ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a>  has successfully spun off its Auto trading subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autopedia-sukses-lestari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35508:1" rel="noopener">Autopedia Sukses Lestari (ASLC IJ)</a> through an IPO reducing debt and raising capital to grow the business.</li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autopedia-sukses-lestari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35508:1" rel="noopener">Autopedia</a> will focus on growing its online O2O business through Caroline, with a captive supply of used cars from its auction and car leasing businesses plus offline infrastructure in place.</li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> also looks attractive for its logistics and last-mile business, which is close to profitability and now more than 50% of its revenues and growing fast.</li>
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Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)  has successfully spun off its Auto trading subsidiary Autopedia Sukses Lestari (ASLC IJ) through an IPO reducing debt and raising capital to grow the business.

Autopedia will focus on growing its online O2O business through Caroline, with a captive supply of used cars from its auction and car leasing businesses plus offline infrastructure in place.

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) also looks attractive for its logistics and last-mile business, which is close to profitability and now more than 50% of its revenues and growing fast.


Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Crystalizing Used Car Value

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> just released its 9M2021 results, which saw revenues increase +61.7% YoY to IDR3,475bn, gross profit rise by +20.1% YoY, with net profit up by +233.5% YoY.</p>
<p>The strong performance was supported by a resilient performance from the company's car rental and car auction businesses, boosted by the explosive growth from its last-mile express delivery business under Anteraja, which now makes up more than 50% of sales. </p>
<p>Management highlight that Anteraja is expected to remain the largest contributor to sales going forward, given that it is directly plugged into the e-commerce delivery eco-system.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> has already announced that it will collaborate with both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> to strengthen its last-mile ecosystem.</p>
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<p>The company is already the largest car auction company in Indonesia through JBA BidWin and is in the process of enhancing its used vehicles eco-system to digitise the information across what is a highly fragmented market.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> car rental business is the largest in Indonesia and its fleet has consistently grown each year over the past 5-years, providing a stable source of revenues.</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> is an increasingly direct way to play the growth in the Indonesian digital economy through its exposure to logistics and the last-mile through Anteraja, which now makes up more than 50% of sales. The company trades on 37x FY22E PER and 25x FY23E PER but on 12.6x FY22EV/EBITDA and 9.4x FY23E EV/EBITDA, which is a better measure of value for a growth company such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a>. </p>
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Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) just released its 9M2021 results, which saw revenues increase +61.7% YoY to IDR3,475bn, gross profit rise by +20.1% YoY, with net profit up by +233.5% YoY.
The strong performance was supported by a resilient performance from the company's car rental and car auction businesses, boosted by the explosive growth from its last-mile express delivery business under Anteraja, which now makes up more than 50% of sales. 
Management highlight that Anteraja is expected to remain the largest contributor to sales going forward, given that it is directly plugged into the e-commerce delivery eco-system.
Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) has already announced that it will collaborate with both Gojek and Grab to strengthen its last-mile ecosystem.



The company is already the largest car auction company in Indonesia through JBA BidWin and is in the process of enhancing its used vehicles eco-system to digitise the information across what is a highly fragmented market.
Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) car rental business is the largest in Indonesia and its fleet has consistently grown each year over the past 5-years, providing a stable source of revenues.

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is an increasingly direct way to play the growth in the Indonesian digital economy through its exposure to logistics and the last-mile through Anteraja, which now makes up more than 50% of sales. The company trades on 37x FY22E PER and 25x FY23E PER but on 12.6x FY22EV/EBITDA and 9.4x FY23E EV/EBITDA, which is a better measure of value for a growth company such as Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ). 





Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Anteraja Takes the Helm

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> has a unique combination of different parts of the mobility ecosystem in Indonesia from corporate car rental, to car auction, and online marketplace but it is its end-to-end logistics business, and especially Anteraja, that is plugged directly into Indonesia's booming digital economy, that makes this an exciting story.</p>
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<section class="figure">Anteraja has expanded its coverage area significantly and is now present in 600 service points in 34 provinces across the archipelago.  It accounted for 47% of total sales in 1H2021 and is likely to account for more than 50% of sales by 2H2021.</section>
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<section class="figure"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> 1H2021 results saw the company's revenues grow by +50.4% YoY, with gross profit up +20% YoY, while operating profit grew +43.7%, and the company's net profit grew by +68.9% YoY</section>
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<p>In an interesting development, Anteraja, the last-mile delivery arm of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> has announced partnerships with both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek</a>, to integrate both company's logistics services into its last-mile ecosystem.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> is a very interesting way to play the growth in the Indonesian digital economy through its exposure to logistics and the last-mile through Anteraja, which makes up close to 50% of sales, whilst its remaining business in car rental and car auction continue to produce stable growth.</p>
<p>The company trades on 42x FY22E PER and 31x FY223E PER but on 16.9x FY21EV/EBITDA and 13.4x FY23E EV/EBITDA, which is probably a better measure given that this is a growth company.</p>
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Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) has a unique combination of different parts of the mobility ecosystem in Indonesia from corporate car rental, to car auction, and online marketplace but it is its end-to-end logistics business, and especially Anteraja, that is plugged directly into Indonesia's booming digital economy, that makes this an exciting story.



Anteraja has expanded its coverage area significantly and is now present in 600 service points in 34 provinces across the archipelago.  It accounted for 47% of total sales in 1H2021 and is likely to account for more than 50% of sales by 2H2021.



Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) 1H2021 results saw the company's revenues grow by +50.4% YoY, with gross profit up +20% YoY, while operating profit grew +43.7%, and the company's net profit grew by +68.9% YoY

In an interesting development, Anteraja, the last-mile delivery arm of Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) has announced partnerships with both Grab and Gojek, to integrate both company's logistics services into its last-mile ecosystem.
Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is a very interesting way to play the growth in the Indonesian digital economy through its exposure to logistics and the last-mile through Anteraja, which makes up close to 50% of sales, whilst its remaining business in car rental and car auction continue to produce stable growth.
The company trades on 42x FY22E PER and 31x FY223E PER but on 16.9x FY21EV/EBITDA and 13.4x FY23E EV/EBITDA, which is probably a better measure given that this is a growth company.









Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - From the First to the Last Mile

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<p>The LQ45 Index is a market cap weighted index of the 45 most liquid stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The LQ45 Index covers at least 70% of the stock market capitalization and transaction values in the Indonesia Stock Market.</p><p>The IDX has announced the changes to the LQ45 Index as a part of the August review. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8851:1" rel="noopener">Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a> have been added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-pensiunan-nasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27088:1" rel="noopener">Bank BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)</a> have been deleted from the index.</p><p>We expect the impact of passive funds (and active funds) will be quite high on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8851:1" rel="noopener">Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bit-digital-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31155:1" rel="noopener">Bit Digital (BTBT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)</a> and significantly lower on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a>.</p><p>The changes are effective after the close of trading on 30 July, so there are only 4 trading days before passive funds have to rebalance their portfolios. Active funds benchmarked to the LQ45 index will also trade over the next few days so as not to deviate too far from their benchmark.</p>

The LQ45 Index is a market cap weighted index of the 45 most liquid stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The LQ45 Index covers at least 70% of the stock market capitalization and transaction values in the Indonesia Stock Market.The IDX has announced the changes to the LQ45 Index as a part of the August review. Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ) and Timah Persero (TINS IJ) have been added to the index while Bank BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ) and Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ) have been deleted from the index.We expect the impact of passive funds (and active funds) will be quite high on Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ), Bit Digital (BTBT US) and Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ) and significantly lower on Timah Persero (TINS IJ).The changes are effective after the close of trading on 30 July, so there are only 4 trading days before passive funds have to rebalance their portfolios. Active funds benchmarked to the LQ45 index will also trade over the next few days so as not to deviate too far from their benchmark.

LQ45 Index Rebalance: BRPT, TINS In; BTPS, CTRA Out

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> released a stellar set of 1Q2021 results, with revenue growth of +37.3% YoY, and net profit growth of +27.1% YoY, which continued to reflect better than expected growth in its end-to-end logistics business, and notably Anteraja, its last-mile delivery service.</p>
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<p>The company's three pillars including transport, car auction, and end-to-end logistics, all registered strong growth. The company's last-mile express delivery service Anteraja saw especially strong growth driven by the e-commerce ecosystem as it is providing deliveries for most of the major players. </p>
<p>Anteraja's continues to expand its business, with daily parcel deliveries hitting 500,000 in 1Q2021 and targets 700,000-750,000 parcels a day by the end of the year.</p>
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<section class="figure"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a>'s auction business also recorded positive revenue growth of +3.8%  in 1Q2021 but has seen a recent pick up in growth. </section>
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<section class="figure"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener"></a>The company continues to develop its app-based businesses such as Share Car and used car marketplace, Caroline.</section>
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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> targets revenue growth 0f +20%-25% for 2021 mainly driven by the growth from end-to-end logistics and specifically Anteraja, together with e-commerce sharing warehouse Titipaja. </p>
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<p>The company also recently had its rights issue of zero-coupon convertible bonds approved, which will raise a total of IDR720bn. This will help the company reduce the debt used to expand its logistics businesses over the past year.</p>
<p>We continue to believe in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> digital transformation story, with ongoing synergies between the three pillars of its business.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> trades on 10.9x FY21E EV/EBITDA and 8.7x FY22E EV/EBITDA and an FY22E PER of 30x but we expect continuing momentum behind the growth and rising profitability story, as Anteraja gains scale and grows its revenues.</p>
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Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) released a stellar set of 1Q2021 results, with revenue growth of +37.3% YoY, and net profit growth of +27.1% YoY, which continued to reflect better than expected growth in its end-to-end logistics business, and notably Anteraja, its last-mile delivery service.

The company's three pillars including transport, car auction, and end-to-end logistics, all registered strong growth. The company's last-mile express delivery service Anteraja saw especially strong growth driven by the e-commerce ecosystem as it is providing deliveries for most of the major players. 
Anteraja's continues to expand its business, with daily parcel deliveries hitting 500,000 in 1Q2021 and targets 700,000-750,000 parcels a day by the end of the year.

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)'s auction business also recorded positive revenue growth of +3.8%  in 1Q2021 but has seen a recent pick up in growth. 



The company continues to develop its app-based businesses such as Share Car and used car marketplace, Caroline.





Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) targets revenue growth 0f +20%-25% for 2021 mainly driven by the growth from end-to-end logistics and specifically Anteraja, together with e-commerce sharing warehouse Titipaja. 

The company also recently had its rights issue of zero-coupon convertible bonds approved, which will raise a total of IDR720bn. This will help the company reduce the debt used to expand its logistics businesses over the past year.
We continue to believe in the Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) digital transformation story, with ongoing synergies between the three pillars of its business.
Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) trades on 10.9x FY21E EV/EBITDA and 8.7x FY22E EV/EBITDA and an FY22E PER of 30x but we expect continuing momentum behind the growth and rising profitability story, as Anteraja gains scale and grows its revenues.






Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - End-To End Aspirations on Track

Indonesia

PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk is an Indonesia-based company that provides integrated mobility and logistics solutions. Its core activities encompass vehicle rental services for individuals and corporations, professional driver services, logistics distribution, asset management, and a vehicle sales ecosystem, including automotive auctions and online vehicle trading. The company is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, and was founded in 1999.

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Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)