Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Apple's 2nm Power Move with TSMC -- Beating Samsung Yet Again</li>
<li>Why TSMC's 2nm Will be Huge -- Extending Tech Lead vs. Samsung &amp; Major AI/Power Consumption Benefits for Customers</li>
<li>The Memory Decoupling Trade is Working -- Nanya Tech Underperforms SK Hynix</li>
</ul>


Apple's 2nm Power Move with TSMC -- Beating Samsung Yet Again
Why TSMC's 2nm Will be Huge -- Extending Tech Lead vs. Samsung &amp; Major AI/Power Consumption Benefits for Customers
The Memory Decoupling Trade is Working -- Nanya Tech Underperforms SK Hynix


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple’s TSMC 2nm Power Move Beats Samsung; Himax Ascends with TSMC/Nvidia Halos

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.1bn. Impact on the stocks is not big given they trade like water.</li>
<li>The selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> will be amplified by selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invesco-s-p-500-equal-weight-e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32932:1" rel="noopener">Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight E (RSP US)</a> ETFs. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.1bn. Impact on the stocks is not big given they trade like water.
The selling in Broadcom and NVIDIA will be amplified by selling from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) and Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight E (RSP US) ETFs. 


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.2bn

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Lots of Jobs eliminated by Large Tech firms. Stable Mediatek-Qualcomm market share in Mobile. Foundry Top-10: 5-4-3nm still booming, Mature nodes still lagging.</li>
<li>Samsung multiple troubles. HBM3e still not qualified, losing iPhone OLED share, US CHIPS Act subsidies gone, Exynos 2500 delayed, Smartphone forecasts lower  </li>
<li>Intel new CEOs admit they don’t have an AI roadmap – Gaudi 3 failed, next-gen Falcon Shores is a learning opportunity… but 18A process on track (for 2027?).</li>
</ul>


Lots of Jobs eliminated by Large Tech firms. Stable Mediatek-Qualcomm market share in Mobile. Foundry Top-10: 5-4-3nm still booming, Mature nodes still lagging.
Samsung multiple troubles. HBM3e still not qualified, losing iPhone OLED share, US CHIPS Act subsidies gone, Exynos 2500 delayed, Smartphone forecasts lower  
Intel new CEOs admit they don’t have an AI roadmap – Gaudi 3 failed, next-gen Falcon Shores is a learning opportunity… but 18A process on track (for 2027?).


Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.</li>
<li>There will be no index changes for the December 2024 rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$1.3bn for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.</li>
</ul>


The MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.
There will be no index changes for the December 2024 rebal event.
We expect a one-way flow of US$1.3bn for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.


[Quiddity Index] MarketVector US Semiconductor Index Dec24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>America has come under heavy criticism from China’s semiconductor, internet and automotive industries for expanding the chip export restriction to target another 136 Chinese companies.</li><li>The move prompted calls for caution when procuring U.S. chips and warnings that the restrictions could cause significant disruption to global supply chains.</li><li>The U.S. Department of Commerce said on Monday that it was adding 140 companies, including 136 Chinese firms, to its “entity list”, effectively banning them from accessing U.S. advanced chip and AI-related technology.</li></ul>

America has come under heavy criticism from China’s semiconductor, internet and automotive industries for expanding the chip export restriction to target another 136 Chinese companies.The move prompted calls for caution when procuring U.S. chips and warnings that the restrictions could cause significant disruption to global supply chains.The U.S. Department of Commerce said on Monday that it was adding 140 companies, including 136 Chinese firms, to its “entity list”, effectively banning them from accessing U.S. advanced chip and AI-related technology.

Backlash From Key Chinese Industries as U.S. Expands Chip Export Restrictions 

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple’s TSMC 2nm Power Move Beats Samsung; Himax Ascends with TSMC/Nvidia Halos

Apple secures competitive edge with TSMC's 2nm tech. Why advanced packaging is the key competitive capability for tomorrow's chips; Himax is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.2bn

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 4.5% and a round-trip trade of US$2.2bn. Broadcom and Nvidia will also have...

Brian Freitas

Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...

Nicolas Baratte

[Quiddity Index] MarketVector US Semiconductor Index Dec24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

The MarketVectors US Semiconductor Index rebal was announced last Friday. There are no changes but capping leads to US$1.3bn of one-way flow on 20...

Travis Lundy

Backlash From Key Chinese Industries as U.S. Expands Chip Export Restrictions

America has come under heavy criticism from China’s semiconductor, internet and automotive industries for expanding the chip export restriction to...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple’s TSMC 2nm Power Move Beats Samsung; Himax Ascends with TSMC/Nvidia Halos

​Apple secures competitive edge with TSMC's 2nm tech. Why advanced packaging is the key competitive capability for tomorrow's chips; Himax is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.2bn

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 4.5% and a round-trip trade of US$2.2bn. Broadcom and Nvidia will also have...

Brian Freitas

Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

​Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...

Nicolas Baratte

[Quiddity Index] MarketVector US Semiconductor Index Dec24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

The MarketVectors US Semiconductor Index rebal was announced last Friday. There are no changes but capping leads to US$1.3bn of one-way flow on 20...

Travis Lundy

Backlash From Key Chinese Industries as U.S. Expands Chip Export Restrictions

America has come under heavy criticism from China’s semiconductor, internet and automotive industries for expanding the chip export restriction to...

Caixin Global

Apple secures competitive edge with TSMC's 2nm tech. Why advanced packaging is the key competitive capability for tomorrow's chips; Himax is...

Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...