Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index rebalance ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 30 January.</li>
<li>We highlight 3 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. Depending on the index committee discretion, the actual number of changes could be lower/higher.</li>
<li>The impact on the forecast inclusions is not very high but the impact on the forecast deletion is much higher.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index rebalance ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 30 January.
We highlight 3 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. Depending on the index committee discretion, the actual number of changes could be lower/higher.
The impact on the forecast inclusions is not very high but the impact on the forecast deletion is much higher.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2026): Identifying Potential Index Changes

Dian Swastatika Sentosa / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dian-swastatika-sentosa-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15281:1" rel="noopener">Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)</a> will be added to a global index in August and that should come as a surprise to most of the market.</li>
<li>The stock is up 10x over the last 18 months and liquidity has shown a marked improvement in the last year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dian-swastatika-sentosa-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15281:1" rel="noopener">Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)</a> trades at nosebleed valuations and there is the risk of a sell off following index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) will be added to a global index in August and that should come as a surprise to most of the market.
The stock is up 10x over the last 18 months and liquidity has shown a marked improvement in the last year.

Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) trades at nosebleed valuations and there is the risk of a sell off following index inclusion.


Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ): Surprise, Surprise!

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-petrindo-jaya-kreasi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44320:1" rel="noopener">PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (CUAN IJ)</a> could be added to a global index in August but there are multiple risks for the stock.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-petrindo-jaya-kreasi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44320:1" rel="noopener">PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (CUAN IJ)</a> trades at significantly higher multiples compared to its peers and the recent price spike raises the risk of addition to the UMA list.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-petrindo-jaya-kreasi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44320:1" rel="noopener">PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (CUAN IJ)</a> has outperformed its peers and positioning is big, raising the risk of the stock moving lower over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>



PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (CUAN IJ) could be added to a global index in August but there are multiple risks for the stock.

PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (CUAN IJ) trades at significantly higher multiples compared to its peers and the recent price spike raises the risk of addition to the UMA list.

PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk (CUAN IJ) has outperformed its peers and positioning is big, raising the risk of the stock moving lower over the next few weeks.


Petrindo Jaya Kreasi (CUAN IJ): Potential Global Index Inclusion & The Risks

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended on 30 June. The changes should be announced later in two weeks, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>We highlight 2 potential inclusions and 2 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance, though there is a possibility that there are no constituent changes.</li>
<li>Both potential inclusions will have over 2x ADV to trade from passive trackers and the flow is significant for one stock.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended on 30 June. The changes should be announced later in two weeks, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
We highlight 2 potential inclusions and 2 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance, though there is a possibility that there are no constituent changes.
Both potential inclusions will have over 2x ADV to trade from passive trackers and the flow is significant for one stock.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jul 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index April rebalance ended 31 March. The changes should be announced later this week, becoming effective after the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.</li>
<li>All the potential changes have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers and some stocks will be impacted more than others.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index April rebalance ended 31 March. The changes should be announced later this week, becoming effective after the close on 30 April.
We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.
All the potential changes have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers and some stocks will be impacted more than others.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Apr 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

Indonesia

PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi is a holding company engaged in mineral and energy mining, primarily focusing on coal and gold operations through its subsidiaries. It produces thermal and metallurgical coal products and explores for resources including gold, silver, copper, and silica sand. The company also offers mining contracting, engineering, procurement, and construction services, as well as offshore supply base and other infrastructure services. Headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, the company was founded in 2008.

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Petrindo Jaya Kreasi (CUAN IJ)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2026): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We highlight 3 sets of changes for the LQ45 in January. The forecast adds have surged while the forecast deletes have dropped. Historically, adds...

Brian Freitas

Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ): Surprise, Surprise!

Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) got slammed yesterday following a global index providers decision to add the stock to the index at half the...

Brian Freitas