External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.</li><li>Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.</li><li>Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

<ul><li>Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.</li><li>MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.</li><li>Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Liquidity shows early signs of improvement as SRBI yields fall and IndONIA drops; fiscal disbursement expected to lead recovery further.</li><li>BI is likely to maintain its dovish stance and have time to assess before proceeding with further rate cuts, given current liquidity conditions.</li><li>US tariff shift could shield Indonesia’s exports, but cheap imports threaten domestic market requiring policies intervention.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Liquidity shows early signs of improvement as SRBI yields fall and IndONIA drops; fiscal disbursement expected to lead recovery further.BI is likely to maintain its dovish stance and have time to assess before proceeding with further rate cuts, given current liquidity conditions.US tariff shift could shield Indonesia’s exports, but cheap imports threaten domestic market requiring policies intervention.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The Tailwinds and Trade-Off

<ul><li>Nickel ore price has risen +19% YTD, while NPI declined -2%, pressuring non-integrated mines from inventory stocking at thin margins.</li><li>Despite recent reversal of nickel ore premium trend, 2H25 outlook hinges on supply addition, restocking season and RKAB approval.</li><li>We reiterate our Neutral rating on the sector and continue to favor ore over MHP and NPI; INCO and MBMA are our current top picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nickel ore price has risen +19% YTD, while NPI declined -2%, pressuring non-integrated mines from inventory stocking at thin margins.Despite recent reversal of nickel ore premium trend, 2H25 outlook hinges on supply addition, restocking season and RKAB approval.We reiterate our Neutral rating on the sector and continue to favor ore over MHP and NPI; INCO and MBMA are our current top picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metal Mining: Ore Premium Reversal in Jul25

<ul><li>The MEMR on Saturday 8th Mar25 officially proposed an increase in royalty rate for Coal, Nickel, Copper, Gold, Silver, and Tin.</li><li>The impact on royalty hike varies, though INCO and TINS are most impacted due to their large exposure to affected products.</li><li>We reiterate our Neutral rating on the metal mining sector with a pecking order of ANTM&gt; NCKL&gt; TINS&gt; INCO&gt; MBMA&gt; MDKA.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The MEMR on Saturday 8th Mar25 officially proposed an increase in royalty rate for Coal, Nickel, Copper, Gold, Silver, and Tin.The impact on royalty hike varies, though INCO and TINS are most impacted due to their large exposure to affected products.We reiterate our Neutral rating on the metal mining sector with a pecking order of ANTM&gt; NCKL&gt; TINS&gt; INCO&gt; MBMA&gt; MDKA.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metal Mining: Proposed Royalty Hike Will Pressure FY25 Earnings (NEUTRAL)

Indonesia

PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk is an Indonesian metal and mineral mining holding company that explores, extracts, and produces gold, silver, copper, and other related minerals. The company operates the Tujuh Bukit Gold Mine, Wetar Copper Mine, and is developing the Pani Gold Mine and Tujuh Bukit Copper Project, along with Merdeka Battery Materials for nickel production. It was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ)

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

Indonesia’s economy maintained solid momentum in 3Q25, recording 5.04% y-y (1.43% q-q) growth, although slightly easing from 2Q25’s 5.12%.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: The Tailwinds and Trade-Off

Liquidity shows early signs of improvement as SRBI yields fall and IndONIA drops; fiscal disbursement expected to lead recovery further.

BRI Danareksa Research

Metal Mining: Ore Premium Reversal in Jul25

Nickel ore price has risen +19% YTD, while NPI declined -2%, pressuring non-integrated mines from inventory stocking at thin margins.

BRI Danareksa Research

Metal Mining: Proposed Royalty Hike Will Pressure FY25 Earnings (NEUTRAL)

The MEMR on Saturday 8th Mar25 officially proposed an increase in royalty rate for Coal, Nickel, Copper, Gold, Silver, and Tin.

BRI Danareksa Research

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