Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul><li>Tencent is due to release Q1 FY24 results today. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SAST</li><li>In this note, we unpack what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to constituents in the HSTECH index since our last update (29 April).</li><li>We also provide an update on how the discounts of Naspers and Prosus have traded.</li></ul>

Tencent is due to release Q1 FY24 results today. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SASTIn this note, we unpack what is priced and how Tencent has performed relative to constituents in the HSTECH index since our last update (29 April).We also provide an update on how the discounts of Naspers and Prosus have traded.

Tencent Q1 FY24 Results Due, a Look into What Is Priced

<ul><li>Since the introduction of the Shareholder Weighted indices (SWIX) in July 2003, fund managers with South African equity mandates have had an array of benchmarks to choose from.</li><li>The SWIX was introduced at a time when resources made up more than 50% of the Top 40.</li><li>The SWIX methodology addressed this concentration by adjusting the float of dual-listed entities to reflect shares held by South African residents (eg. AGL, BHP).</li></ul>

Since the introduction of the Shareholder Weighted indices (SWIX) in July 2003, fund managers with South African equity mandates have had an array of benchmarks to choose from.The SWIX was introduced at a time when resources made up more than 50% of the Top 40.The SWIX methodology addressed this concentration by adjusting the float of dual-listed entities to reflect shares held by South African residents (eg. AGL, BHP).

JSE Mar 24 Harmonisation - Is Your Benchmark Changing?

<ul>
<li>In yesterday’s trading session, Naspers and Prosus followed the market lower leading up to and after the US CPI print (headline worse than expected, core inline). </li>
<li>Naspers and Prosus closed 1.4% and 1.9% lower, reducing Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value to its narrowest level since Prosus listed. The discount closed at 10.4% (currently 10.9%).</li>
<li>Naspers has outperformed Prosus by 2.2% during the last 3 trading days. </li>
</ul>


In yesterday’s trading session, Naspers and Prosus followed the market lower leading up to and after the US CPI print (headline worse than expected, core inline). 
Naspers and Prosus closed 1.4% and 1.9% lower, reducing Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value to its narrowest level since Prosus listed. The discount closed at 10.4% (currently 10.9%).
Naspers has outperformed Prosus by 2.2% during the last 3 trading days. 


Naspers: Discount to Prosus Market Value Reaches Narrowest Level Since Prosus Listing

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>JSE indexes will be rebalanced in the closing auction tomorrow. </li>
<li>MCG will fall out of the TOPI and DTOP and HAR will enter. The ALSI gets reviewed semi-annually in March and September.</li>
<li>ACL and LBR will fall out of the ALSI, ALSI SWIX and the capped variants.</li>
</ul>


JSE indexes will be rebalanced in the closing auction tomorrow. 
MCG will fall out of the TOPI and DTOP and HAR will enter. The ALSI gets reviewed semi-annually in March and September.
ACL and LBR will fall out of the ALSI, ALSI SWIX and the capped variants.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In mid-September 2019, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> on international markets, but the law required Naspers own 70+% of Prosus and it created a dual-layer NAV Discount Trade.</li>
<li>In summer 2021, they announced an Exchange Offer, where Naspers holders could get Prosus, and Prosus would end up owning 49% of Naspers, creating a cross-holding circularity - an Ouroboros.</li>
<li>In summer 2022, they launched open-ended buyback programmes, and they've bought back a lot. NOW they are unwinding the Ouroboros, going back to the pre-EO structure. buybacks will continue. </li>
</ul>


In mid-September 2019, Naspers (NPN SJ) listed Prosus (PRX NA) on international markets, but the law required Naspers own 70+% of Prosus and it created a dual-layer NAV Discount Trade.
In summer 2021, they announced an Exchange Offer, where Naspers holders could get Prosus, and Prosus would end up owning 49% of Naspers, creating a cross-holding circularity - an Ouroboros.
In summer 2022, they launched open-ended buyback programmes, and they've bought back a lot. NOW they are unwinding the Ouroboros, going back to the pre-EO structure. buybacks will continue. 


The Prosus/Naspers Ouroboros Spits Out Its Tail (Unwinds Cross-Holding to Go Back to Old Pair)

China

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

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Prosus NV (PRX SJ)

Tencent Q1 FY24 Results Due, a Look into What Is Priced

Tencent is due to release Q1 FY24 results today. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SAST. In this note, we unpack what is priced and how...

DMA

JSE Mar 24 Harmonisation - Is Your Benchmark Changing?

Since the introduction of the Shareholder Weighted indices (SWIX) in July 2003, fund managers with South African equity mandates have had an array...

DMA

Naspers: Discount to Prosus Market Value Reaches Narrowest Level Since Prosus Listing

Recap on how the Naspers and Prosus discounts traded last week. Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value reached an all time low. Could see...

DMA

JSE September 2023 Index Rebalance

Top 40 & Top 40 SWIX: HAR to enter, MCG to fall out. NPN/PRX Cross-holding unwind: yesterday's trading session. JSE indexes will be rebalanced...

DMA

The Prosus/Naspers Ouroboros Spits Out Its Tail (Unwinds Cross-Holding to Go Back to Old Pair)

Prosus and Naspers have agreed to unwind the cross-holding relationship they set up 2yrs ago. Then, it was accretion meets complexity. Now it is...

Travis Lundy

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