External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Chola Securities

Chola Wealth Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Background: Repco Home Finance Limited (RHFL) is a low to medium ticket size home loan financing company predominately based in tier II / III cities of southern India. Promoted by the State-owned Repco Bank Ltd in 2000, RHFL presently has 153 branches and 24 satellite centers of which ~87% are located in the southern market. Repco has shown robust growth in its loan book clocking 21% CAGR (FY13-FY19) and stood at ~119bn at the end 1QFY22. RHFL average loan per unit is...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Background: Repco Home Finance Limited (RHFL) is a low to medium ticket size home loan financing company predominately based in tier II / III cities of southern India. Promoted by the State-owned Repco Bank Ltd in 2000, RHFL presently has 153 branches and 24 satellite centers of which ~87% are located in the southern market. Repco has shown robust growth in its loan book clocking 21% CAGR (FY13-FY19) and stood at ~119bn at the end 1QFY22. RHFL average loan per unit is...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EARNINGS UPDATE- REPCO HOME FINANCE 1QFY22

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Aptus Value Housing Finance India / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Aptus Value Housing Finance (AVHF) aims to raise around US$375m in its India IPO. The company is backed by a host of investors including WestBridge, Malabar Investments, Sequoia, Madison and Steadview Capital</p><p>Aptus Value Housing Finance India Limited (AVHF) is a retail focussed housing finance company (HFC) primarily serving low and middle income self-employed customers in the rural and semi-urban markets in India. AVHF was one of the largest HFC’s in South India in terms of AUM, as of Mar 21. </p><p>AVHF’s net interest income has grown by 38-55% pa over FY18-FY21, while its Pre-provision operating profit has done even better with 40-63% pa growth. Earnings growth has been driven by its rapid loan growth which has been between 28-58% pa over the past three years.</p><p>Although loan growth has been slowing down and disbursements growth had already declined from 47% YoY in FY19 to just 2% YoY in FY21.</p><p>In this note, we will look at the company’s past performance, run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about pricing</p>

Aptus Value Housing Finance (AVHF) aims to raise around US$375m in its India IPO. The company is backed by a host of investors including WestBridge, Malabar Investments, Sequoia, Madison and Steadview CapitalAptus Value Housing Finance India Limited (AVHF) is a retail focussed housing finance company (HFC) primarily serving low and middle income self-employed customers in the rural and semi-urban markets in India. AVHF was one of the largest HFC’s in South India in terms of AUM, as of Mar 21. AVHF’s net interest income has grown by 38-55% pa over FY18-FY21, while its Pre-provision operating profit has done even better with 40-63% pa growth. Earnings growth has been driven by its rapid loan growth which has been between 28-58% pa over the past three years.Although loan growth has been slowing down and disbursements growth had already declined from 47% YoY in FY19 to just 2% YoY in FY21.In this note, we will look at the company’s past performance, run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about pricing

Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO - Valuation Is Too Rich, Especially with an Over-Capitalised Book

Home First Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Home First Finance (HFF) is an affordable housing finance company targeting first time home buyers in low and middle-income groups. The company aims to raise around US$160m in its India IPO. It is backed by True North, GIC and Bessemer and has recently obtained an investment from Warburg Pincus as well.</p><p>HFF has grown rapidly over the past few years, driven by an expansion in its branch network and large number of new customers. Over FY17-20, HFF’s loan grew at a CAGR of 62%, while its earnings grew even faster with NII growing at 68%, PPoP at 117% and PAT at 128% CAGR.  It still remains largely focussed on housing loans and has pristine asset quality.</p><p>However, its funding sources lack diversity and its margin is artificially inflated by its high capitalisation. Furthermore, the company talks a lot about tech but a lot of its functions appear to be still very contact heavy and hence, salesforce/customer service dependent.</p><p>I have covered various aspects of the deal in my earlier notes,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/home-first-finance-pre-ipo-riding-on-affordable-housing" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Riding on affordable housing</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/home-first-finance-pre-ipo-earnings-not-showing-the-covid-strain-but-other-metrics-are" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Earnings not showing the COVID strain but other metrics are</a>.</p><p>In this note I’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about recent updates.</p>

Home First Finance (HFF) is an affordable housing finance company targeting first time home buyers in low and middle-income groups. The company aims to raise around US$160m in its India IPO. It is backed by True North, GIC and Bessemer and has recently obtained an investment from Warburg Pincus as well.HFF has grown rapidly over the past few years, driven by an expansion in its branch network and large number of new customers. Over FY17-20, HFF’s loan grew at a CAGR of 62%, while its earnings grew even faster with NII growing at 68%, PPoP at 117% and PAT at 128% CAGR.  It still remains largely focussed on housing loans and has pristine asset quality.However, its funding sources lack diversity and its margin is artificially inflated by its high capitalisation. Furthermore, the company talks a lot about tech but a lot of its functions appear to be still very contact heavy and hence, salesforce/customer service dependent.I have covered various aspects of the deal in my earlier notes,  Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Riding on affordable housing and Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Earnings not showing the COVID strain but other metrics are.In this note I’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about recent updates.

