Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Yamaha Motor, Orix, Advantest, Kioxia, Rakuten, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Panasonic, JFE.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Yamaha Motor, Orix, Advantest, Kioxia, Rakuten, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Panasonic, JFE.


MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Aug): Yamaha Motor, Orix, Advantest, Kioxia, Rakuten, Panasonic

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy/normal within the ongoing bull market, and it is quite possible that the lows have been established on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).</li>
<li>Upgrading EM to Market Weight; MSCI Emerging Markets, China (shanghai Composite) and Hong Kong (Hang Seng) Still Bottoming; we discussed buying in our February 23, 2024<em> Int'l Compass</em>
</li>
<li>Commodities all appear to be rolling over near resistance, which is what we discussed to watch for in our April 18, 2024 <em>Int'l Compass. </em>This has bullish implications for ACWI</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy/normal within the ongoing bull market, and it is quite possible that the lows have been established on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
Upgrading EM to Market Weight; MSCI Emerging Markets, China (shanghai Composite) and Hong Kong (Hang Seng) Still Bottoming; we discussed buying in our February 23, 2024 Int'l Compass

Commodities all appear to be rolling over near resistance, which is what we discussed to watch for in our April 18, 2024 Int'l Compass. This has bullish implications for ACWI


Upgrading Emerging Markets to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom; Energy Breakdowns

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P slips slightly on Monday after closing above 5,000 for the first time on Friday</li>
<li>Diamondback Energy +9% after announcing tie-up with Endeavour worth over $50 billion</li>
<li>Recruit reported Q3 results post close on Friday. US hiring remains in the doldrums, but cost cutting pushes EBITDA above expectations</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P slips slightly on Monday after closing above 5,000 for the first time on Friday
Diamondback Energy +9% after announcing tie-up with Endeavour worth over $50 billion
Recruit reported Q3 results post close on Friday. US hiring remains in the doldrums, but cost cutting pushes EBITDA above expectations


Ohayo Japan | S&P Slips but Stays Above 5k

<ul>
<li>Overseas: SPX +0.1% , Nasdaq +0.1%; Relatively stable day. Walmart stock -8% on cautious outlook, Burberry -9% on weak luxury spend</li>
<li>Today: NKY Futs -0.1% v cash. JPY 150.8/$; Japan to scrap quarterly reporting? Asahi Group Share Offering</li>
<li>ValueAct’s investment into Recruit highlights continued opportunities and value in the Japanese market</li>
</ul>


Overseas: SPX +0.1% , Nasdaq +0.1%; Relatively stable day. Walmart stock -8% on cautious outlook, Burberry -9% on weak luxury spend
Today: NKY Futs -0.1% v cash. JPY 150.8/$; Japan to scrap quarterly reporting? Asahi Group Share Offering
ValueAct’s investment into Recruit highlights continued opportunities and value in the Japanese market


Ohayo Japan | November Rally Takes a Rest; ValueAct Finds Value in Recruit

Japan

Recruit Holdings Co. Ltd. operates information providing services in human resource, housing, bridal, travel, restaurants, beauty, automobiles, and education and more. The company also operate staffing services and advertising business.

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Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Aug): Yamaha Motor, Orix, Advantest, Kioxia, Rakuten, Panasonic

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Yamaha Motor, Orix, Advantest, Kioxia, Rakuten, Kawasaki Kisen...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Emerging Markets to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom; Energy Breakdowns

Upgrading Emerging Markets $EEM $VWO to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom $FXI $MCHI $KWEB; Lows Likely in on $ACWI; Commodities...

Vermilion Research

Ohayo Japan | S&P Slips but Stays Above 5k

S&P dips after reaching 5,000 milestone, Diamondback Energy surges on $50B deal, Recruit's Q3 results show cost cutting boosts EBITDA.

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan | November Rally Takes a Rest; ValueAct Finds Value in Recruit

Walmart and Burberry stocks decline, Japan considers scrapping quarterly reporting, ValueAct invests in Recruit. Japanese market offers...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Aug): Yamaha Motor, Orix, Advantest, Kioxia, Rakuten, Panasonic

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Yamaha Motor, Orix, Advantest, Kioxia, Rakuten, Kawasaki Kisen...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Emerging Markets to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom; Energy Breakdowns

Upgrading Emerging Markets $EEM $VWO to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom $FXI $MCHI $KWEB; Lows Likely in on $ACWI; Commodities...

Vermilion Research

Ohayo Japan | S&P Slips but Stays Above 5k

​S&P dips after reaching 5,000 milestone, Diamondback Energy surges on $50B deal, Recruit's Q3 results show cost cutting boosts EBITDA.

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan | November Rally Takes a Rest; ValueAct Finds Value in Recruit

​Walmart and Burberry stocks decline, Japan considers scrapping quarterly reporting, ValueAct invests in Recruit. Japanese market offers...

Mark Chadwick

S&P dips after reaching 5,000 milestone, Diamondback Energy surges on $50B deal, Recruit's Q3 results show cost cutting boosts EBITDA.

Walmart and Burberry stocks decline, Japan considers scrapping quarterly reporting, ValueAct invests in Recruit. Japanese market offers...