External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Yield volatility and heightened China risk factor has led to recent market volatility resulting in outflow from both Equity and Fixed Income.</li><li>The recession narrative appears abating as seen in more steepening yield curve as the 10 years UST yield rise.</li><li>BI continue to intervene the market to manage IDR stability. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yield volatility and heightened China risk factor has led to recent market volatility resulting in outflow from both Equity and Fixed Income.The recession narrative appears abating as seen in more steepening yield curve as the 10 years UST yield rise.BI continue to intervene the market to manage IDR stability. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro and Flows Tracker - GTV to Step-Up, Gojek + Tokped Upside Revisited

<ul><li>We still see no room for rate cuts at this juncture and expect BI to keep its 7DRRR intact</li><li>Fiscal expansion will be the key to address signs of growing domestic weakness, underpinned by the current large fiscal surplus</li><li>Overall, the mutual funds industry saw increases in both AUM and participation units in May 2023, with the average cash level rising to 6.8%, the first increase in 5 months</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We still see no room for rate cuts at this juncture and expect BI to keep its 7DRRR intactFiscal expansion will be the key to address signs of growing domestic weakness, underpinned by the current large fiscal surplusOverall, the mutual funds industry saw increases in both AUM and participation units in May 2023, with the average cash level rising to 6.8%, the first increase in 5 monthsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro and Flows Tracker - Impetus for the Market

<ul><li>This is a major week for macro data with expectations of a Fed pause, driven by moderation in the inflation print, rising unemployment, and a surge in unemployment benefit claims</li><li>The FOMC's June Summary of Economic Projections will provide details on the macro trajectory, especially the prospect for rate cuts in 2024</li><li>More countries have a weakening PMI trend, with half of them in the contraction zone</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

This is a major week for macro data with expectations of a Fed pause, driven by moderation in the inflation print, rising unemployment, and a surge in unemployment benefit claimsThe FOMC's June Summary of Economic Projections will provide details on the macro trajectory, especially the prospect for rate cuts in 2024More countries have a weakening PMI trend, with half of them in the contraction zoneContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro and Flows Tracker - The Tipping Point

<ul><li>Several macro developments may sway consumer sentiment in the coming months</li><li>Tech platforms will be the beneficiaries with improved trends in consumption and more personalized spending</li><li>GOTO is sharpening their operations and their efforts should flourish in 3Q-4Q23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Several macro developments may sway consumer sentiment in the coming monthsTech platforms will be the beneficiaries with improved trends in consumption and more personalized spendingGOTO is sharpening their operations and their efforts should flourish in 3Q-4Q23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Tech for innovation, personalization & prosperity

<ul><li>The US Debt Ceiling Bill has passed the Senate, allowing the Treasury to raise funds for TGA and pay debt interest</li><li>The market expects around US$1tn in new T-bill issuances, potentially reducing liquidity and increasing yield volatility</li><li>Domestically, weaker growth was signalled by the slowing of Money Supply (M2) growth to 5.5% y-o-y in April, the slowest in four years, partly due to a slowdown in loans growth and a decline in working capital credit</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The US Debt Ceiling Bill has passed the Senate, allowing the Treasury to raise funds for TGA and pay debt interestThe market expects around US$1tn in new T-bill issuances, potentially reducing liquidity and increasing yield volatilityDomestically, weaker growth was signalled by the slowing of Money Supply (M2) growth to 5.5% y-o-y in April, the slowest in four years, partly due to a slowdown in loans growth and a decline in working capital creditContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro and Flows Tracker - Liquidity Headwind

Indonesia

GoTo is an Indonesian technology company that operates the largest digital ecosystem in the country. It provides integrated services including on-demand mobility (Gojek), e-commerce (Tokopedia), payments, and financial technology. The company is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, and was formed in 2021 through the merger of Gojek and Tokopedia.

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GoTo (GOTO IJ)

Macro and Flows Tracker - GTV to Step-Up, Gojek + Tokped Upside Revisited

Yield volatility and heightened China risk factor has led to recent market volatility resulting in outflow from both Equity and Fixed Income.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro and Flows Tracker - Impetus for the Market

Fiscal expansion will be the key to address signs of growing domestic weakness, underpinned by the current large fiscal surplus

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro and Flows Tracker - The Tipping Point

This is a major week for macro data with expectations of a Fed pause, driven by moderation in the inflation print, rising unemployment, and a surge...

BRI Danareksa Research

Technology - Tech for innovation, personalization & prosperity

Several macro developments may sway consumer sentiment in the coming months. Tech platforms will be the beneficiaries with improved trends in...

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro and Flows Tracker - Liquidity Headwind

Domestically, weaker growth was signalled by the slowing of Money Supply (M2) growth to 5.5% y-o-y in April, the slowest in four years, partly due...

BRI Danareksa Research

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