Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This Summer we visited over a dozen premium handbag stores in New York City and Honolulu in order to better understand the issues facing Coach and its peers in the evolving luxury retail space. We learned that an apparent change in spending habits by Asian visitors to North America, combined with ongoing weakness in Japan, Hong Kong, and Macau, will likely limit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/13644" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13644:1">Coach Inc (COH US)</a> revenue growth in FY17 (June 2017) and FY18, making consensus Sales and EPS targets difficult to meet. Longer term, a growing reliance on US outlet stores and a push into smaller Tier-3 and Tier-4 cities in China may undermine the Coach brand. We believe our conclusions – mostly negative – have implications not only for Coach and its premium handbag peers, but also for any luxury retail brand that relies heavily on Asian tourism and consumption for growth.</p>

This Summer we visited over a dozen premium handbag stores in New York City and Honolulu in order to better understand the issues facing Coach and its peers in the evolving luxury retail space. We learned that an apparent change in spending habits by Asian visitors to North America, combined with ongoing weakness in Japan, Hong Kong, and Macau, will likely limit Coach Inc (COH US) revenue growth in FY17 (June 2017) and FY18, making consensus Sales and EPS targets difficult to meet. Longer term, a growing reliance on US outlet stores and a push into smaller Tier-3 and Tier-4 cities in China may undermine the Coach brand. We believe our conclusions – mostly negative – have implications not only for Coach and its premium handbag peers, but also for any luxury retail brand that relies heavily on Asian tourism and consumption for growth.

Summer (Mis-)Adventures in Luxury Retail: Why to Avoid Coach (6388:HK / COH:US) For Now

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

<p>A recent entertaining and thought-provoking read on this site, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/why-the-car-you-currently-own-is-the-last-car-you-will-ever-buy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:5272">Why the Car You Currently Own Is the Last Car You Will Ever Buy</a>, raises many controversial issues, not least of which is the premise in the headline, one that we would dispute. It should be said that we don't entirely disagree with the basic premise, which is that car ownership in many sections of society may well go down, and as a consequence go down in aggregate. However, the mechanism for this is probably not technological, but…</p>

A recent entertaining and thought-provoking read on this site, Why the Car You Currently Own Is the Last Car You Will Ever Buy, raises many controversial issues, not least of which is the premise in the headline, one that we would dispute. It should be said that we don't entirely disagree with the basic premise, which is that car ownership in many sections of society may well go down, and as a consequence go down in aggregate. However, the mechanism for this is probably not technological, but…

The Future of Car Ownership - More, or at Least Different, Not Less - An Alternative View

Chief Investment Officer, KIS Capital Partners

Josh Best

Chief Investment Officer

Boutique absolute return fund manager

KIS Capital Partners

KIS Capital Partners is a boutique absolute return fund manager based in Sydney, Australia with an Asia ex Japan trading focus. We believe that an absolute return fund should be risk and performance focused with strong attention to investment differentiation. Absolute return funds should not be asset gatherers. We invest alongside our clients in liquid and transparent markets with a focus on pragmatic and vigilant risk management.

<p><strong>The arrival of the autonomous car is set to be the greatest disruptive force in the transport industry since the advent of the private automobile.</strong> From making personal car ownership obsolete to alleviating the burden placed on hospitals by road accidents, autonomous cars will permeate all aspects of society. But what do we mean by an ‘autonomous’ car?</p><p>According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) there are 5 levels of autonomy. This ranges from Level 0, the driver controls the vehicle at all times, to Level 4, the driver is not expected to control the vehicle at any point during the trip. Today, car manufacturers are adding increasing levels of autonomy to their vehicles. Both Tesla’s Model S and Renault-Nissan’s Infiniti Q50, for example, come with Level 2 autonomy, giving the car lane-changing, acceleration and braking abilities.</p><p><strong>The focus of this piece will, however, be on the imminent arrival of Level 4 autonomy and the disruption it will cause across a variety of industries.</strong></p>

The arrival of the autonomous car is set to be the greatest disruptive force in the transport industry since the advent of the private automobile. From making personal car ownership obsolete to alleviating the burden placed on hospitals by road accidents, autonomous cars will permeate all aspects of society. But what do we mean by an ‘autonomous’ car?According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) there are 5 levels of autonomy. This ranges from Level 0, the driver controls the vehicle at all times, to Level 4, the driver is not expected to control the vehicle at any point during the trip. Today, car manufacturers are adding increasing levels of autonomy to their vehicles. Both Tesla’s Model S and Renault-Nissan’s Infiniti Q50, for example, come with Level 2 autonomy, giving the car lane-changing, acceleration and braking abilities.The focus of this piece will, however, be on the imminent arrival of Level 4 autonomy and the disruption it will cause across a variety of industries.

