Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 90% of the review period for the August rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> complete, there could be one change for the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> in the index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> also has some global passive selling at the close on 30 May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> is up 25x over the last couple of years and is up 46% since we identified the stock as a potential index inclusion.</li>
</ul>


With 90% of the review period for the August rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) complete, there could be one change for the index.

DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) should replace Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) in the index. Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) also has some global passive selling at the close on 30 May.

DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) is up 25x over the last couple of years and is up 46% since we identified the stock as a potential index inclusion.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes as PLUS Runs Away

<ul>
<li>The review period for the February rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> ends in two weeks.</li>
<li>There could be two changes for the index with passive trackers needing to trade between 23-64x ADV in the stocks.</li>
<li>The passive buying is a lot larger than the passive selling, there will be funding outflows for the other index constituents; some stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the February rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) ends in two weeks.
There could be two changes for the index with passive trackers needing to trade between 23-64x ADV in the stocks.
The passive buying is a lot larger than the passive selling, there will be funding outflows for the other index constituents; some stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in February

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cromwell-european-real-estate" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25889" rel="noopener">Cromwell European REIT (CERT SP)</a> to divest 3 light industrial/logistics asset in Germany and France for EUR22m</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a> in partnership with GIC to launch its Australia third core-plus logistics fund</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8401" rel="noopener">Kop Ltd (KOPL SP)</a> auditors flagged material uncertainty as a going concern</li></ul>

Cromwell European REIT (CERT SP) to divest 3 light industrial/logistics asset in Germany and France for EUR22mESR Group (1821 HK) in partnership with GIC to launch its Australia third core-plus logistics fundKop Ltd (KOPL SP) auditors flagged material uncertainty as a going concern

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12Sep22) - CERT Divests 3 Logistics Assets for EUR22m

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vista-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35951:1" rel="noopener">Vista REIT (VR PM)</a> is looking to raise about US$158m in its Philippines IPO. This would be a 100% secondary selldown by the Sponsors. </li>
<li>VREIT's larger assets have seen their occupancies dwindle since FY19. A bulk of its office tenants are up for expiry in FY22 and sector momentum hasn’t been the greatest.</li>
<li>VREIT would also hold the smallest portfolio in terms of appraised valuation and would be the smallest REIT, as per mcap.</li>
</ul>



Vista REIT (VR PM) is looking to raise about US$158m in its Philippines IPO. This would be a 100% secondary selldown by the Sponsors. 
VREIT's larger assets have seen their occupancies dwindle since FY19. A bulk of its office tenants are up for expiry in FY22 and sector momentum hasn’t been the greatest.
VREIT would also hold the smallest portfolio in terms of appraised valuation and would be the smallest REIT, as per mcap.


Vista REIT IPO - Smallest of the Lot, Sector Has Been Under Pressure

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vista-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35951:1" rel="noopener">Vista REIT (VR PM)</a> is looking to raise about US$158m in its Philippines IPO. This would be a 100% secondary selldown by the Sponsors.</li>
<li>VREIT is a Philippine REIT which owns commercial properties, comprising both retail and office properties. The initial portfolio consists of 12 Properties with an aggregate GLA of 256,403.95 sqm.</li>
<li>VREIT had weathered the effects of COVID relatively well, given its exposure towards essential providers and BPO tenants. However, its larger assets have seen their occupancies dwindle since FY19.</li>
</ul>



Vista REIT (VR PM) is looking to raise about US$158m in its Philippines IPO. This would be a 100% secondary selldown by the Sponsors.
VREIT is a Philippine REIT which owns commercial properties, comprising both retail and office properties. The initial portfolio consists of 12 Properties with an aggregate GLA of 256,403.95 sqm.
VREIT had weathered the effects of COVID relatively well, given its exposure towards essential providers and BPO tenants. However, its larger assets have seen their occupancies dwindle since FY19.


VistaREIT IPO - Bulk Expiries in the near Term and Larger Assets Saw Dwindling Performance

Philippines

RL Commercial REIT Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily invests in income-generating real estate properties. RL commercial REIT serves customers in Philippines.

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RL Commercial REIT (RCR PM)

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes as PLUS Runs Away

DigiPlus Interactive could replace Bloomberry Resorts in the PCOMP in August. There will also be selling in BLOOM at the close on 30 May. PLUS is...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in February

There could be two sets of changes for the PCOMP in February. Passives will need to trade between 23-64x ADV in the stocks. The adds have moved...

Brian Freitas

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12Sep22) - CERT Divests 3 Logistics Assets for EUR22m

ESR/GIC launching 3rd AUS fund; KOPL auditors flagged material uncertainty; RCR detailed value-accretive infusions; Colliers Phils - FDI to drive...

SCCM Asia Research

Vista REIT IPO - Smallest of the Lot, Sector Has Been Under Pressure

Vista REIT (VR PM) is looking to raise about US$158m in its Philippines IPO. Sector momentum hasn’t been the greatest and VREIT would be the...

Clarence Chu

VistaREIT IPO - Bulk Expiries in the near Term and Larger Assets Saw Dwindling Performance

Vista REIT (VR PM) is looking to raise about US$158m in its Philippines IPO. This would be a 100% secondary selldown by the Sponsors. The larger...

Clarence Chu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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