Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> goal to be the #1 semi player in the world in danger</li>
<li>An internal business audit being performed which is an indication of what to do with strategy</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a> has always been the benchmark; does the focus change ?</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) goal to be the #1 semi player in the world in danger
An internal business audit being performed which is an indication of what to do with strategy

TSMC (2330 TT) has always been the benchmark; does the focus change ?


The Conundrum for Samsung - What to Do Foundry?

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The SIA commented today on the impact to US semiconductor makers of sanctions against Russia</li>
<li>Russia accounts for negligible consumption of technology products, so embargos should not materially impact chip sales</li>
<li>The SIA believes that there are sufficient alternate sources of supply that the absence of Russian raw materials should not pose an immediate risk</li>
</ul>


The SIA commented today on the impact to US semiconductor makers of sanctions against Russia
Russia accounts for negligible consumption of technology products, so embargos should not materially impact chip sales
The SIA believes that there are sufficient alternate sources of supply that the absence of Russian raw materials should not pose an immediate risk


Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>SMIC had reported a very exciting outlook in 1Q22, and both of revenue and GM are rising up to US$1,817~1,848.7mn and 36~38% respectively, which is growing at 15~17% QoQ.</li>
<li>SMIC plans to expand capacity in Shenzhen, Tianjin and Beijing in 2022 because of the unprecedently foundry demands. The Capex plan is ~US$5bn in 2022, which's lager than UMC’s US$3bn.</li>
<li>China is still 3-4 generations behind TSMC, which is a big gap to catch up with.</li>
</ul>


SMIC had reported a very exciting outlook in 1Q22, and both of revenue and GM are rising up to US$1,817~1,848.7mn and 36~38% respectively, which is growing at 15~17% QoQ.
SMIC plans to expand capacity in Shenzhen, Tianjin and Beijing in 2022 because of the unprecedently foundry demands. The Capex plan is ~US$5bn in 2022, which's lager than UMC’s US$3bn.
China is still 3-4 generations behind TSMC, which is a big gap to catch up with.


SMIC (0981.HK): Raising CapEx to $5bn in 2022. Exciting News, or Fierce Competition Ahead?

<ul>
<li>In our estimate, WinSemi’s 4Q21 revenue/GM is NT$70bn/38.9% and 1Q22 revenue/GM is NT$68bn/38% respectively . Usually, the first quarter of the year is a low season. </li>
<li>For WinSemi capacity management, the company will expand once they find the utilization being reaching to 85%, or above. </li>
<li>For the inventory issues that some people might be arguing with, WinSemi did not see any sign to worry about so far. </li>
</ul>


In our estimate, WinSemi’s 4Q21 revenue/GM is NT$70bn/38.9% and 1Q22 revenue/GM is NT$68bn/38% respectively . Usually, the first quarter of the year is a low season. 
For WinSemi capacity management, the company will expand once they find the utilization being reaching to 85%, or above. 
For the inventory issues that some people might be arguing with, WinSemi did not see any sign to worry about so far. 


WinSemi (3105.TT): Usually, the First Quarter of the Year Is a Low Season.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC's 2022 outlook is bright, but new drama around Intel's possible orders could define the foundry in 2023</li>
<li>IPhone's 2022 modem is currently equipped with Qualcomm’s design but 2023's will be designed by Apple</li>
<li>TSMC's continuously updated technology roadmap shows it as a tech-leader in the foundry space</li>
</ul>


TSMC's 2022 outlook is bright, but new drama around Intel's possible orders could define the foundry in 2023
IPhone's 2022 modem is currently equipped with Qualcomm’s design but 2023's will be designed by Apple
TSMC's continuously updated technology roadmap shows it as a tech-leader in the foundry space


TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

The Conundrum for Samsung - What to Do Foundry?

Samsung Electronics' believes that foundry will be a key point of future diversification and growth but it seems they have run into a problem. ...

Ken S. Kim

Ukraine Invasion's Semiconductor Impact

How will the chip market be impacted by sanctions against Russia? The SIA expects a negligible demand decrease and no short-term impact tot he...

Jim Handy

SMIC (0981.HK): Raising CapEx to $5bn in 2022. Exciting News, or Fierce Competition Ahead?

SMIC plans to expand capacity in Shenzhen, Tianjin and Beijing in 2022 because the unprecedently foundry demands. The Capex plan is ~US$5bn in...

Patrick Liao

WinSemi (3105.TT): Usually, the First Quarter of the Year Is a Low Season.

In our estimate, WinSemi’s 4Q21 revenue/GM is NT$70bn/38.9% and 1Q22 revenue/GM is NT$65bn/36% respectively . Usually, the first quarter of the...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

2022 outlook being bright. Intel’s possible orders in 2023. iPhone 2023 will be designed by Apple. TSMC's continuing updated technology roadmap.

Patrick Liao

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