Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:<h2>Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not Enough</h2>There is "bad…

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not EnoughThere is "bad…

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Coupang (wholly owned by Forward Ventures) announced its 2015 financial performance yesterday.: For the specific details of Coupang's financials, you can refer to Douglas' report "<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-taking-amazon-s-market-share-at-all-cost-strategy-coupang-s-2015-financials-are-out" target="_blank">Coupang: Taking Amazon’s Market Share at All Cost Strategy (Coupang’s 2015 Financials Are Out)</a>".Most of us already knew much about Coupang's 2015 financial performance. That is, Coupang's remarkable growth story (along with a hefty amount of operating loss) has already been publicized by many media and research…

Coupang (wholly owned by Forward Ventures) announced its 2015 financial performance yesterday.: For the specific details of Coupang's financials, you can refer to Douglas' report "Coupang: Taking Amazon’s Market Share at All Cost Strategy (Coupang’s 2015 Financials Are Out)".Most of us already knew much about Coupang's 2015 financial performance. That is, Coupang's remarkable growth story (along with a hefty amount of operating loss) has already been publicized by many media and research…

Another View on Coupang's 2015 Financials and Possible Future Scenario

Surprisingly, NHN Entertainment (which was spun off from Naver in 2013) made USD40m investment in Ticket Monster (one of the three major social commerce companies in Korea along with the famous Coupang and WeMakePrice). In return of this investment, NHN Entertainment is believed to receive slightly less than 3 percent equity in Ticket Monster.Earlier this year, Ticket Monster publicly announced its plan of USD300m fundraising in a bid to compete more effectively against Softbank-backed Coupang…

Surprisingly, NHN Entertainment (which was spun off from Naver in 2013) made USD40m investment in Ticket Monster (one of the three major social commerce companies in Korea along with the famous Coupang and WeMakePrice). In return of this investment, NHN Entertainment is believed to receive slightly less than 3 percent equity in Ticket Monster.Earlier this year, Ticket Monster publicly announced its plan of USD300m fundraising in a bid to compete more effectively against Softbank-backed Coupang…

NHN Entertainment Invests in Ticket Monster - Implications for Softbank and Softbank-Backed Coupang

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>IPO catalyst already priced in – Tekscend Photomask IPO (¥300 bn base case) crystallizes hidden value, but with TOPPAN at ~¥3,900, the upside to bull case (~¥4,100) is limited.</li>
<li>Core execution the swing factor – Information &amp; Communication (~54% sales) and BPO/Digital DX must expand margins (target 10% by FY2030 vs. ~5% today) for further re-rating.</li>
<li>Balanced risk–reward – Strong balance sheet and shareholder returns (2.5% equity cancelled FY25) support valuation, but high capex and legacy print drag keep FCF and ROE volatile.</li>
</ul>


IPO catalyst already priced in – Tekscend Photomask IPO (¥300 bn base case) crystallizes hidden value, but with TOPPAN at ~¥3,900, the upside to bull case (~¥4,100) is limited.
Core execution the swing factor – Information &amp; Communication (~54% sales) and BPO/Digital DX must expand margins (target 10% by FY2030 vs. ~5% today) for further re-rating.
Balanced risk–reward – Strong balance sheet and shareholder returns (2.5% equity cancelled FY25) support valuation, but high capex and legacy print drag keep FCF and ROE volatile.


TOPPAN Holdings – IPO Premium Priced In, Core Execution the Next Test

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The slide in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh Company Ltd (7752 JP)</a>'s stock price over the last few months could lead to the deletion of the stock from a global index in August. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh Company Ltd (7752 JP)</a> has underperformed its peers over the last couple of months and trades cheaper than the average of its peers.</li>
<li>There are indications of positioning in the stock. However, positioning is likely smaller than the estimated passive selling and there could be more downside for the stock near-term.</li>
</ul>


The slide in Ricoh Company Ltd (7752 JP)'s stock price over the last few months could lead to the deletion of the stock from a global index in August. 

Ricoh Company Ltd (7752 JP) has underperformed its peers over the last couple of months and trades cheaper than the average of its peers.
There are indications of positioning in the stock. However, positioning is likely smaller than the estimated passive selling and there could be more downside for the stock near-term.


Ricoh (7752 JP): Potential Global Index Deletion in August

Japan

RICOH COMPANY, LTD. manufactures and markets office automation equipment, electronic devices, and photographic instruments.  The Company's diverse product line includes facsimiles, image scanners, printers, digital cameras, and personal computers, as well as a full range of analog, digital, and color copiers. Ricoh operates with a network of sales offices and tie-ups worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Ricoh Company Ltd (7752 JP)

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be. Europacifica CEO Naomi...

Naomi Fink

Another View on Coupang's 2015 Financials and Possible Future Scenario

Coupang (wholly owned by Forward Ventures) announced its 2015 financial performance yesterday.: For the specific details of Coupang's financials,...

Sanghyun Park

NHN Entertainment Invests in Ticket Monster - Implications for Softbank and Softbank-Backed Coupang

Surprisingly, NHN Entertainment (which was spun off from Naver in 2013) made USD40m investment in Ticket Monster (one of the three major social...

Sanghyun Park

TOPPAN Holdings – IPO Premium Priced In, Core Execution the Next Test

Tekscend Photomask IPO priced in, limited upside with TOPPAN at ¥3,900. Core execution key for margin expansion. Balanced risk-reward with strong...

Rahul Jain

Ricoh (7752 JP): Potential Global Index Deletion in August

Ricoh has underperformed its peers this year and the stock could be deleted from a global index later this month. Small increase in shorts and...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be. Europacifica CEO Naomi...

Naomi Fink

Another View on Coupang's 2015 Financials and Possible Future Scenario

Coupang (wholly owned by Forward Ventures) announced its 2015 financial performance yesterday.: For the specific details of Coupang's financials,...

Sanghyun Park

NHN Entertainment Invests in Ticket Monster - Implications for Softbank and Softbank-Backed Coupang

Surprisingly, NHN Entertainment (which was spun off from Naver in 2013) made USD40m investment in Ticket Monster (one of the three major social...

Sanghyun Park

TOPPAN Holdings – IPO Premium Priced In, Core Execution the Next Test

​Tekscend Photomask IPO priced in, limited upside with TOPPAN at ¥3,900. Core execution key for margin expansion. Balanced risk-reward with strong...

Rahul Jain

Ricoh (7752 JP): Potential Global Index Deletion in August

Ricoh has underperformed its peers this year and the stock could be deleted from a global index later this month. Small increase in shorts and...

Brian Freitas

Tekscend Photomask IPO priced in, limited upside with TOPPAN at ¥3,900. Core execution key for margin expansion. Balanced risk-reward with strong...