External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Demand momentum may continue to reflect in presales: We expect presales momentum to continue, driven by high affordability, stable prices, and overall positive sentiment for real estate</li><li>Mortgage rate increase is yet to meaningfully reflect in demand destruction as we may be closer to peak of interest rate tightening</li><li>Affordability still has an upper hand in decision-making</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Demand momentum may continue to reflect in presales: We expect presales momentum to continue, driven by high affordability, stable prices, and overall positive sentiment for real estateMortgage rate increase is yet to meaningfully reflect in demand destruction as we may be closer to peak of interest rate tighteningAffordability still has an upper hand in decision-makingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Real Estate (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Resilient demand

<ul><li>Sustenance sales to drive Q1FY23 presales; delayed launches to result in healthy H2FY23: Oberoi reported decent sustenance presales of INR 7.5bn (+3.4x/-19%, YoY/QoQ).</li><li>Demand slowdown transitory, structural drivers remain intact: Post the recent interest rate hikes, the loan eligibility has reduced, resulting in a larger down payment funding requirement.</li><li>Demand for Grade A rental housing seeing strong traction, with rents inching up 15-20% higher than pre-COVID: Quality living is gaining traction with larger, organised, gated communities’ projects witnessing strong rental demand and pricing, which is higher than pre-COVID levels.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Sustenance sales to drive Q1FY23 presales; delayed launches to result in healthy H2FY23: Oberoi reported decent sustenance presales of INR 7.5bn (+3.4x/-19%, YoY/QoQ).Demand slowdown transitory, structural drivers remain intact: Post the recent interest rate hikes, the loan eligibility has reduced, resulting in a larger down payment funding requirement.Demand for Grade A rental housing seeing strong traction, with rents inching up 15-20% higher than pre-COVID: Quality living is gaining traction with larger, organised, gated communities’ projects witnessing strong rental demand and pricing, which is higher than pre-COVID levels.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Brigade Enterprise: We expect revenue to increase by 122% YoY in 1QFY23, but decline by 10% QoQ to Rs8,493mn.</li><li>The sharp increase in revenue YoY is mainly due to a lower base in 1QFY22, which was affected by the second covid wave.</li><li>EBITDA margin for 1QFY23 is expected at 26.2% vs 21.8%/29.1% in 4QFY22/1QFY22.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Brigade Enterprise: We expect revenue to increase by 122% YoY in 1QFY23, but decline by 10% QoQ to Rs8,493mn.The sharp increase in revenue YoY is mainly due to a lower base in 1QFY22, which was affected by the second covid wave.EBITDA margin for 1QFY23 is expected at 26.2% vs 21.8%/29.1% in 4QFY22/1QFY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Real Estate and Ceramics - Residential Demand Remains Strong; Commercial Demand in Recovering Phase

Equity Bottom-Up

Prestige Estates Projects / Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We maintain our Buy rating on PEPL with a revised target price (TP) of Rs514 (earlier Rs 617) based on the FY24E NAV.</li><li>We have increased cap rate from 7.5% to 8.5% given the increase in interest rate.</li><li>Also, we have increased inflation rate of cost component from 5% to 5.5% given the increase in input costs.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We maintain our Buy rating on PEPL with a revised target price (TP) of Rs514 (earlier Rs 617) based on the FY24E NAV.We have increased cap rate from 7.5% to 8.5% given the increase in interest rate.Also, we have increased inflation rate of cost component from 5% to 5.5% given the increase in input costs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prestige Estates Projects - Blackstone Deal Conclusion Should Boost Liquidity and Reduce Debt

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 7.93 trillion (US$106.3bn) across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.</p><p>The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.</p><p>We are just past halfway through the review period for the second half of 2021. Using data to the close on 4 October, at the next recategorization in January 2022, we see 10 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment, 11 stocks moving from the large cap segment to the mid cap segment , 11 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment, with16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> will be a part of the large cap universe, while 4 other newly listed stocks will be a part of the mid cap universe.</p><p>Historically, stocks moving to a higher market cap category have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap category over the back half of the review period. In some cases, the outperformance continues past the announcement of the changes as well. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.</p>

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 7.93 trillion (US$106.3bn) across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.We are just past halfway through the review period for the second half of 2021. Using data to the close on 4 October, at the next recategorization in January 2022, we see 10 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment, 11 stocks moving from the large cap segment to the mid cap segment , 11 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment, with16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. Zomato (ZOMATO IN) will be a part of the large cap universe, while 4 other newly listed stocks will be a part of the mid cap universe.Historically, stocks moving to a higher market cap category have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap category over the back half of the review period. In some cases, the outperformance continues past the announcement of the changes as well. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management (Dec 2021)

India

Prestige Estates Projects Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company builds residential projects including apartments, villas, plotted developments and integrated townships; commercial projects including corporate office buildings and technology parks; hotels and resorts; and retail buildings.

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Prestige Estates Projects (PEPL IN)

Real Estate (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Resilient demand

We expect presales momentum to continue, driven by high affordability, stable prices, and overall positive sentiment for real estate

HDFC Securities

Real Estate - Mixed Performance

Sustenance sales to drive Q1FY23 presales; delayed launches to result in healthy H2FY23: Oberoi reported decent sustenance presales of INR 7.5bn...

HDFC Securities

Real Estate and Ceramics - Residential Demand Remains Strong; Commercial Demand in Recovering Phase

Demand for residential real estate continued to remain strong in 1QFY23 while a sharp recovery is expected in rental assets (malls/offices) as the...

Nirmal Bang

Prestige Estates Projects - Blackstone Deal Conclusion Should Boost Liquidity and Reduce Debt

The momentum in residential demand in Bengaluru and Hyderabad markets continued in 4QFY22, with Prestige Estates Projects (PEPL) reporting another...

Nirmal Bang

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management (Dec 2021)

Halfway through the review period, we take a look at stocks that could migrate across the large, mid and small cap segments. With over US$100bn of...

Brian Freitas

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