Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Sawit Sumbermas Sarana (SSMS) released soft FY 2018 results, as profitability weakened on a decline in CPO prices. Gross profit and EBITDA decreased 7% and 15% y-o-y, respectively. Operating cash flow also decreased significantly (-64% to IDR 324 bn). Furthermore, the leverage profile continued to deteriorate, with Debt/EBITDA at 5.2x (FY 2017: 3.3x) and Net Debt/EBITDA at 3.2x (FY 2017: 1.8x). We note that the company failed to achieve its previously stated Net Debt/EBITDA target of below 3x.  Part of the increase in debt was used to fund loans to related parties, which increased by c. IDR 500 bn to IDR 2.2 tn at FYE 2018. We continue to view such loans as a major negative. SMSS is aiming for 10% sales growth in FY 2019.

   Sawit Sumbermas Sarana (SSMS) released soft FY 2018 results, as profitability weakened on a decline in CPO prices. Gross profit and EBITDA decreased 7% and 15% y-o-y, respectively. Operating cash flow also decreased significantly (-64% to IDR 324 bn). Furthermore, the leverage profile continued to deteriorate, with Debt/EBITDA at 5.2x (FY 2017: 3.3x) and Net Debt/EBITDA at 3.2x (FY 2017: 1.8x). We note that the company failed to achieve its previously stated Net Debt/EBITDA target of below 3x.     Part of the increase in debt was used to fund loans to related parties, which increased by c. IDR 500 bn to IDR 2.2 tn at FYE 2018. We continue to view such loans as a major negative. SMSS is aiming for 10% sales growth in FY 2019. 

Sawit Sumbermas - Earnings Flash - FY 2018 Results - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar. 

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 03 Apr 2019

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on the Chinese property sector, including contracted sales trends, regulatory actions and financing conditions. We also broadly comment on the FY 2018 results for developers under our coverage.  The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

   In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on the Chinese property sector, including contracted sales trends, regulatory actions and financing conditions. We also broadly comment on the FY 2018 results for developers under our coverage.     The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - China Property Update - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for March includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

   The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for March includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - March 2019 - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at key developments in the global oil & gas markets in 2018 and consider the 2019 outlook. We also review recent performance and prospects for the O&G issuers under our coverage. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

   In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at key developments in the global oil & gas markets in 2018 and consider the 2019 outlook. We also review recent performance and prospects for the O&G issuers under our coverage.    The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Oil & Gas Overview - Lucror Analytics

Indonesia

PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk is an integrated palm oil company that cultivates oil palm, processes fresh fruit bunches into crude palm oil and palm kernels, and produces derivatives like palm kernel oil. The company manages oil palm estates, palm oil mills, and a biogas plant, also providing related consulting and trading services. It was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pangkalan Bun, Indonesia.

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Sawit Sumbermas Sarana (SSMS IJ)

Sawit Sumbermas - Earnings Flash - FY 2018 Results - Lucror Analytics

Sawit Sumbermas Sarana (SSMS) released soft FY 2018 results, as profitability weakened on a decline in CPO prices. Gross profit and EBITDA...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 03 Apr 2019

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - China Property Update - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on the Chinese property sector, including contracted sales trends, regulatory actions...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - March 2019 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for March includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Oil & Gas Overview - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at key developments in the global oil & gas markets in 2018 and consider the 2019 outlook. We...

Lucror Analytics

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