IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a> announced an updated non-binding privatisation proposal. As a reminder, on 17 September 2020, 51job disclosed a non-binding privatisation proposal from DCP Capital Partners, a PE firm in Asia, at $79.05 in cash per common share. The updated proposal keeps the bid price unchanged but discloses the formation of a consortium. The initial consortium members are DCP, Ocean Link Partners and Mr Rick Yan, the CEO since 2000. The unchanged offer price is a premium of 25.38% to the VWAP during the last 30 days and an 18.82% premium to the VWAP during the last 30 days preceding the original proposal (on 17 September 2020). The press release mentions that the initial consortium members hold 17.62% of the total voting power of the issued and outstanding shares. The initial consortium members will not sell their shares in any other competing transaction.As 51job is incorporated in the Cayman Islands, for the privatisation to succeed, shareholders representing two-thirds of shares present and voting need to approve the deal. Reaching the two-thirds threshold rests on the consortium’s ability to rope in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/recruit-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15070:1" rel="noopener">Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)</a> which holds 34.8% of outstanding shares. We think that the use of the phrase “initial consortium members” suggests that Recruit is close to joining the consortium or selling into the bid. We also note that Ocean Link’s successful privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/58-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2563:1" rel="noopener">58.Com Inc Adr (WUBA US)</a> through a consortium bodes well for roping in Recruit. <div class="content-highlight">Our analysis suggests that the initial consortium members along with supporting shareholders and/or additional consortium members could potentially hold 39.4 million shares representing 58.5% of outstanding shares. This level of support should be enough to get past the two-thirds shareholder approval threshold. At the current share price of $67.60, the gross spread is 17%.</div>

51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) announced an updated non-binding privatisation proposal. As a reminder, on 17 September 2020, 51job disclosed a non-binding privatisation proposal from DCP Capital Partners, a PE firm in Asia, at $79.05 in cash per common share. The updated proposal keeps the bid price unchanged but discloses the formation of a consortium. The initial consortium members are DCP, Ocean Link Partners and Mr Rick Yan, the CEO since 2000. The unchanged offer price is a premium of 25.38% to the VWAP during the last 30 days and an 18.82% premium to the VWAP during the last 30 days preceding the original proposal (on 17 September 2020). The press release mentions that the initial consortium members hold 17.62% of the total voting power of the issued and outstanding shares. The initial consortium members will not sell their shares in any other competing transaction.As 51job is incorporated in the Cayman Islands, for the privatisation to succeed, shareholders representing two-thirds of shares present and voting need to approve the deal. Reaching the two-thirds threshold rests on the consortium’s ability to rope in Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) which holds 34.8% of outstanding shares. We think that the use of the phrase “initial consortium members” suggests that Recruit is close to joining the consortium or selling into the bid. We also note that Ocean Link’s successful privatisation of 58.Com Inc Adr (WUBA US) through a consortium bodes well for roping in Recruit. Our analysis suggests that the initial consortium members along with supporting shareholders and/or additional consortium members could potentially hold 39.4 million shares representing 58.5% of outstanding shares. This level of support should be enough to get past the two-thirds shareholder approval threshold. At the current share price of $67.60, the gross spread is 17%.

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional Inc (4194 JP)</a> raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range.
Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.
We have previously covered the IPO in:
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/visional-inc-ipo-pricey-hire" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50114" rel="noopener">Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/visional-inc-ipo-good-vision-muddled-by-dilution-and-selling-shareholders" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50086" rel="noopener">Visional Inc IPO - Good Vision Muddled by Dilution and Selling Shareholders</a> </li>
</ul>
In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range.
Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.
We have previously covered the IPO in:


Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire 

Visional Inc IPO - Good Vision Muddled by Dilution and Selling Shareholders 

In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Visional’s financials are a little difficult to unentangle as it combines Bizreach, which looks to be very profitable, with a number of growing and loss-making businesses, we believe that close scrutiny should reveal the excellent value on offer here.

Visional’s financials are a little difficult to unentangle as it combines Bizreach, which looks to be very profitable, with a number of growing and loss-making businesses, we believe that close scrutiny should reveal the excellent value on offer here.

Visional IPO – Can the Valuation Bizreach ¥8,000 a Share?

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional Inc (4194 JP)</a> is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO.Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.In this note, we share our thoughts on assumptions, valuation, and deal dynamics.

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO.Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.In this note, we share our thoughts on assumptions, valuation, and deal dynamics.

Visional, parent company of Japan’s high class job seeker database Bizreach is scheduled to IPO on the 22nd of April on the Mothers market. We examine the company’s business model and financials below.

Visional, parent company of Japan’s high class job seeker database Bizreach is scheduled to IPO on the 22nd of April on the Mothers market. We examine the company’s business model and financials below.

Visional IPO – VCs Bizreaching for the Exit but We Like This Anyway

Japan

Recruit Holdings Co. Ltd. operates information providing services in human resource, housing, bridal, travel, restaurants, beauty, automobiles, and education and more. The company also operate staffing services and advertising business.

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Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)

51job’s Updated Privatisation Bid

The updated non-binding privatisation proposal keeps the $79.05 offer price unchanged but introduces a consortium. At the current share price of...

Arun George

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Visional IPO – VCs Bizreaching for the Exit but We Like This Anyway

Visional offers investors to the opportunity to gain exposure to a domestically-focused mini-Recruit but with potentially higher margins for its...

Mio Kato

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

51job’s Updated Privatisation Bid

The updated non-binding privatisation proposal keeps the $79.05 offer price unchanged but introduces a consortium. At the current share price of...

Arun George

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Visional IPO – Can the Valuation Bizreach ¥8,000 a Share?

Superficially, Visional looks expensive relative to peers but a close examination of its Bizreach business reveals a highly profitable unit that is...

Mio Kato

Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Visional IPO – VCs Bizreaching for the Exit but We Like This Anyway

Visional offers investors to the opportunity to gain exposure to a domestically-focused mini-Recruit but with potentially higher margins for its...

Mio Kato