ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A company visit with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya</a> revealed confidence in the outlook with its more aggressive store expansion on track, as it nearly draws level with Indomaret.</li>
<li>The company remains focused on expanding its Lawson convenience store outlets plus larger size Midi outlets. Its membership scheme is growing fast with 10m shopping once a week. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)</a> remains a core retail holding, with its premium valuation justified by its strong growth prospects, with estimated 2-year Forward EPS growth of +25% and +17%. </li>
</ul>


A company visit with Sumber Alfaria Trijaya revealed confidence in the outlook with its more aggressive store expansion on track, as it nearly draws level with Indomaret.
The company remains focused on expanding its Lawson convenience store outlets plus larger size Midi outlets. Its membership scheme is growing fast with 10m shopping once a week. 

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) remains a core retail holding, with its premium valuation justified by its strong growth prospects, with estimated 2-year Forward EPS growth of +25% and +17%. 


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Ongoing Momentum Sustained

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)</a> came through a slower 3Q2023 with much stronger growth than peers, with SSSG and rapid store expansion driving growth, and margins improving concurrently.</li>
<li>The company added more than 1,300 new stores for 9M2023 and looks set to add a record 1,800 by year-end, with new Alfamidi and Lawson stores driving growth.</li>
<li>AMRT will see an even stronger seasonally higher 4Q2023, with SSSG likely to pick up boosted by supplier rebates and news store contributions. FY2024 looks set to be equally strong.</li>
</ul>



Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) came through a slower 3Q2023 with much stronger growth than peers, with SSSG and rapid store expansion driving growth, and margins improving concurrently.
The company added more than 1,300 new stores for 9M2023 and looks set to add a record 1,800 by year-end, with new Alfamidi and Lawson stores driving growth.
AMRT will see an even stronger seasonally higher 4Q2023, with SSSG likely to pick up boosted by supplier rebates and news store contributions. FY2024 looks set to be equally strong.


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Running Ahead of the Pack

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gudang-garam-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:722:1" rel="noopener">Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ)</a> in the LQ45 Index next week.</li>
<li>There are some large changes to free float plus capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>There could be jumps in the stocks of the adds/deletes today, though there should be pre-positioning and a potential reversal later in the week.</li>
</ul>



Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ) and Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) will replace Timah Persero (TINS IJ) and Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ) in the LQ45 Index next week.
There are some large changes to free float plus capping changes for Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) and Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ). 
There could be jumps in the stocks of the adds/deletes today, though there should be pre-positioning and a potential reversal later in the week.


​​​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Two Changes in a Few Days

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)</a> booked some strong SSSG for June bringing its YTD number into line with its FY2023 projections after post Lebaran adjustment in May. </li>
<li>The company will embark on a more aggressive store rollout for this year with plans for 2,100 new stores, including 200 Alfamidi stores and 500 Lawson convenience stores. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ)</a> continues to grow its membership program under AlfaGift with 16.3m members, which helps to gather valuable data and grow sales. Valuations are attractive.  </li>
</ul>



Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) booked some strong SSSG for June bringing its YTD number into line with its FY2023 projections after post Lebaran adjustment in May. 
The company will embark on a more aggressive store rollout for this year with plans for 2,100 new stores, including 200 Alfamidi stores and 500 Lawson convenience stores. 

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) continues to grow its membership program under AlfaGift with 16.3m members, which helps to gather valuable data and grow sales. Valuations are attractive.  


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Talking Mini-Markets and Convenience

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya</a> (Alfamart) continues to book solid growth in its core mini-market business but is now pushing harder with both larger format Alfamidi and Lawson convenience stores formats.</li>
<li>89%-Owned <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midi-utama-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4545:1" rel="noopener">Midi Utama Indonesia</a> (Alfamidi) recently announced a rights issue to finance the expansion of Alfamidi and Lawson underpinning its more aggressive expansion plans. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya</a> booked solid 1Q2023 numbers for its core business and continues to grow its digital connections and collaborations as an integral offline leg of the digital economy. </li>
</ul>



Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (Alfamart) continues to book solid growth in its core mini-market business but is now pushing harder with both larger format Alfamidi and Lawson convenience stores formats.
89%-Owned Midi Utama Indonesia (Alfamidi) recently announced a rights issue to finance the expansion of Alfamidi and Lawson underpinning its more aggressive expansion plans. 

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya booked solid 1Q2023 numbers for its core business and continues to grow its digital connections and collaborations as an integral offline leg of the digital economy. 


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - The Digital Pantry of the Middle Classes

Indonesia

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk is an Indonesian retail company engaged in the distribution of consumer products, operating minimarket networks and franchise services primarily under the Alfamart brand. It offers a wide range of food and non-food products, cosmetics, and provides digital services such as bill payments and e-vouchers. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.

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Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)