Why the Car You Currently Own Is the Last Car You Will Ever Buy

Senior Investment Analyst, Black Crane Investment Mgmt Ltd

Perry Tan, CFA, CAIA, FRM

Senior Investment Analyst

Black Crane Investment Mgmt Ltd

<div>Jet.com was a $600m company last year before further fund raising.</div><div>It is now valued at $3.3bn after Wal-Mart's cash and stock acquisition announced earlier.</div><div>Jet.com charges a $49.99 per month annual fee to its customers and promises the lowest prices (they priced below Amazon and other competitors).</div><div>Their strategy backfired and suffered losses because they did not sign up with enough partner merchants and as a result, Jet.com employees had to sometimes buy from competing merchants at a loss, in…</div>

Jet.com was a $600m company last year before further fund raising.It is now valued at $3.3bn after Wal-Mart's cash and stock acquisition announced earlier.Jet.com charges a $49.99 per month annual fee to its customers and promises the lowest prices (they priced below Amazon and other competitors).Their strategy backfired and suffered losses because they did not sign up with enough partner merchants and as a result, Jet.com employees had to sometimes buy from competing merchants at a loss, in…

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

<p><span class="s1"><strong>Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key Concerns</strong></span></p><p><span class="s1">This week investors attention turned away from the risks a Brexit poses to the global economy as China’s foreign exchange reserves unexpectedly increased and the US Jobs report came in well above expectations.</span></p><p><span class="s1">Due to the better than expected key data releases in the US and China global equity markets have surged to record highs. </span></p><p><span class="s1"><strong>Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key Concerns</strong></span></p><p><span class="s1">While data out of the US and China is encouraging the data does not address key issues and has not changed the near term outlook for the global economy.</span></p>

Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key ConcernsThis week investors attention turned away from the risks a Brexit poses to the global economy as China’s foreign exchange reserves unexpectedly increased and the US Jobs report came in well above expectations.Due to the better than expected key data releases in the US and China global equity markets have surged to record highs. Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key ConcernsWhile data out of the US and China is encouraging the data does not address key issues and has not changed the near term outlook for the global economy.

RRG Call For This Week: US Jobs Report Distracts Investors From Real Concerns

United States

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company operating a fleet of vessels in the cruise vacation industry. The Company operates through brands which primarily serve the contemporary, premium and deluxe segments of the cruise vacation industry, which also includes the budget and luxury segments.

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Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL US)

Summer (Mis-)Adventures in Luxury Retail: Why to Avoid Coach (6388:HK / COH:US) For Now

This Summer we visited over a dozen premium handbag stores in New York City and Honolulu in order to better understand the issues facing Coach and...

Daniel Hellberg

The Future of Car Ownership - More, or at Least Different, Not Less - An Alternative View

A recent entertaining and thought-provoking read on this site, Why the Car You Currently Own Is the Last Car You Will Ever Buy, raises many...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Why the Car You Currently Own Is the Last Car You Will Ever Buy

The arrival of the autonomous car is set to be the greatest disruptive force in the transport industry since the advent of the private automobile....

KIS Capital Partners

Wal-Mart's Acquisition of Jet.com

Jet.com was a $600m company last year before further fund raising.It is now valued at $3.3bn after Wal-Mart's cash and stock acquisition announced...

Perry Tan, CFA, CAIA, FRM

RRG Call For This Week: US Jobs Report Distracts Investors From Real Concerns

Economic Data Out of US and China Do Not Address Key ConcernsThis week investors attention turned away from the risks a Brexit poses to the global...

David Riedel

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