Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.</li>
<li>Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.</li>
<li>No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.</li>
</ul>


Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.
Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.
No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.


Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a> March rebalance ends in January. There could be one outright change and one or two others driven by sector balance.</li>
<li>Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 8.2-20.5x ADV (8.75%-24.5% of real float) and sell between 9-38x ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing</a>'s PAF could see a double reduction to keep the stock weight capped at 10%. There will be huge passive selling leading to funding inflows for other index constituents.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 Index March rebalance ends in January. There could be one outright change and one or two others driven by sector balance.
Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 8.2-20.5x ADV (8.75%-24.5% of real float) and sell between 9-38x ADV on the deletions.

Fast Retailing's PAF could see a double reduction to keep the stock weight capped at 10%. There will be huge passive selling leading to funding inflows for other index constituents.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2025): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

<ul>
<li>Big Tesla move up may help sentiment for Panasonic, although gains are largely Trump related.</li>
<li>Lumentum strong numbers and big move up will continue to help sentiment for optical related plays in Japan.</li>
<li>Good numbers from Sony with solid performance from its mainstay games and imaging segments.</li>
</ul>


Big Tesla move up may help sentiment for Panasonic, although gains are largely Trump related.
Lumentum strong numbers and big move up will continue to help sentiment for optical related plays in Japan.
Good numbers from Sony with solid performance from its mainstay games and imaging segments.


Japan Morning Connection: Strong Earnings from Sony's Games and Sensors

<ul>
<li>Uncertain trading ahead of the vote tomorrow likely to be carried over to Japan.</li>
<li>Palantir big beat after hours sets a positive tone for all things AI.</li>
<li>Can Ibiden rerate as an NVDA name after being a play on INTC for so long?</li>
</ul>


Uncertain trading ahead of the vote tomorrow likely to be carried over to Japan.
Palantir big beat after hours sets a positive tone for all things AI.
Can Ibiden rerate as an NVDA name after being a play on INTC for so long?


Japan Morning Connection: Palantir Sets Positve Tone for All Things AI

<ul>
<li>Tech and Semi's month-end weakness setting a risk-off tone for Japan to start.</li>
<li>Mag7 all down, although there are a few bright spots AH with Intel and Amazon higher.</li>
<li>Watch Ibiden earnings call for clues if their NVDA business can take over from INTC as its main driver.</li>
</ul>


Tech and Semi's month-end weakness setting a risk-off tone for Japan to start.
Mag7 all down, although there are a few bright spots AH with Intel and Amazon higher.
Watch Ibiden earnings call for clues if their NVDA business can take over from INTC as its main driver.


Japan Morning Connection: Earnings Driven Weakness Overnight Points to a Soft Start

Japan

ROHM COMPANY LIMITED manufactures custom linear integrated circuits and semiconductor devices for use primarily in consumer electronics.  The Company has plants and sales offices worldwide.  Rohm's subsidiaries include Wako Electric and Apollo Electronics.

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ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2025): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

There should be 1 change, could be 3 due to sector balance. The impact on the potential changes varies from 8-38x ADV. Fast Retailing could see a...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Strong Earnings from Sony's Games and Sensors

Tesla's move may boost Panasonic sentiment, Lumentum's strong numbers will benefit optical plays, Sony reports good numbers driven by games and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Palantir Sets Positve Tone for All Things AI

Uncertain trading ahead of US vote likely to carry over to Japan. Palantir's big beat sets positive tone for AI. Can Ibiden rerate as an NVDA name...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Earnings Driven Weakness Overnight Points to a Soft Start

Risk-off tone for Japan with tech and semi month-end weakness. Mag7 down although Intel and Amazon higher AH. Watch Ibiden if their NVDA business...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

​Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2025): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

There should be 1 change, could be 3 due to sector balance. The impact on the potential changes varies from 8-38x ADV. Fast Retailing could see a...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Strong Earnings from Sony's Games and Sensors

​Tesla's move may boost Panasonic sentiment, Lumentum's strong numbers will benefit optical plays, Sony reports good numbers driven by games and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Palantir Sets Positve Tone for All Things AI

​Uncertain trading ahead of US vote likely to carry over to Japan. Palantir's big beat sets positive tone for AI. Can Ibiden rerate as an NVDA name...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Earnings Driven Weakness Overnight Points to a Soft Start

Risk-off tone for Japan with tech and semi month-end weakness. Mag7 down although Intel and Amazon higher AH. Watch Ibiden if their NVDA business...

Andrew Jackson

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Tesla's move may boost Panasonic sentiment, Lumentum's strong numbers will benefit optical plays, Sony reports good numbers driven by games and...

Uncertain trading ahead of US vote likely to carry over to Japan. Palantir's big beat sets positive tone for AI. Can Ibiden rerate as an NVDA name...