Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish SPX and ACWI since 4/22/25, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We discussed in our July 31, 2025 Int'l Compass how $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 were short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US, and ACWI-US found support at $128 the next day.</li>
<li>Europe (EURO STOXX 50) is the last of the major countries (from a global market cap perspective) to break out; we expect it to be next</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish SPX and ACWI since 4/22/25, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We discussed in our July 31, 2025 Int'l Compass how $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 were short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US, and ACWI-US found support at $128 the next day.
Europe (EURO STOXX 50) is the last of the major countries (from a global market cap perspective) to break out; we expect it to be next


Europe Next to Break Out?; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Korea, Greece, and the U.S.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.</li><li>Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).</li><li>Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Positive momentum continues as bond yields fell on global trends, driven by rate cut expectations and more dovish policy shifts.</li>
<li>Rapid yield declines risk reversal as inflation pressures and lesser easing prospects may widen Fed-market gap, increasing volatility ahead.</li>
<li>2Q25 GDP beat expectations, but mixed indicators persist, we expect several factors to signal stronger growth momentum in 2H.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Positive momentum continues as bond yields fell on global trends, driven by rate cut expectations and more dovish policy shifts.
Rapid yield declines risk reversal as inflation pressures and lesser easing prospects may widen Fed-market gap, increasing volatility ahead.
2Q25 GDP beat expectations, but mixed indicators persist, we expect several factors to signal stronger growth momentum in 2H.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.</li><li>Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).</li><li>Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse - Monday, 11 August 2025

<ul><li>Market review: Foreign funds outflow reaccelerated with -US$142mn, largely in big banks (BBCA -US$127mn and BMRI US$65mn), bringing YTD outflow to US$3.8bn.</li><li>Despite this, JCI managed to close flattish (- 0.1% w-w), supported by TLKM (+6% w-w), GOTO (12%) partly offsetting underperformance by the large-cap banks (BMRI -3% and BBCA -2%).</li><li>Our preliminary recap on 2Q25 results indicated that ~55% of companies under our coverage met earnings expectation, while 31% fell short and only 14% beat expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market review: Foreign funds outflow reaccelerated with -US$142mn, largely in big banks (BBCA -US$127mn and BMRI US$65mn), bringing YTD outflow to US$3.8bn.Despite this, JCI managed to close flattish (- 0.1% w-w), supported by TLKM (+6% w-w), GOTO (12%) partly offsetting underperformance by the large-cap banks (BMRI -3% and BBCA -2%).Our preliminary recap on 2Q25 results indicated that ~55% of companies under our coverage met earnings expectation, while 31% fell short and only 14% beat expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Domestic Funds’ Positioning in Key Sector

Indonesia

PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. is a telecommunication company that provides a variety of domestic telecommunications services such as telephone, telex, telegram, satellite, and leased lines services. The Company also offers electronic mail, mobile communication, and cellular phone services.

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Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ)

Europe Next to Break Out?; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Korea, Greece, and the U.S.

Europe Next to Break Out?; China and Japan Remain Attractive and a big focus since our July 3rd report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out;"...

Vermilion Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

MSCI’s Aug25 review announced the inclusion of DSSA and CUAN into the index, with exclusion of ADRO (into MSCI Small Cap).

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: Riding The Tailwinds

Positive momentum continues as bond yields fell on global trends, driven by rate cut expectations and more dovish policy shifts.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse - Monday, 11 August 2025

JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers. Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Domestic Funds’ Positioning in Key Sector

Market review: Foreign funds outflow reaccelerated with -US$142mn, largely in big banks (BBCA -US$127mn and BMRI US$65mn), bringing YTD outflow to...

BRI Danareksa Research

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