Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FY25 results reflected margin pressure and a 14% revenue decline due to project completions, with FY26 guidance indicating flat revenue and lower core EBITDA margins (5–5.25%).</li>
<li>Indian Railways’ capex is expected to grow at a 6–10% CAGR over the next decade, offering sustained demand across new lines, electrification, and safety systems.</li>
<li>While valuations appear reasonable, near-term growth visibility remains limited due to a muted order book and transition away from cost-plus contracts.</li>
</ul>


FY25 results reflected margin pressure and a 14% revenue decline due to project completions, with FY26 guidance indicating flat revenue and lower core EBITDA margins (5–5.25%).
Indian Railways’ capex is expected to grow at a 6–10% CAGR over the next decade, offering sustained demand across new lines, electrification, and safety systems.
While valuations appear reasonable, near-term growth visibility remains limited due to a muted order book and transition away from cost-plus contracts.


IRCON International – Stable Franchise with Long-Term Tailwinds, Near-Term Execution Hurdles

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Belrise Industries / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/belrise-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44122:1" rel="noopener">Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN) is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.
Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Belrise Industries IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We currently forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.</li>
</ul>


We currently forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we are presenting our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and four changes for NIFTY 100. We expect the results to be announced in the next few days.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we are presenting our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.
We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and four changes for NIFTY 100. We expect the results to be announced in the next few days.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Final Expectations; Expected DELs Could Underperform Index

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two changes for the NIFTY 50 index and five changes for the NIFTY 100 index.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
We see two changes for the NIFTY 50 index and five changes for the NIFTY 100 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: US$1.2bn Collective One-Way Flows but Momentum Is Negative

India

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) is an Indian central Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) that serves as the construction arm of the Ministry of Railways for project implementation and transportation infrastructure development. It undertakes project execution from concept to commissioning, including new lines, doubling, gauge conversion, and electrification. RVNL was incorporated on January 24, 2003, and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.

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Rail Vikas Nigam (RVNL IN)

IRCON International – Stable Franchise with Long-Term Tailwinds, Near-Term Execution Hurdles

FY25 results show margin pressure and revenue decline, FY26 guidance predicts flat revenue and lower EBITDA margins. Indian Railways capex to...

Rahul Jain

Belrise Industries IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Belrise Industries Limited is looking to raise about US$252m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

We currently forecast 40 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. There are 2 new listings that could be added to MidCap. The forecast upward...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Final Expectations; Expected DELs Could Underperform Index

The NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 expected DELs have been underperforming the NIFTY 50 index over the last few months and that could continue over the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: US$1.2bn Collective One-Way Flows but Momentum Is Negative

NIFTY 50 expected ADDs Zomato and JioFin could see multiple days of volume of net index buying. There is still room for our NIFTY 50 expected DELs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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IRCON International – Stable Franchise with Long-Term Tailwinds, Near-Term Execution Hurdles

​FY25 results show margin pressure and revenue decline, FY26 guidance predicts flat revenue and lower EBITDA margins. Indian Railways capex to...

Rahul Jain

Belrise Industries IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Belrise Industries Limited is looking to raise about US$252m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

We currently forecast 40 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. There are 2 new listings that could be added to MidCap. The forecast upward...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Final Expectations; Expected DELs Could Underperform Index

The NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 expected DELs have been underperforming the NIFTY 50 index over the last few months and that could continue over the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: US$1.2bn Collective One-Way Flows but Momentum Is Negative

NIFTY 50 expected ADDs Zomato and JioFin could see multiple days of volume of net index buying. There is still room for our NIFTY 50 expected DELs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

FY25 results show margin pressure and revenue decline, FY26 guidance predicts flat revenue and lower EBITDA margins. Indian Railways capex to...