Home First Finance IPO - It’s Not Really Cheap, Banking on Momentum

<div><p>Home First Finance (HFF) is an affordable housing finance company targeting first time home buyers in low and middle-income groups. The company aims to raise around US$200m in its India IPO. It is backed by True North, GIC and Bessemer and has recently obtained an investment from Warburg Pincus as well.</p></div><div><p>HFF has grown rapidly over the past few years, driven by an expansion in its branch network and large number of new customers. Over FY17-19, HFF’s loan grew at CAGR of 70%, while its earnings grew even faster with NII growing at 76.2%, PPoP at 145% and PAT at 160% CAGR.  It still remains largely focussed on housing loans and has pristine asset quality.</p></div><div>
<p>However, its funding sources lack diversity and its margin is artificially inflated by its high capitalisation. Furthermore, the company talks a lot about tech but a lot of its functions appear to be still very contact heavy and hence, salesforce/customer service dependant.</p>
<p>I have covered various aspects of the deal in, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/home-first-finance-pre-ipo-riding-on-affordable-housing" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Riding on affordable housing</a>. In this note I’ll talk about the updates from the company’s re-filed DRHP.</p>
</div>

Home First Finance (HFF) is an affordable housing finance company targeting first time home buyers in low and middle-income groups. The company aims to raise around US$200m in its India IPO. It is backed by True North, GIC and Bessemer and has recently obtained an investment from Warburg Pincus as well.HFF has grown rapidly over the past few years, driven by an expansion in its branch network and large number of new customers. Over FY17-19, HFF’s loan grew at CAGR of 70%, while its earnings grew even faster with NII growing at 76.2%, PPoP at 145% and PAT at 160% CAGR.  It still remains largely focussed on housing loans and has pristine asset quality.
However, its funding sources lack diversity and its margin is artificially inflated by its high capitalisation. Furthermore, the company talks a lot about tech but a lot of its functions appear to be still very contact heavy and hence, salesforce/customer service dependant.
I have covered various aspects of the deal in, Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Riding on affordable housing. In this note I’ll talk about the updates from the company’s re-filed DRHP.


Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Earnings Not Showing the COVID Strain but Other Metrics Are

Asian bank research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Asian bank research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<p>The idea that large corporate loans and especially those related to infrastructure projects, are the main credit risk for India’s banks, may be generally true. But it does not mean that NBFCs or even banks, are not seeing stresses appear in their traditionally stronger loan buckets. Where NBFCs are highly leveraged, it puts this risk into a different perspective, and especially where credit metrics are seeing meaningful deterioration. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/can-fin-homes-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17447:1" rel="noopener">Can Fin Homes (CANF IN)</a> is one of India’s most leveraged NBFCs, at least out of the largest 20 by assets, where its surge in bad loans, is of particular concern. See <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lic-housing-dizzying-gearing-soaring-bad-loans" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our latest report</a> on LIC Housing for further thoughts on the risks here and in that note, with even higher gearing than Can Fin. It is worthwhile remembering, that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> last year sought to sell its stake in Can Fin, where reportedly it had 12 bidders in September which fell to 1 bidder by November, and where the bank has just announced - this week - its plan to cancel its planned sell. This can not be a positive sign. </p>

The idea that large corporate loans and especially those related to infrastructure projects, are the main credit risk for India’s banks, may be generally true. But it does not mean that NBFCs or even banks, are not seeing stresses appear in their traditionally stronger loan buckets. Where NBFCs are highly leveraged, it puts this risk into a different perspective, and especially where credit metrics are seeing meaningful deterioration. Can Fin Homes (CANF IN) is one of India’s most leveraged NBFCs, at least out of the largest 20 by assets, where its surge in bad loans, is of particular concern. See our latest report on LIC Housing for further thoughts on the risks here and in that note, with even higher gearing than Can Fin. It is worthwhile remembering, that Canara Bank (CBK IN) last year sought to sell its stake in Can Fin, where reportedly it had 12 bidders in September which fell to 1 bidder by November, and where the bank has just announced - this week - its plan to cancel its planned sell. This can not be a positive sign. 

Can Fin Homes – Mortgage Lending Not Totally Safe, In India

India

Repco Home Finance Ltd. (RHFL) provides financing services. The Company offers loans for construction and purchasing of residential and commercial properties including repairs, renovation, and loans against properties. RHFL operates throughout India.

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Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN)

EARNINGS UPDATE- REPCO HOME FINANCE 1QFY22

Background: Repco Home Finance Limited (RHFL) is a low to medium ticket size home loan financing company predominately based in tier II / III...

Chola Wealth Direct

Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO - Valuation Is Too Rich, Especially with an Over-Capitalised Book

Aptus Value Housing Finance aims to raise around US$375m in its India IPO. It is backed by a host of investors including WestBridge, Malabar...

Sumeet Singh

Home First Finance IPO - It’s Not Really Cheap, Banking on Momentum

Home First Finance is an affordable housing finance company aiming to raise around US$160m in its India IPO. It is backed by True North, Warburg,...

Sumeet Singh

Home First Finance Pre-IPO - Earnings Not Showing the COVID Strain but Other Metrics Are

Home First Finance is an affordable housing finance company targeting first time home buyers. It aims to raise US$200m in its India IPO. It is...

Sumeet Singh

Can Fin Homes – Mortgage Lending Not Totally Safe, In India

The idea that large corporate loans and especially those related to infrastructure projects, are the main credit risk for India’s banks, may be...

Daniel Tabbush

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