sector sell off in September.With the NZ 10 year Government bond yield now c.5.5%, sector valuation metrics, which already looked full versus history, have come sharply back into focus.Persistently high interest rates remain a headwind for the sector, particularly given higher taxes and interest costs are likely to see dividends cut (we forecast -3% on average by FY26). 

Real Estate Reflections - Here We Go Again?

New Zealand

Precinct Properties New Zealand Ltd. invests in manages and leases commercial office properties. The Company invests in properties in Auckland and Wellington.

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Precinct Properties New Zealand (PCT NZ)

Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Mar-2025): 7/10 Senior Directors Confident in Data Centres, But Talent Shortage Will Widen

Senior Directors optimistic about data centres but concerned about talent shortage, HPL acquires InterContinental Auckland for $102M, Hongkong Land...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Real Estate Reflections - On the Interest Rate Roller Coaster

1H24 results were generally uneventful, with the major surprise being Investore (IPL) cutting its dividend ahead of the tax changes next year.

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - The Storm Before the Storm

The one-two punch of the proposed tax changes and higher for longer interest rates has seen the sector sell off -14% over the last three months.

Forsyth Barr

Precinct Properties NZ - Growing the Partnerships

PCT has c.NZ$1.8bn (built value) of assets under management and believes it has a pathway to >NZ$4.0bn, with the Auckland Downtown Carpark...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - Here We Go Again?

It hasn't been a great couple of months for the property sector. After being hit with political promises of higher taxes in August, rising interest...

Forsyth Barr

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