Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE and slightly reducing our projections for FY24 and FY25 after Vince reported 3QFY24 results just below expectations, driven by warmer weather, a concerted effort by management to continue to reduce overall discounting, especially in the outlet channel, and lower than expected wholesale reorders as the United States $ strengthened.</li><li>We do not believe any of these items materially impact the momentum and potential for the turn at Vince and, with the company resuming owned store growth both domestically and internationally in FY25, new product categories rolling in and the focus on higher pricing and margins remaining unabated, we believe the potential for upside remains strong.</li><li>As such, we are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE and slightly reducing our projections for FY24 and FY25 after Vince reported 3QFY24 results just below expectations, driven by warmer weather, a concerted effort by management to continue to reduce overall discounting, especially in the outlet channel, and lower than expected wholesale reorders as the United States $ strengthened.We do not believe any of these items materially impact the momentum and potential for the turn at Vince and, with the company resuming owned store growth both domestically and internationally in FY25, new product categories rolling in and the focus on higher pricing and margins remaining unabated, we believe the potential for upside remains strong.As such, we are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE.

Pvh Corp - VNCE: 3Q Review: Turn Remains on Track; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Investors reviewing PVH Corp’s recent performance might note several key aspects from the second quarter of 2024.</li><li>On the positive side, PVH has managed to align its revenue with guidance while exceeding profitability and earnings per share expectations.</li><li>A notable achievement was expanding EBIT margins, partly due to improving gross margins by 250 basis points and enhancing inventory productivity, with a 12% year-over-year reduction in inventory.</li></ul>

Investors reviewing PVH Corp’s recent performance might note several key aspects from the second quarter of 2024.On the positive side, PVH has managed to align its revenue with guidance while exceeding profitability and earnings per share expectations.A notable achievement was expanding EBIT margins, partly due to improving gross margins by 250 basis points and enhancing inventory productivity, with a 12% year-over-year reduction in inventory.

PVH Corp: Optimizing Direct-to-Consumer Strategy For A Competitive Edge! - Major Drivers

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $4 price target and projections for Vince Holding with the company announcing 3QFY25 (October) results before the open on Tuesday.</li><li>We believe, with a focus on the higher end consumer, compelling fashion offerings, continued wholesale expansion and the company continuing to work to offset the impact of tariffs, Vince is poised to drive 3Q top line upside, with the potential for better than expected bottom line results (even with tariffs exerting a material negative impact).</li><li> Further, we expect management to remain upbeat on 4Q, with product flows normalizing and the Black Friday sale events inline with prior years.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $4 price target and projections for Vince Holding with the company announcing 3QFY25 (October) results before the open on Tuesday.We believe, with a focus on the higher end consumer, compelling fashion offerings, continued wholesale expansion and the company continuing to work to offset the impact of tariffs, Vince is poised to drive 3Q top line upside, with the potential for better than expected bottom line results (even with tariffs exerting a material negative impact). Further, we expect management to remain upbeat on 4Q, with product flows normalizing and the Black Friday sale events inline with prior years.

VNCE: 3Q Preview: Showing the Strength of the Model; Reiterate Buy, $4 PT

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $20 price target for Lands' End with the company reporting 3QFY25 (October) results before the open on Tuesday.</li><li>We believe, as the company begins to: 1) anniversary the shift to deeper levels of licensed goods/selling segments; 2) continues their focus on lifestyle driven looks and offering key solutions for their customer base (increasingly driven by customization), and 3) further expands the Outfitters uniform business, top line growth will become more obvious and, even more so, margin expansion will drive material free cash flow and EPS upside.</li><li>As such, we remain highly positive on the overall potential for LE and reiterate our Buy rating and $20 price target</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $20 price target for Lands' End with the company reporting 3QFY25 (October) results before the open on Tuesday.We believe, as the company begins to: 1) anniversary the shift to deeper levels of licensed goods/selling segments; 2) continues their focus on lifestyle driven looks and offering key solutions for their customer base (increasingly driven by customization), and 3) further expands the Outfitters uniform business, top line growth will become more obvious and, even more so, margin expansion will drive material free cash flow and EPS upside.As such, we remain highly positive on the overall potential for LE and reiterate our Buy rating and $20 price target

LE: 3Q Preview: Opportunities Becoming More Obvious; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT

<ul><li>We are dropping research coverage of GES after the company reported strong 3Q results (handily beating the Street in almost every level) but, more importantly, provided the final pieces to the merger puzzle timing and return.</li><li>With Guess?</li><li>disclosing the November 21st approval of the Merger Agreement at a special shareholder meeting and the issuance of a final $0.225 per GES share dividend to shareholders of record on December 10th, the management buyout with leading brand licensee Authentic Brands Group will provide GES shareholders with a confirmed final payment of $16.975 in cash per GES share ($16.75 for the merger and dividend of $0.225) a slight discount to Tuesday's closing price.</li></ul>

We are dropping research coverage of GES after the company reported strong 3Q results (handily beating the Street in almost every level) but, more importantly, provided the final pieces to the merger puzzle timing and return.With Guess?disclosing the November 21st approval of the Merger Agreement at a special shareholder meeting and the issuance of a final $0.225 per GES share dividend to shareholders of record on December 10th, the management buyout with leading brand licensee Authentic Brands Group will provide GES shareholders with a confirmed final payment of $16.975 in cash per GES share ($16.75 for the merger and dividend of $0.225) a slight discount to Tuesday's closing price.

GES: With Terms Fully Set, Time to Bow Out; Dropping Coverage of GES

United States

PVH Corp. designs, sources, manufactures, and markets men's, women's, and children's apparel and footwear.  The Company markets its products at a wholesale level through department store chains and directly to consumers through retail stores. PVH Corp offers attire that includes dress shirts, sportswear, neckwear, and footwear.

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Pvh Corp (PVH US)

Pvh Corp - VNCE: 3Q Review: Turn Remains on Track; Reiterate Buy, $3 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $3 price target for VNCE and slightly reducing our projections for FY24 and FY25 after Vince reported 3QFY24...

Small Cap Consumer Research

PVH Corp: Optimizing Direct-to-Consumer Strategy For A Competitive Edge! - Major Drivers

Investors reviewing PVH Corp’s recent performance might note several key aspects from the second quarter of 2024. On the positive side, PVH has...

Baptista Research

VNCE: 3Q Preview: Showing the Strength of the Model; Reiterate Buy, $4 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $4 price target and projections for Vince Holding with the company announcing 3QFY25 (October) results before...

Small Cap Consumer Research

LE: 3Q Preview: Opportunities Becoming More Obvious; Reiterate Buy, $20 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $20 price target for Lands' End with the company reporting 3QFY25 (October) results before the...

Small Cap Consumer Research

GES: With Terms Fully Set, Time to Bow Out; Dropping Coverage of GES

We are dropping research coverage of GES after the company reported strong 3Q results (handily beating the Street in almost every level) but, more...

Small Cap Consumer Research

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