European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Novartis offers an agreed €68/share, 89% premium, for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/morphosys-ag-91f7c8f8-f418-4db5-953e-ec2206d64e67" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27120:1" rel="noopener">MorphoSys AG (MOR US)</a> in a bet that pelabrisib could become a blockbuster to treat myelofibrosis (possibly reaching peak sales of $1.1-1.5 billion).</li>
<li>Considering that the shares of Morphosys were trading in the low teens in November, I believe that shareholders will be happy to part with the shares.</li>
<li>Spread (gross/annualised) is 4.65%/18.09% (assuming settlement by 20 May). Novartis believes pelabrisib is definitely worth the risk. <strong>Long.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Novartis offers an agreed €68/share, 89% premium, for MorphoSys AG (MOR US) in a bet that pelabrisib could become a blockbuster to treat myelofibrosis (possibly reaching peak sales of $1.1-1.5 billion).
Considering that the shares of Morphosys were trading in the low teens in November, I believe that shareholders will be happy to part with the shares.
Spread (gross/annualised) is 4.65%/18.09% (assuming settlement by 20 May). Novartis believes pelabrisib is definitely worth the risk. Long.



Novartis Strikes for Possible Myelofibrosis Blockbuster

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PegBio, a VC-backed biotech company, plans to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. CICC is leading the offering, and an IPO date has yet to be announced.</li>
<li>The company's pipeline features promising drug candidates designed for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), obesity, NASH, OIC and congenital hyperinsulinemia. </li>
<li>PegBio employs a proprietary technology platform, called HECTOR, and has six drug candidates in the pipeline portfolio. PB-119 is their core product with the purpose to treat T2DM and obesity.</li>
</ul>


PegBio, a VC-backed biotech company, plans to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. CICC is leading the offering, and an IPO date has yet to be announced.
The company's pipeline features promising drug candidates designed for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), obesity, NASH, OIC and congenital hyperinsulinemia. 
PegBio employs a proprietary technology platform, called HECTOR, and has six drug candidates in the pipeline portfolio. PB-119 is their core product with the purpose to treat T2DM and obesity.


PegBio IPO Preview: A Founder-Led Biopharma Player Fighting T2DM and Obesity in China

Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>I was today-years-old when I learned that Europe has its own version of the Magnificent 7; the basket of giga-cap US tech companies comprised of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.</li><li>The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then it was just “FAAMG”) .</li><li><p>Namely, they were market leaders in the STOXX 600 Europe Index, they had grown to become an increasingly larger share of the market, and their earnings had far outpaced the broader index.</p><div></div></li></ul>

I was today-years-old when I learned that Europe has its own version of the Magnificent 7; the basket of giga-cap US tech companies comprised of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then it was just “FAAMG”) .Namely, they were market leaders in the STOXX 600 Europe Index, they had grown to become an increasingly larger share of the market, and their earnings had far outpaced the broader index.

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/quantumpharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40369:1" rel="noopener">QuantumPharm (QUP HK)</a> (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



QuantumPharm (QUP HK) (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Requires Deep Pockets to Fund Its Cash Burn

Independent Investment Research & Investor, Maverick Equity Research

Maverick Equity Research

Independent Investment Research & Investor

Independent Investment Research & Investor: value, dividend and growth stocks. Risk management & hedging for an all weather portfolio.

<ul><li>Despite working in various headquarters in European banks, my work likely did not reach directly more than 500 people at any time (confidential/secretive/sensitive etc), hence a 10x bigger reach now is quite crazy and interesting for sure!</li><li><p>Let’s begin with 2 charts on US monetary policy and inflation that I was humbled to have them liked and retweeted on Twitter by the great Danielle DiMartino Booth (CEO &amp; Chief Strategist, QI Research LLC, Fmr Federal Reserve insider, Economist): M2 with a negative growth of -2.04% working to make inflation low / back to target</p></li><li><p>note how the -4.63% growth last year was a rate that meant it was the fastest pace of money supply compression since Jan 1933 ... let that sink in!</p></li></ul>

Despite working in various headquarters in European banks, my work likely did not reach directly more than 500 people at any time (confidential/secretive/sensitive etc), hence a 10x bigger reach now is quite crazy and interesting for sure!Let’s begin with 2 charts on US monetary policy and inflation that I was humbled to have them liked and retweeted on Twitter by the great Danielle DiMartino Booth (CEO &amp; Chief Strategist, QI Research LLC, Fmr Federal Reserve insider, Economist): M2 with a negative growth of -2.04% working to make inflation low / back to targetnote how the -4.63% growth last year was a rate that meant it was the fastest pace of money supply compression since Jan 1933 ... let that sink in!

Maverick Charts & Markets - February 2024 Edition #15

Switzerland

Roche Holding AG develops and manufactures pharmaceutical and diagnostic products.  The Company produces prescription drugs in the areas of cardiovascular, infectious, autoimmune, and respiratory diseases, dermatology, metabolic disorders, oncology, transplantation, and the central nervous system.

Roche Holding Ltd (ROG VX)

Novartis Strikes for Possible Myelofibrosis Blockbuster

Novartis offers premium for MorphoSys AG in a bet on pelabrisib as a potential blockbuster for myelofibrosis treatment. Shareholders are likely to...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

PegBio IPO Preview: A Founder-Led Biopharma Player Fighting T2DM and Obesity in China

PegBio, a promising founder-led biotech company, is seeking to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. Their core product for the treatment of T2DM is at...

Andrei Zakharov

Europe's Magnificent Eleven

The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then...

Investment Talk

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Requires Deep Pockets to Fund Its Cash Burn

QuantumPharm (QUP HK) (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

Maverick Charts & Markets - February 2024 Edition #15

note how the -4.63% growth last year was a rate that meant it was the fastest pace of money supply compression since Jan 1933 ... let that sink in!

Maverick Equity Research

Novartis Strikes for Possible Myelofibrosis Blockbuster

​Novartis offers premium for MorphoSys AG in a bet on pelabrisib as a potential blockbuster for myelofibrosis treatment. Shareholders are likely to...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

PegBio IPO Preview: A Founder-Led Biopharma Player Fighting T2DM and Obesity in China

PegBio, a promising founder-led biotech company, is seeking to tap capital markets in Hong Kong. Their core product for the treatment of T2DM is at...

Andrei Zakharov

Europe's Magnificent Eleven

The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then...

Investment Talk

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Requires Deep Pockets to Fund Its Cash Burn

QuantumPharm (QUP HK) (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

Maverick Charts & Markets - February 2024 Edition #15

note how the -4.63% growth last year was a rate that meant it was the fastest pace of money supply compression since Jan 1933 ... let that sink in!

Maverick Equity Research

Novartis offers premium for MorphoSys AG in a bet on pelabrisib as a potential blockbuster for myelofibrosis treatment. Shareholders are likely to...