Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-retail-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10598:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP)</a>.</li>
<li>There will be a lot to trade from passive funds. Implementation will take place at the close on 11 February - there are only 5 days to go.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> has rallied over the last month while the deletions have traded lower. As re-opening plays, the passive selling could provide an opportunity to buy the deletes.</li>
</ul>



Emperador Inc (EMP PM) and Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM) will replace Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) and Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) in the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP).
There will be a lot to trade from passive funds. Implementation will take place at the close on 11 February - there are only 5 days to go.

Emperador Inc (EMP PM) has rallied over the last month while the deletions have traded lower. As re-opening plays, the passive selling could provide an opportunity to buy the deletes.


PCOMP Index Rebalance: EMP, MONDE Could Pop; BLOOM, RRHI Could Drop

<ul>
<li>We see three potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> at the February rebalance. Two are higher probability changes, while one has a lower probability.</li>
<li>Typically, the inclusions rally and the deletions drop between announcement and implementation with a big jump immediately post announcement. Pre-positioning prior to announcement is important.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-retail-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10598:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM)</a> are reopening plays and investors that are looking to buy the stocks could wait for index deletion to get liquidity.</li>
</ul>


We see three potential changes to the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) at the February rebalance. Two are higher probability changes, while one has a lower probability.
Typically, the inclusions rally and the deletions drop between announcement and implementation with a big jump immediately post announcement. Pre-positioning prior to announcement is important.

Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) and Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) are reopening plays and investors that are looking to buy the stocks could wait for index deletion to get liquidity.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb22: Three Potential Changes & Large Impact

Pan-Asia Equity Bottom-up, Wickhams Hill

Lloyd Moffatt

Pan-Asia Equity Bottom-up

Equity Bottom-Up

Cisarua Mountain Dairy / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A deeper look into Cisarua Mountain Dairy – Cimory (CMRY IJ) since we initially highlighted the deal in Issue 8 revealed that is business is not nearly attractive as it appeared</li><li>Cosco’s spin-off of liquor distribution subsidiary Keepers (KEEPR PM) has received strong investor demand following a move to reprice the offering 25% below the low end of the original range</li><li>Robinsons Land (RLC PM) announced a P3bn buyback that’s equivalent to around 3% of their market cap</li></ul>

A deeper look into Cisarua Mountain Dairy – Cimory (CMRY IJ) since we initially highlighted the deal in Issue 8 revealed that is business is not nearly attractive as it appearedCosco’s spin-off of liquor distribution subsidiary Keepers (KEEPR PM) has received strong investor demand following a move to reprice the offering 25% below the low end of the original rangeRobinsons Land (RLC PM) announced a P3bn buyback that’s equivalent to around 3% of their market cap

Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 12

<ul>
<li>Cosco Capital (COSCO PM) has confirmed the spin-off listing of liquor distribution business later this month.</li>
<li>An ongoing buyback at Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) has coincided with the passing of a new regulation to implement 12% VAT on online purchases, that may stem or reverse the retailer’s long-time decline.</li>
<li>A tactical situation has presented itself as First Gen (FGEN PM) becomes a crowded short ahead of index exclusion</li>
</ul>


Cosco Capital (COSCO PM) has confirmed the spin-off listing of liquor distribution business later this month.
An ongoing buyback at Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) has coincided with the passing of a new regulation to implement 12% VAT on online purchases, that may stem or reverse the retailer’s long-time decline.
A tactical situation has presented itself as First Gen (FGEN PM) becomes a crowded short ahead of index exclusion


Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 9

<ul>
<li>Bank Rakyat’s (BBRI IJ) rights issue puts the largest listed Indonesian microlender BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ) in the spotlight as PNM steps up to the plate to do some national service</li>
<li>Matahari Department Stores (LPPF IJ) is up 30% since we flagged a major buyback program on the back of solid 2Q21 results</li>
<li>The Hour Glass (HG SP) share price has started to react to an ongoing buyback, up 16% MTD on a further 710k shares repurchased</li>
</ul>


Bank Rakyat’s (BBRI IJ) rights issue puts the largest listed Indonesian microlender BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ) in the spotlight as PNM steps up to the plate to do some national service
Matahari Department Stores (LPPF IJ) is up 30% since we flagged a major buyback program on the back of solid 2Q21 results
The Hour Glass (HG SP) share price has started to react to an ongoing buyback, up 16% MTD on a further 710k shares repurchased


Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 7

Philippines

Robinsons Retail is one of the largest multi-format retailers in the Philippines, operating supermarkets, department stores, DIY stores, convenience stores, drugstores, and specialty stores. The company offers a wide array of products across various segments including food, health and wellness, electronics, and home improvement. Robinsons Retail Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Quezon City, Philippines.

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Robinsons Retail (RRHI PM)

PCOMP Index Rebalance: EMP, MONDE Could Pop; BLOOM, RRHI Could Drop

Emperador and Monde Nissin will replace Bloomberry Resorts and Robinson Retail in the PCOMP after the close on 11 February. Only 5 days to...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb22: Three Potential Changes & Large Impact

We forecast 3 potential changes to the PCOMP at the February rebalance that could see MONDE, EMP and DITO added and BLOOM, RRHI and SECB deleted....

Brian Freitas

Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 12

A deeper look into Cisarua Mountain Dairy – Cimory (CMRY IJ) since we initially highlighted the deal in Issue 8 revealed that is business is not...

Lloyd Moffatt

Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 9

Cosco Capital (COSCO PM) has confirmed the spin-off listing of liquor distribution business later this month. An ongoing buyback at Robinsons...

Lloyd Moffatt

Wickhams Hill Research | Under-The-Radar Issue 7

Bank Rakyat’s (BBRI IJ) rights issue puts the largest listed Indonesian microlender BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ) in the spotlight as PNM steps up to the...

Lloyd Moffatt

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52-week Range

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