Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils price differentials fall sharply relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices in June 2025 following surge in crude oil prices.</li><li>Speed and size of fall in base oils margins reflects more the surge in crude oil prices rather than sudden, unexpected change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Lack of any sudden, unexpected change in supply-demand fundamentals could support reversion of base oils margins closer to their higher levels in early-June 2025 before their slump in recent weeks.</li></ul>

Global base oils price differentials fall sharply relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices in June 2025 following surge in crude oil prices.Speed and size of fall in base oils margins reflects more the surge in crude oil prices rather than sudden, unexpected change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.Lack of any sudden, unexpected change in supply-demand fundamentals could support reversion of base oils margins closer to their higher levels in early-June 2025 before their slump in recent weeks.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 23 June

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils price-premium to competing/feedstock prices extends fall to five-month low.</li><li>Lower margins coincide with improving supply in Asia as more plant-maintenance draws to a close.</li><li>Improving supply and seasonal slowdown in demand could curb refiners’ leverage to target higher prices to reverse recent drop in margins.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils price-premium to competing/feedstock prices extends fall to five-month low.Lower margins coincide with improving supply in Asia as more plant-maintenance draws to a close.Improving supply and seasonal slowdown in demand could curb refiners’ leverage to target higher prices to reverse recent drop in margins.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 23 June

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could be firmer than usual for the time of year as higher crude oil prices and growing concern about supply disruptions counter weaker supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Demand for Group I heavy neutrals and Group III base oils especially could get support from concern that any supply disruptions would have more direct impact on those products.</li><li>Concern about tighter supply of Group I heavy neutrals could support stronger demand for Group II heavy grades as an alternative.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could be firmer than usual for the time of year as higher crude oil prices and growing concern about supply disruptions counter weaker supply-demand fundamentals.Demand for Group I heavy neutrals and Group III base oils especially could get support from concern that any supply disruptions would have more direct impact on those products.Concern about tighter supply of Group I heavy neutrals could support stronger demand for Group II heavy grades as an alternative.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 20th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 20th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down trend, with the support levels at 1,105 and 1,100 points and the resistance levels at 1,123 and 1,130 points.</li><li>The technical indicators remain in a downward direction, and the index may decline further toward 1,094 points (the gap opened on April 9).</li><li>External factors are negative, as the US may intervene in the Israel-Iran conflict, potentially pushing up oil prices and benefiting oil-linked stocks such as PTTEP and TOP.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down trend, with the support levels at 1,105 and 1,100 points and the resistance levels at 1,123 and 1,130 points.The technical indicators remain in a downward direction, and the index may decline further toward 1,094 points (the gap opened on April 9).External factors are negative, as the US may intervene in the Israel-Iran conflict, potentially pushing up oil prices and benefiting oil-linked stocks such as PTTEP and TOP.

Thailand

PTT Public Company Limited operates as an oil and gas company. The Company produces, transports, and sells natural gas, crude oil, lubricants, aviation and marine, and petrochemical products. PTT offers fleet cards, storage, electronic bill presentment, and other related services. PTT serves customers in Thailand.

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PTT PCL (PTT TB)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 23 June

Global base oils price differentials fall sharply relative to feedstock/competing fuel prices in June 2025 following surge in crude oil...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 23 June

Asia’s base oils price-premium to competing/feedstock prices extends fall to five-month low. Lower margins coincide with improving supply in Asia...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

Asia’s base oils demand could be firmer than usual for the time of year as higher crude oil prices and growing concern about supply disruptions...

Base Oil News

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KTX Zoom - JUNE 18, 2025

The SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down trend, with the support levels at 1,105 and 1,100 points and the resistance levels at 1,123...

Krungthai XSpring

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