Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral</li>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here</li>
<li>Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200</li>
</ul>


We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral
The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here
Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200


Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Circle Internet Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.</li>
<li>Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.
Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.


Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)</a> is placing 108M shares at the price of HK$36.30 per share. 65% of the proceeds will be used for the R&amp;D of new innovative drugs.</li>
<li>Hansoh’s late-stage pipeline seems to be interesting, as its key focus areas being oncology and metabolic diseases, which are among the fast-growing therapeutic areas, with huge addressable patient population.</li>
<li>Hansoh has announced better-than-expected 1H25 result, with both revenue and net profit beating consensus. Innovative drugs revenue increased 22% YoY to RMB6B, contributing 82.7% of total revenue.</li>
</ul>



Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) is placing 108M shares at the price of HK$36.30 per share. 65% of the proceeds will be used for the R&amp;D of new innovative drugs.
Hansoh’s late-stage pipeline seems to be interesting, as its key focus areas being oncology and metabolic diseases, which are among the fast-growing therapeutic areas, with huge addressable patient population.
Hansoh has announced better-than-expected 1H25 result, with both revenue and net profit beating consensus. Innovative drugs revenue increased 22% YoY to RMB6B, contributing 82.7% of total revenue.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Placing Shares to Fund R&D Amid Stellar 1H Performance

Equity Bottom-Up

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> entered into agreements with GSK, granting an exclusive worldwide right of HRS-9821, a small molecule, PDE3/PDE4 inhibitor in clinical development for the treatment of COPD.</li>
<li>The only similar products available worldwide is Verona Pharma’s Ohtuvayre (ensifentrine) which was approved for marketing by the FDA in June 2024 for maintenance therapy of COPD.</li>
<li>The COPD segment has seen increased activity over the last one year in terms of drug approvals, acquisitions, and licensing agreements. This reiterates the growing potential of the COPD market.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) entered into agreements with GSK, granting an exclusive worldwide right of HRS-9821, a small molecule, PDE3/PDE4 inhibitor in clinical development for the treatment of COPD.
The only similar products available worldwide is Verona Pharma’s Ohtuvayre (ensifentrine) which was approved for marketing by the FDA in June 2024 for maintenance therapy of COPD.
The COPD segment has seen increased activity over the last one year in terms of drug approvals, acquisitions, and licensing agreements. This reiterates the growing potential of the COPD market.


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK): Is HRS-9821 Licensing Deal with GSK Good Enough?

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)</a> granted an exclusive worldwide license to develop, manufacture, and commercialize HS-20094, an investigational dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist.</li>
<li>Globally, the only approved dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist is Eli Lilly’s Zepbound, which garnered revenue of $4.9B in 2024, with a potential of peak global sales of $27.2B by 2030.</li>
<li>Hansoh’s mainstay drug Ameile was approved for an additional indication of treatment of adult patients with stage II to IIIB NSCLC whose tumors have EGFR mutations.</li>
</ul>



Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) granted an exclusive worldwide license to develop, manufacture, and commercialize HS-20094, an investigational dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist.
Globally, the only approved dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist is Eli Lilly’s Zepbound, which garnered revenue of $4.9B in 2024, with a potential of peak global sales of $27.2B by 2030.
Hansoh’s mainstay drug Ameile was approved for an additional indication of treatment of adult patients with stage II to IIIB NSCLC whose tumors have EGFR mutations.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Outlicensing and Indication Expansion Of Core Drug Augur Well

United States

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products for the treatment of serious medical conditions. The Company has therapeutic candidates in clinical trials for the potential treatment of cancer, eye diseases, and inflammatory diseases, and has preclinical programs in other diseases and disorders.

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Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN US)

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Placing Shares to Fund R&D Amid Stellar 1H Performance

Hansoh Pharma is raising ~$500M for R&D of new drugs, with a focus on oncology and metabolic diseases. During 1H25, innovative drugs revenue...

Tina Banerjee

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK): Is HRS-9821 Licensing Deal with GSK Good Enough?

Jiangsu Hengrui partners with GSK for exclusive outlicensing rights to COPD treatment, highlighting the growing potential of the market with...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Outlicensing and Indication Expansion Of Core Drug Augur Well

Hansoh Pharma grants license for dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist to Regeneron, aiming to tap global weight loss market. Flagship drug Ameile also...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Placing Shares to Fund R&D Amid Stellar 1H Performance

​Hansoh Pharma is raising ~$500M for R&D of new drugs, with a focus on oncology and metabolic diseases. During 1H25, innovative drugs revenue...

Tina Banerjee

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK): Is HRS-9821 Licensing Deal with GSK Good Enough?

​Jiangsu Hengrui partners with GSK for exclusive outlicensing rights to COPD treatment, highlighting the growing potential of the market with...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Outlicensing and Indication Expansion Of Core Drug Augur Well

​Hansoh Pharma grants license for dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist to Regeneron, aiming to tap global weight loss market. Flagship drug Ameile also...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharma is raising ~$500M for R&D of new drugs, with a focus on oncology and metabolic diseases. During 1H25, innovative drugs revenue...

Jiangsu Hengrui partners with GSK for exclusive outlicensing rights to COPD treatment, highlighting the growing potential of the market with...

Hansoh Pharma grants license for dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist to Regeneron, aiming to tap global weight loss market. Flagship drug Ameile also...