External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>A non-eventful 3Q. While earnings cuts and de-ratings have taken place and reset market expectation across 1H results, in our view, earnings volatility for 3Q is unlikely to be drastic.</li><li>For items that we monitored, our channel checks suggested that sales momentum was largely on track to us - low-teen growth for CRB, double-digit growth for Nongfu, and particularly sequential double- digit recovery for Mengniu and Feihe.</li><li>Separately, the lockdown of Hainan since August could mean downside revision potential for CTGDF despite a well-maintained GPM.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

A non-eventful 3Q. While earnings cuts and de-ratings have taken place and reset market expectation across 1H results, in our view, earnings volatility for 3Q is unlikely to be drastic.For items that we monitored, our channel checks suggested that sales momentum was largely on track to us - low-teen growth for CRB, double-digit growth for Nongfu, and particularly sequential double- digit recovery for Mengniu and Feihe.Separately, the lockdown of Hainan since August could mean downside revision potential for CTGDF despite a well-maintained GPM.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer – Addressing Recent Investors’ Concerns

<ul><li>1H ended with 3 beats, 3 misses and 5 in-lines. The wrap-up of 1H/ 2Q earnings season has largely reset market expectation with latest earnings forecasts, management guidance and hence a refreshed 2H outlook.</li><li>In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion for staple players.</li><li>Meanwhile, lockdown risks prompt us to reside with plays that enjoy high online sales mix, and more importantly, relevant to the upcoming Double 11 campaign.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

1H ended with 3 beats, 3 misses and 5 in-lines. The wrap-up of 1H/ 2Q earnings season has largely reset market expectation with latest earnings forecasts, management guidance and hence a refreshed 2H outlook.In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion for staple players.Meanwhile, lockdown risks prompt us to reside with plays that enjoy high online sales mix, and more importantly, relevant to the upcoming Double 11 campaign.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Staples – A diverging 1H; mix upgrade and cost savings were keys to stay relevant

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Undoubtedly, Proya is on track to deliver its long-term financial target stipulated in its ESOP.</li><li>On the flip side, however, this could inevitably imply growth momentum to peak-out/ fully-priced in the medium term, especially when the low hanging fruit from livestreaming is gone.</li><li>We think Proya’s multiple re-rating could take a pause from here. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Undoubtedly, Proya is on track to deliver its long-term financial target stipulated in its ESOP.On the flip side, however, this could inevitably imply growth momentum to peak-out/ fully-priced in the medium term, especially when the low hanging fruit from livestreaming is gone.We think Proya’s multiple re-rating could take a pause from here. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH) – ESOP & Mgt Sell-Off Signal Growth to Peak-Out

<ul><li>2023 guidance maintained. During the conference call, management reiterated its 2023 growth outlook to be in line with its ESOP target at 23% YoY, with steadily improving GPM.</li><li>Of note, the plan was initiated in July last year with vesting condition stipulated to be no less than 25%/ 23%/ 22% revenue/ net profit growth YoY for 2022-24E.</li><li>This year, selling and R&amp;D expense could kick-in higher along with intensifying promotional campaigns and new launches, but such is likely to be offset by a stable administration expense ratio. Net-net, we expect a small increase in net margins.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

2023 guidance maintained. During the conference call, management reiterated its 2023 growth outlook to be in line with its ESOP target at 23% YoY, with steadily improving GPM.Of note, the plan was initiated in July last year with vesting condition stipulated to be no less than 25%/ 23%/ 22% revenue/ net profit growth YoY for 2022-24E.This year, selling and R&amp;D expense could kick-in higher along with intensifying promotional campaigns and new launches, but such is likely to be offset by a stable administration expense ratio. Net-net, we expect a small increase in net margins.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH) – 1Q in line; 2023 guidance maintained

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Proya pre-announced its 3Q operating data, with revenue and net profits growing at 14-23%/ 30-45% YoY to RMB1.25bn to RMB1.35bn/ RMB180mn to RMB200mn, respectively.</li><li>The trajectory was in line with our expectation that 3Q sales moderate from 1H when part of July’s demand has been pulled forward to 618, and momentum for Aug and Sep should have normalised to positive growth.</li><li>On the other hand, net profits was a beat. Without much detail, and excluding any non-core items, we estimate this would likely be contributed by better margins, as a result of both mix upgrade and marketing cost savings.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Proya pre-announced its 3Q operating data, with revenue and net profits growing at 14-23%/ 30-45% YoY to RMB1.25bn to RMB1.35bn/ RMB180mn to RMB200mn, respectively.The trajectory was in line with our expectation that 3Q sales moderate from 1H when part of July’s demand has been pulled forward to 618, and momentum for Aug and Sep should have normalised to positive growth.On the other hand, net profits was a beat. Without much detail, and excluding any non-core items, we estimate this would likely be contributed by better margins, as a result of both mix upgrade and marketing cost savings.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH) – 3Q a Small Beat

China

Proya Cosmetics Co., Ltd. operates as a cosmetics products manufacturing company. The Company researches and markets skin care products, make up, body wash, and other related products. Proya Cosmetics markets its products throughout China.

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Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH)

China Consumer – Addressing Recent Investors’ Concerns

A non-eventful 3Q. While earnings cuts and de-ratings have taken place and reset market expectation across 1H results, in our view, earnings...

CMB International

China Consumer Staples – A diverging 1H; mix upgrade and cost savings were keys to stay relevant

In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion...

CMB International