Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

PTT Exploration & Production / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We remain optimistic about PTTEP’s new 5-year investment plan given the budget of US$29.1bn,which will focus on existing and developing projects and target a 3.3% CAGR for sales volume in2022-27</li>
<li>3.3% CAGR sales growth guidance for 2023-27 The 5-year production and investment plan target a 3.3% CAGR for sales volume in 2022-27, from existing and developing projects.</li>
<li>The production is guided to remain flat YoY in 2023 and increase by 8%/9% in 2024/2025 respectively on the back of G1/61 production ramp up to full capacity</li>
</ul>


We remain optimistic about PTTEP’s new 5-year investment plan given the budget of US$29.1bn,which will focus on existing and developing projects and target a 3.3% CAGR for sales volume in2022-27
3.3% CAGR sales growth guidance for 2023-27 The 5-year production and investment plan target a 3.3% CAGR for sales volume in 2022-27, from existing and developing projects.
The production is guided to remain flat YoY in 2023 and increase by 8%/9% in 2024/2025 respectively on the back of G1/61 production ramp up to full capacity


PTTEP : Softening ASP to Hammer Sales Growth

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the resistance at 1,630/1,635 points and the support at 1,611 points (50-week EMA)/1,600 points.</li><li>Today's investment momentum is negative after the Cabinet approved a financial transaction tax of 0.11%.</li><li>We switch our rating to Buy (from Neutral), with a new fair value of Bt46.30 (vs. 33.41 previously), while the required return has been lowered to 6.3% (vs. 8.1% previously), implying 17% upside.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the resistance at 1,630/1,635 points and the support at 1,611 points (50-week EMA)/1,600 points.Today's investment momentum is negative after the Cabinet approved a financial transaction tax of 0.11%.We switch our rating to Buy (from Neutral), with a new fair value of Bt46.30 (vs. 33.41 previously), while the required return has been lowered to 6.3% (vs. 8.1% previously), implying 17% upside.

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,630/1,635 points and the support at 1,611 (50-week EMA)/1,600 points.</li><li>We recommend trading buy on BANPU, CPALL and SC.</li><li>Today's momentum is slightly negative due to concerns over China's new lockdowns in Beijing to contain COVID-19.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,630/1,635 points and the support at 1,611 (50-week EMA)/1,600 points.We recommend trading buy on BANPU, CPALL and SC.Today's momentum is slightly negative due to concerns over China's new lockdowns in Beijing to contain COVID-19.

Recommendation: Buy on Weakness, Sell on Strength

<ul>
<li>The 3Q22 net profit marked a new quarterly high of Bt24.2bn, falling out better than ours and consensus forecast by 15%.The analyst meeting also came out in a positive tone</li>
<li>Sales growth drove 3Q22 profit The company reported its 3Q22 net profit of Bt24.2bn (+153% YoY, +17% QoQ).The YoY growth was driven by 15% and 21% rises in sales volume</li>
<li>Sales volume grew by 15% YoY and 3%QoQ to 478 kBOED in 3Q22, aided by the production commencement of G1/61 (Erawan) project in 2Q22,higher nomination from Oman block 61 project</li>
</ul>


The 3Q22 net profit marked a new quarterly high of Bt24.2bn, falling out better than ours and consensus forecast by 15%.The analyst meeting also came out in a positive tone
Sales growth drove 3Q22 profit The company reported its 3Q22 net profit of Bt24.2bn (+153% YoY, +17% QoQ).The YoY growth was driven by 15% and 21% rises in sales volume
Sales volume grew by 15% YoY and 3%QoQ to 478 kBOED in 3Q22, aided by the production commencement of G1/61 (Erawan) project in 2Q22,higher nomination from Oman block 61 project


<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,597/1,605 points and the support at 1,580/1,573 points.</li><li>Positive momentum will be generated by the recovery of global equity markets late last week, but the rebound is likely to be limited due to concerns over the Fed meeting next week, with signals for further rate hikes to curb inflation if US 3Q22 GDP turns from negative to positive at +2-2.9% QoQ.</li><li>We recommend buying on weakness, selling on strength until the index can stand above the resistance at 1,597 points, with the market expected to focus on mid to large cap stocks.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,597/1,605 points and the support at 1,580/1,573 points.Positive momentum will be generated by the recovery of global equity markets late last week, but the rebound is likely to be limited due to concerns over the Fed meeting next week, with signals for further rate hikes to curb inflation if US 3Q22 GDP turns from negative to positive at +2-2.9% QoQ.We recommend buying on weakness, selling on strength until the index can stand above the resistance at 1,597 points, with the market expected to focus on mid to large cap stocks.

Thailand

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited, also known as PTTEP, is a national petroleum exploration and production company. It focuses on the exploration, development, and production of petroleum, including crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and liquified petroleum gas. The company also invests in renewable energy and related businesses, such as gas pipeline transportation and solar power. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, the company was founded on June 20, 1985.

PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP-R TB)

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PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP-R TB)

PTTEP : Softening ASP to Hammer Sales Growth

We remain optimistic about PTTEP’s new 5-year investment plan given the budget of US$29.1bn, which will focus on existing and developing projects...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Two-Year Earnings to Mark a 39% CAGR

The SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the resistance at 1,630/1,635 points and the support at 1,611 points (50-week EMA)/1,600...

Krungthai XSpring

Recommendation: Buy on Weakness, Sell on Strength

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,630/1,635 points and the support at 1,611 (50-week EMA)/1,600 points. We...

Krungthai XSpring

PTTEP : 3Q22 Profit Market New High

The 3Q22 net profit marked a new quarterly high of Bt24.2bn, falling out better than ours and consensus forecast by 15%. The analyst meeting also...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Market Outlook and Recommendations

The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,597/1,605 points and the support at 1,580/1,573 points. Positive momentum...

Krungthai XSpring

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