Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 2023 vintage of "5 High Conviction Ideas" was commodity heavy with 4 of our 5 picks coming from this sector. Three out of five declined between 15-25%. </li>
<li>Our best performer was unloved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mongolian-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4382:1" rel="noopener">Mongolian Mining (975 HK)</a> which returned 234% even beating <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> YTD performance.  Miracles happen: Coal mining beats AI.</li>
<li>Our 2024 vintage of top ideas for the year will hopefully have a higher hit ratio. See below for more details which are our five high conviction ideas for 2024.</li>
</ul>


The 2023 vintage of "5 High Conviction Ideas" was commodity heavy with 4 of our 5 picks coming from this sector. Three out of five declined between 15-25%. 
Our best performer was unloved Mongolian Mining (975 HK) which returned 234% even beating NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) YTD performance.  Miracles happen: Coal mining beats AI.
Our 2024 vintage of top ideas for the year will hopefully have a higher hit ratio. See below for more details which are our five high conviction ideas for 2024.


Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2023...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going Into 2024

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<ul><li>The number &amp; combined market cap of SGX listed stocks focused on thermal coal mining in Indonesia has grown fourfold over the past three years. Following Geo Energy’s listing in 2012, three RTOs have seen Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy and Resources list on SGX.</li><li>Two of these four stocks - Geo Energy Resources (<a href="http://www.sgx.com/wps/portal/sgxweb/home/company_disclosure/stockfacts?page=1&amp;code=RE4&amp;lang=en-us" target="_blank">RE4</a>) &amp; BlackGold Natural Resources (<a href="http://www.sgx.com/wps/portal/sgxweb/home/company_disclosure/stockfacts?page=1&amp;code=41H&amp;lang=en-us" target="_blank">41H</a>) - have generated triple digit returns over the past 12 months, taking the average 12 month return for the four thermal coal stocks to 58%.</li></ul><ul><li>Geo Energy reported quarterly net profit of US$14.7 million in 4Q2016, the highest ever quarterly profit recorded since it listed on SGX in 2012. Geo Energy achieved 5.5 million metric tonnes of coal sales in FY2016, which translated to sales revenue of US$182 million.</li><li>BlackGold Natural Resources reported a net loss in FY2016, which was 88% less than its FY2015 loss.  Revenues were generated from the Group's PT SB concession with production commencing in 1Q16 and sold to a Riau state-owned enterprise. Yesterday the stock requested a suspension pending the release of an announcement. </li></ul>

The number &amp; combined market cap of SGX listed stocks focused on thermal coal mining in Indonesia has grown fourfold over the past three years. Following Geo Energy’s listing in 2012, three RTOs have seen Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy and Resources list on SGX.Two of these four stocks - Geo Energy Resources (RE4) &amp; BlackGold Natural Resources (41H) - have generated triple digit returns over the past 12 months, taking the average 12 month return for the four thermal coal stocks to 58%.Geo Energy reported quarterly net profit of US$14.7 million in 4Q2016, the highest ever quarterly profit recorded since it listed on SGX in 2012. Geo Energy achieved 5.5 million metric tonnes of coal sales in FY2016, which translated to sales revenue of US$182 million.BlackGold Natural Resources reported a net loss in FY2016, which was 88% less than its FY2015 loss.  Revenues were generated from the Group's PT SB concession with production commencing in 1Q16 and sold to a Riau state-owned enterprise. Yesterday the stock requested a suspension pending the release of an announcement. 

Significant Expansion of Singapore's Coal Mining Stocks

<ul><li>Singapore lists four Coal mining plays - Golden Energy and Resources, Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group and BlackGold Natural Resources. All four stocks mine thermal coal - used to generate electricity, with mining conducted in Indonesia, and all companies report in US Dollars.</li><li>The YTD returns of the four Coal miners have been mixed, with average returns of 1% in the 2016 year thus far. Geo Energy Resources has been the best performing of the four stocks with a 57% return.</li><li>Following a 3Q16 turnaround profit of US$11.6 million, the RTO of Golden Energy and Resources debuted this week on SGX Mainboard. As part of the RTO, the company placed out S$123 million of shares to institutions. The share price closed yesterday at a 28% discount to the S$0.67 share placement price. The Group’s coal business held by the PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk Group was valued at US$3.01 billion as of 31 August 2016.</li><li>The SGX Listing Rules for Mining plays recognise international best practices in reporting standards  - specifically JORC and NI43-101. Typically these reports will include the technical basis on which statements of reserves, resources or exploration results are made, and are available on all four Coal plays. </li></ul>

Singapore lists four Coal mining plays - Golden Energy and Resources, Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group and BlackGold Natural Resources. All four stocks mine thermal coal - used to generate electricity, with mining conducted in Indonesia, and all companies report in US Dollars.The YTD returns of the four Coal miners have been mixed, with average returns of 1% in the 2016 year thus far. Geo Energy Resources has been the best performing of the four stocks with a 57% return.Following a 3Q16 turnaround profit of US$11.6 million, the RTO of Golden Energy and Resources debuted this week on SGX Mainboard. As part of the RTO, the company placed out S$123 million of shares to institutions. The share price closed yesterday at a 28% discount to the S$0.67 share placement price. The Group’s coal business held by the PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk Group was valued at US$3.01 billion as of 31 August 2016.The SGX Listing Rules for Mining plays recognise international best practices in reporting standards  - specifically JORC and NI43-101. Typically these reports will include the technical basis on which statements of reserves, resources or exploration results are made, and are available on all four Coal plays. 

Singapore

RH Petrogas Limited is an independent oil and gas company. The Company acquires and develops properties for oil and natural gas resources.

RH Petrogas Ltd (RHP SP)

Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2023...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going Into 2024

Our stand-out performer in FY23 was little loved Mongolia Mining. For FY24 we provide five new names which we think can perform strongly.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Significant Expansion of Singapore's Coal Mining Stocks

The number & combined market cap of SGX listed stocks focused on thermal coal mining in Indonesia has grown fourfold over the past three...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Growth of Singapore's Coal Mining Stocks

Singapore lists four Coal mining plays - Golden Energy and Resources, Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group and BlackGold Natural Resources....

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)