Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">Indonesia has been strong as investors have been more willing to invest in riskier assets throughout 2016.</li></ul><ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">Tax amnesty program being successful is part of the reason for the enthusiasm. Good for the currency and for government spending/infrastructure.</li></ul><ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">We believe that investor attitudes towards China are set to change in the coming months and that will be very positive for SE Asian markets.</li></ul><ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">
A period of relative uncertainty in Thailand and volatile politics in Philippines makes Indonesia one of the…</li></ul>

Indonesia has been strong as investors have been more willing to invest in riskier assets throughout 2016.Tax amnesty program being successful is part of the reason for the enthusiasm. Good for the currency and for government spending/infrastructure.We believe that investor attitudes towards China are set to change in the coming months and that will be very positive for SE Asian markets.
A period of relative uncertainty in Thailand and volatile politics in Philippines makes Indonesia one of the…

The Verdict on Investing in Indonesia - Riedel CNBC Interview

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of growth recorded since 1Q2014, and was largely driven by household expenditure and investment. Household expenditure, which grew 5.04% y-o-y compared to 4.94% y-o-y in 1Q, was partially supported by the Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr festivities in June. Gross fixed capital formation came in at 5.06% y-o-y in 2Q compared to an increase of 5.57% y-o-y in the…

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of growth recorded since 1Q2014, and was largely driven by household expenditure and investment. Household expenditure, which grew 5.04% y-o-y compared to 4.94% y-o-y in 1Q, was partially supported by the Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr festivities in June. Gross fixed capital formation came in at 5.06% y-o-y in 2Q compared to an increase of 5.57% y-o-y in the…

Indonesia: Strong Household Expenditure Drives GDP in 2Q2016

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Equity Bottom-Up

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

<ul>
<li>Since inception (May 15th), our Model Portfolio has appreciated 17.0% - same as MSCI Asia-ex Japan.  Since the last rebalancing (7th November) our Portfolio declined 2.5% vs MXASJ's 1.3% drop.</li>
<li>The recent underperformance came from drawdowns in Tencent Music, Tencent, Alibaba, Hynix, Hyundai Rotem, TSMC. We reduce the first two slightly, exclude BBCA, include Adani Ports, SCB, MAPI, HK Land.</li>
<li>We remain Overweight HK/China and Korea. We upgrade India to Overweight from Neutral, Thailand from Underweight to Neutral, and downgrade Indonesia to Underweight from Neutral. Stay Underweight Taiwan, Neutral Singapore.</li>
</ul>


Since inception (May 15th), our Model Portfolio has appreciated 17.0% - same as MSCI Asia-ex Japan.  Since the last rebalancing (7th November) our Portfolio declined 2.5% vs MXASJ's 1.3% drop.
The recent underperformance came from drawdowns in Tencent Music, Tencent, Alibaba, Hynix, Hyundai Rotem, TSMC. We reduce the first two slightly, exclude BBCA, include Adani Ports, SCB, MAPI, HK Land.
We remain Overweight HK/China and Korea. We upgrade India to Overweight from Neutral, Thailand from Underweight to Neutral, and downgrade Indonesia to Underweight from Neutral. Stay Underweight Taiwan, Neutral Singapore.


Asian Equities: Rebalancing Our Model Portfolio - More to India and ASEAN

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Indonesia’s leading retailer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)</a>, dominates the country’s major malls with 150 brands. It booked a solid 2Q2025 despite the seasonal impact from Lebaran.</li>
<li>The company’s growth was led by active wear and fashion, with luxury brands outperforming in 2Q2025, although the Inditex brands continued to dominate fashion, with digital business also rebounding.</li>
<li>MAPI’s expansion into Southeast Asia has slowed, as it focuses on Indonesia. Valuations attractive, with a forecast recovery in 2H2025, with recent troubles providing a  buying opportunity. </li>
</ul>


Indonesia’s leading retailer, Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), dominates the country’s major malls with 150 brands. It booked a solid 2Q2025 despite the seasonal impact from Lebaran.
The company’s growth was led by active wear and fashion, with luxury brands outperforming in 2Q2025, although the Inditex brands continued to dominate fashion, with digital business also rebounding.
MAPI’s expansion into Southeast Asia has slowed, as it focuses on Indonesia. Valuations attractive, with a forecast recovery in 2H2025, with recent troubles providing a  buying opportunity. 


Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) - Retail Therapy

Indonesia

PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk is a leading lifestyle retailer in Indonesia, operating a diversified portfolio of over 3,800 retail stores across various categories including sports, fashion, department stores, kids, food & beverage, and lifestyle products. The company also acts as a distributor for several international brands. It was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.

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Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)

The Verdict on Investing in Indonesia - Riedel CNBC Interview

Indonesia has been strong as investors have been more willing to invest in riskier assets throughout 2016.Tax amnesty program being successful is...

David Riedel

Indonesia: Strong Household Expenditure Drives GDP in 2Q2016

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of...

Rajan Govil

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually...

Rajan Govil

Asian Equities: Rebalancing Our Model Portfolio - More to India and ASEAN

Our Model Portfolio has risen 17% since inception, same as MXASJ. Drops in tech & defense stocks drove recent underperformance. We adjust our...

Manishi Raychaudhuri