Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> will hold its earnings call on October 23. The recent upside in Intel’s share price is encouraging, but whether this trend can continue remains to be seen.</li>
<li>U.S. President Trump’s investment in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> has so far generated about a 48.5% return, which raises the question — what’s next?</li>
<li>That said, we continue to believe that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> must demonstrate real performance improvements before claiming a full turnaround.</li>
</ul>



Intel Corp (INTC US) will hold its earnings call on October 23. The recent upside in Intel’s share price is encouraging, but whether this trend can continue remains to be seen.
U.S. President Trump’s investment in Intel Corp (INTC US) has so far generated about a 48.5% return, which raises the question — what’s next?
That said, we continue to believe that Intel Corp (INTC US) must demonstrate real performance improvements before claiming a full turnaround.


Intel (INTC.US): Intel’s Share Price Is Encouraging; Caution Warranted on Its Near-Term Continuation

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Smartphone units increase ~3% YoY, that’s slightly better than 1H26 at ~1.5%, but still low growth.   </li>
<li>Premium replacement demand is solid (Samsung, iPhone 17).  Improvements in Emerging Markets (Xiaomi, Transsion, vivo).   </li>
<li>Mediatek reports on 31 Oct, Qualcomm on 5 Nov.  Their Smartphone business isn’t a driver given tepid growth. New ventures revenue timeline is the question.</li>
</ul>


Smartphone units increase ~3% YoY, that’s slightly better than 1H26 at ~1.5%, but still low growth.   
Premium replacement demand is solid (Samsung, iPhone 17).  Improvements in Emerging Markets (Xiaomi, Transsion, vivo).   
Mediatek reports on 31 Oct, Qualcomm on 5 Nov.  Their Smartphone business isn’t a driver given tepid growth. New ventures revenue timeline is the question.


Smartphone 3Q25: A Little Bit Better, Just a Little

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>’s investment is focused on joint AI development.   </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> may seek to invite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> to join its investment initiative.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>’s stock price has risen about 50.2% from its recent low. </li>
</ul>



NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)’s investment is focused on joint AI development.   

Intel Corp (INTC US) may seek to invite Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) to join its investment initiative.
Meanwhile, Intel Corp (INTC US)’s stock price has risen about 50.2% from its recent low. 


Intel (INTC.US): Seeking Investment from TSMC?

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Starlink’s Direct-to-Phone Semiconductor Integration Push Signals a Major Shift Coming for Telecom</li>
<li>Direct-To-Satellite Connectivity Could Become Critical for a Market-Competitive Smartphone SoC Design</li>
<li>Leadership in Satellite Connectivity Will Soon Mean Leadership in Smartphone SoCs</li>
</ul>


Starlink’s Direct-to-Phone Semiconductor Integration Push Signals a Major Shift Coming for Telecom
Direct-To-Satellite Connectivity Could Become Critical for a Market-Competitive Smartphone SoC Design
Leadership in Satellite Connectivity Will Soon Mean Leadership in Smartphone SoCs


MediaTek: Satellite Connectivity the Next Strategic Battleground for Mobile SoCs (Structural Long)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Starlink Engaged with Chipmakers to Bring  Satellite Connectivity Direct to Smartphones -- Mediatek Well Placed to Benefit</li>
<li>Intel CFO @ Citi’s 2025 Global TMT Conference: "We Will Use TSMC Forever"</li>
<li>TSMC’s COUPE Signals Silicon Photonics Go-Time — Early Winners in Taiwan’s Listed Supply Chain </li>
</ul>


Starlink Engaged with Chipmakers to Bring  Satellite Connectivity Direct to Smartphones -- Mediatek Well Placed to Benefit
Intel CFO @ Citi’s 2025 Global TMT Conference: "We Will Use TSMC Forever"
TSMC’s COUPE Signals Silicon Photonics Go-Time — Early Winners in Taiwan’s Listed Supply Chain 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Starlink Engaging Chipmakers in Direct-To-Phone Push; Intel's TSMC Dependency

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

Smartphone 3Q25: A Little Bit Better, Just a Little

Smartphone unit growth remains low at ~3% YoY, with premium replacement demand solid and improvements in Emerging Markets.

Nicolas Baratte

Intel (INTC.US): Seeking Investment from TSMC?

NVIDIA focuses on joint AI development, Intel may invite TSMC to join investment initiative, Intel's stock price rises 50%. What's next?

Patrick Liao

MediaTek: Satellite Connectivity the Next Strategic Battleground for Mobile SoCs (Structural Long)

Push by Starlink to engage with chipmkers for direct to satellite technology in smartphones could revolutionize the telecom industry by making...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Starlink Engaging Chipmakers in Direct-To-Phone Push; Intel's TSMC Dependency

Starlink collaborating with chipmakers for satellite connectivity on smartphones. Intel's TSMC dependency. TSMC signals growth in silicon...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Intel (INTC.US): Intel’s Share Price Is Encouraging; Caution Warranted on Its Near-Term Continuation

​Intel Corp will hold its earnings call on October 23, recent share price upside is encouraging but performance improvements are needed for a full...

Patrick Liao

Smartphone 3Q25: A Little Bit Better, Just a Little

​Smartphone unit growth remains low at ~3% YoY, with premium replacement demand solid and improvements in Emerging Markets.

Nicolas Baratte

Intel (INTC.US): Seeking Investment from TSMC?

​NVIDIA focuses on joint AI development, Intel may invite TSMC to join investment initiative, Intel's stock price rises 50%. What's next?

Patrick Liao

MediaTek: Satellite Connectivity the Next Strategic Battleground for Mobile SoCs (Structural Long)

Push by Starlink to engage with chipmkers for direct to satellite technology in smartphones could revolutionize the telecom industry by making...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Starlink Engaging Chipmakers in Direct-To-Phone Push; Intel's TSMC Dependency

​Starlink collaborating with chipmakers for satellite connectivity on smartphones. Intel's TSMC dependency. TSMC signals growth in silicon...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Corp will hold its earnings call on October 23, recent share price upside is encouraging but performance improvements are needed for a full...

Smartphone unit growth remains low at ~3% YoY, with premium replacement demand solid and improvements in Emerging Markets.

NVIDIA focuses on joint AI development, Intel may invite TSMC to join investment initiative, Intel's stock price rises 50%. What's next?

Starlink collaborating with chipmakers for satellite connectivity on smartphones. Intel's TSMC dependency. TSMC signals growth in silicon...