Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.</li>
<li>Will this 7% upside move be a fake reversal or the start of a strong, sustainable momentum trade driven by a potential 17 trillion won inflow into the KOSDAQ companies?</li>
<li>The Korean government is trying to encourage the injection of nearly 17 trillion won into KOSDAQ listed companies through venture capital (raised through integrated market assets (IMAs) and commercial papers).</li>
</ul>


The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.
Will this 7% upside move be a fake reversal or the start of a strong, sustainable momentum trade driven by a potential 17 trillion won inflow into the KOSDAQ companies?
The Korean government is trying to encourage the injection of nearly 17 trillion won into KOSDAQ listed companies through venture capital (raised through integrated market assets (IMAs) and commercial papers).


KOSDAQ's 7% Rise Today - A Fake Reversal or Sustainable by a Potential 17 Trillion Won Inflow?

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KOSDAQ 150 ETF flows surged, pushing passive ownership to ~2–3%, triggering price action, highlighted by KODEX’s 5% stake disclosure in Yujin Robot.</li>
<li>KODEX Robot Active’s 3% Yujin Robot ownership plus KOSDAQ 150 inflows filled the remaining 2%, triggering 5% disclosure—sending Yujin Robot stock vertical today.</li>
<li>Robotis (~4.7%) and Clobot (~4.8%) are on the edge of KODEX 5% disclosure; SPG (~4.3%) needs more flow, but all merit pre-positioning for a short-term pop.</li>
</ul>


KOSDAQ 150 ETF flows surged, pushing passive ownership to ~2–3%, triggering price action, highlighted by KODEX’s 5% stake disclosure in Yujin Robot.
KODEX Robot Active’s 3% Yujin Robot ownership plus KOSDAQ 150 inflows filled the remaining 2%, triggering 5% disclosure—sending Yujin Robot stock vertical today.
Robotis (~4.7%) and Clobot (~4.8%) are on the edge of KODEX 5% disclosure; SPG (~4.3%) needs more flow, but all merit pre-positioning for a short-term pop.


KOSDAQ 150 ETF Flows Surge Triggers Totally Unexpected Flow Trade Event with KODEX 5% Disclosure

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the December rebalance complete, we highlight 17 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.1-3.2 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.7-11.2 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months with a big move higher in the last couple of months. Trim positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the December rebalance complete, we highlight 17 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.1-3.2 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.7-11.2 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months with a big move higher in the last couple of months. Trim positions into strength.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Number of Changes Likely in December; Huge Outperformance

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD18.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD18.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF)

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated holding was USD1,714.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,692mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), KAL, EO Technics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated holding was USD1,714.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,692mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), KAL, EO Technics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 11th): SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), KAL, EO Technics

South Korea

Robotis Co.,Ltd. manufactures and distributes robotics machines. The Company produces educational robotics, smart actuators, and other related products. Robotis markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Robotis (108490 KS)

KOSDAQ's 7% Rise Today - A Fake Reversal or Sustainable by a Potential 17 Trillion Won Inflow?

The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ 150 ETF Flows Surge Triggers Totally Unexpected Flow Trade Event with KODEX 5% Disclosure

This post looks into KOSDAQ 150 ETF flows surge triggering a totally unexpected flow trade event with KODEX 5% disclosure.

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Number of Changes Likely in December; Huge Outperformance

There could be 17 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in Dec. Use of discretion could lead to fewer changes. The forecast adds have hugely outperformed...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF)

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 11th): SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), KAL, EO Technics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), KAL, EO...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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