Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Asean (Thailand) Focused Independent Research

M Corp Review

M Corp is led by Athaporn Arayasantiparb who served as Head of Research for UOB and ANZ in Thailand and was an award-winning telecoms analyst at UBS in 2010 (AsiaMoney Thailand category) and Regional Strategist for DMG in Singapore. Prior to that, he also served as Kasikornbank credit analyst and scholar. He has a total work experience of 17 years, of which 14 were in research and 4 in research management roles. He started his career as an engineer for PTT and currently manages family investments. He holds an MBA from Stern (NYU) and CFA Charter since 2006. Apart from IPO Radar, which focuses on future listings, MCorp Review also provides six on-going thematic series ranked by frequency in descending order, namely: 1) Silicon Stories (technology) 2) Sathorn Series (financial services) 3) Thai-Coons (billionaire origin stories) 4) Reality Check (data-driven, investigative) 5) Thai Media Spotlight; and 6) Thai Macro Watch (global market drivers).

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

This is something of a collaborative piece between MCorp Review and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/1646" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1646">Victor Wai, CFA</a>, a Drewry ports specialist who flew into Bangkok to discuss some issues regarding the Kra Canal, which we attack from different angles ranging from politics, historical parallels, to economic viability. While we can not agree on all aspects yet, there are certain "near consensus" or "quasi-conclusions" on some issues yo. Well, heck, let's just dig in. Our Dark Side is taking over again, and we can't help feel…

This is something of a collaborative piece between MCorp Review and Victor Wai, CFA, a Drewry ports specialist who flew into Bangkok to discuss some issues regarding the Kra Canal, which we attack from different angles ranging from politics, historical parallels, to economic viability. While we can not agree on all aspects yet, there are certain "near consensus" or "quasi-conclusions" on some issues yo. Well, heck, let's just dig in. Our Dark Side is taking over again, and we can't help feel…

South Series (Part 4): Kra Canal, A Chinese Suez Smacked Two Days North of Singapore?!

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 1st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial, Scb X, Thai Oil, Tisco Financial, Bangkok Bank, Cp Foods.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 1st. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial, Scb X, Thai Oil, Tisco Financial, Bangkok Bank, Cp Foods.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For both carriers, rates and OP margins surged in H224, but have fallen ever since then</li>
<li>Though it's a distinct market, Intra-Asia conditions are impacted by deep-sea conditions</li>
<li>TS Lines' strong share outperformance vs market leader Wan Hai Lines is not justified</li>
</ul>


For both carriers, rates and OP margins surged in H224, but have fallen ever since then
Though it's a distinct market, Intra-Asia conditions are impacted by deep-sea conditions
TS Lines' strong share outperformance vs market leader Wan Hai Lines is not justified


Intra-Asia Container Carriers Wan Hai Lines, TS Lines Also Feeling the Pain of Lower Freight Rates

Over the past 20 years, Thailand faced two financial crisis, namely Tom Yum Goong in 1997 and Lehman in 2008. Discounting the political nonsense that is just part of life down here, we think there are five important lessons to take away, regarding: 1) the importance of investors; 2) liabilities-cash flow matching; 3) sticking to core competencies as well as avoiding : 4) currency pegs to dollars (or any currency); and 5) capital controls. No event in Thai business history has transformed the landscape more than the 1997 crisis. In this review, we highlight a few anecdotes of those who survived and those who didn't (at least not in their original forms).

Over the past 20 years, Thailand faced two financial crisis, namely Tom Yum Goong in 1997 and Lehman in 2008. Discounting the political nonsense that is just part of life down here, we think there are five important lessons to take away, regarding: 1) the importance of investors; 2) liabilities-cash flow matching; 3) sticking to core competencies as well as avoiding : 4) currency pegs to dollars (or any currency); and 5) capital controls. No event in Thai business history has transformed the landscape more than the 1997 crisis. In this review, we highlight a few anecdotes of those who survived and those who didn't (at least not in their original forms).

Five Biggest Lessons from Thai Financial Crisis

Orient Overseas (International) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Spot freight rates are fading again in mid-April, despite ongoing conflict in Strait of Hormuz</li>
<li>Spot fuel prices remain high and we believe Q126 OP margins will show sharp compression</li>
<li>We expect shares in container segment to give back all of March's gains, and then some</li>
</ul>


Spot freight rates are fading again in mid-April, despite ongoing conflict in Strait of Hormuz
Spot fuel prices remain high and we believe Q126 OP margins will show sharp compression
We expect shares in container segment to give back all of March's gains, and then some


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Price Weak, April Spot Rates, Too | Fuel Starting to Bite

Thailand

Regional Container Lines is a Thailand-based international container shipping company specializing in feeder services for containerized cargo across Asia-centric networks. It offers integrated logistics solutions including sea freight, road transport, air cargo, and rail services, supporting both Shipper-Owned Containers (SOC) and Carrier-Owned Containers (COC). The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Regional Container Lines (RCL TB)

South Series (Part 4): Kra Canal, A Chinese Suez Smacked Two Days North of Singapore?!

This is something of a collaborative piece between MCorp Review and Victor Wai, CFA, a Drewry ports specialist who flew into Bangkok to discuss...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Thai Oil, Bangkok Bank, SCB X, CP Foods, TISCO Financial

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Thai Oil (TOP TB), Bangkok Bank (BBL TB), SCB X...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Intra-Asia Container Carriers Wan Hai Lines, TS Lines Also Feeling the Pain of Lower Freight Rates

Revenue and OP margins for Intra-Asia container carriers Wan Hai Lines and TS Lines surged in H224 but have fallen sharply since then. We expect...

Tracking Traffic

Five Biggest Lessons from Thai Financial Crisis

Over the past 20 years, Thailand faced two financial crisis, namely Tom Yum Goong in 1997 and Lehman in 2008. Discounting the political nonsense...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Price Weak, April Spot Rates, Too | Fuel Starting to Bite

March price momentum remained weak, and now in mid-April spot rates are beginning to fall. Fuel costs have risen sharply, and Q1-Q2 carrier margins...

Tracking Traffic

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