Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Ex-China e-commerce conducted by Chinese e-commerce platform will rise from 2022 GMV of US$ 61bn to US$ 297bn in 2025, with Pinduoduo, Alibaba, SHEIN and TikTok leading the charge. </li>
<li>These companies, however, are incubating their own last mile partners. The political uncertainty of Chinese e-commerce overseas is hindering development of the industry;</li>
<li>We see J&amp;T as the main beneficiary of Chinese e-commerce overseas, which must eventually undergo an infrastructure upgrade...</li>
</ul>


Ex-China e-commerce conducted by Chinese e-commerce platform will rise from 2022 GMV of US$ 61bn to US$ 297bn in 2025, with Pinduoduo, Alibaba, SHEIN and TikTok leading the charge. 
These companies, however, are incubating their own last mile partners. The political uncertainty of Chinese e-commerce overseas is hindering development of the industry;
We see J&amp;T as the main beneficiary of Chinese e-commerce overseas, which must eventually undergo an infrastructure upgrade...


[Blue Lotus Logistics Sector Update]: Overseas E-Commerce Brews New Logistics Players

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For segments we cover -- express, containers, tourism -- 2023 was challenging</li>
<li>In this note we highlight each segment's key trends and themes from 2023</li>
<li>We conclude with a look at 2023 share performance and a peak into 2024</li>
</ul>


For segments we cover -- express, containers, tourism -- 2023 was challenging
In this note we highlight each segment's key trends and themes from 2023
We conclude with a look at 2023 share performance and a peak into 2024


Key 2023 Trends & Themes in Asian Express, Containers, Tourism | Plus A Peak Into 2024

<ul>
<li>In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months</li>
<li>International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda</li>
<li>Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao</li>
</ul>


In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months
International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda
Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since SEC operates in US executive branch, Congress lacks power to stop IPOs</li>
<li>But by passing new laws, Congress could potentially undermine SHEIN's IPO</li>
<li>Given current political climate in the US, SHEIN IPO faces real political risks</li>
</ul>


Since SEC operates in US executive branch, Congress lacks power to stop IPOs
But by passing new laws, Congress could potentially undermine SHEIN's IPO
Given current political climate in the US, SHEIN IPO faces real political risks


Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>BABA/MELI/PDD/Shein/1519 HK: Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico (+/+/-/-/-/)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent gaming studio &lt;Level Infinite&gt; announced 4 new games at The Game Award 2023(+)</li>
<li>BABA/Temu/Shein/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI: Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered &lt;1688&gt; in South Korea(+/+/+/+/+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


BABA/MELI/PDD/Shein/1519 HK: Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico (+/+/-/-/-/)
700 HK: Tencent gaming studio &lt;Level Infinite&gt; announced 4 new games at The Game Award 2023(+)
BABA/Temu/Shein/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI: Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered &lt;1688&gt; in South Korea(+/+/+/+/+/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA/Temu/Shein/PDD/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI/JD/1024 HK/2618 HK

Hong Kong

S. F. Holding Co., Ltd. offers express courier services. The Company provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, warehousing, and other services. S. F. Holding offers services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

S.F. Holding (6936 HK)

[Blue Lotus Logistics Sector Update]: Overseas E-Commerce Brews New Logistics Players

Chinese e-commerce giants like Alibaba and Pinduoduo are expected to see a significant rise in overseas e-commerce, but political uncertainty is...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Key 2023 Trends & Themes in Asian Express, Containers, Tourism | Plus A Peak Into 2024

In this insight we look at the important trends and themes we've covered this year in the express, containers, and tourism sectors. We also...

Tracking Traffic

Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

US lawmakers are making noise about "blocking" SHEIN's expected US IPO. Though they do not have a formal role in the IPO process, lawmakers could...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA/Temu/Shein/PDD/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI/JD/1024 HK/2618 HK

Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico; Tencent gaming studio announces 4 new games; Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered 1688 in South...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Logistics Sector Update]: Overseas E-Commerce Brews New Logistics Players

​Chinese e-commerce giants like Alibaba and Pinduoduo are expected to see a significant rise in overseas e-commerce, but political uncertainty is...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Key 2023 Trends & Themes in Asian Express, Containers, Tourism | Plus A Peak Into 2024

In this insight we look at the important trends and themes we've covered this year in the express, containers, and tourism sectors. We also...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

Although domestic parcel volume has strengthened in recent months, pricing continues to weaken, and China's 'sort & transport' express companies...

Tracking Traffic

Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

US lawmakers are making noise about "blocking" SHEIN's expected US IPO. Though they do not have a formal role in the IPO process, lawmakers could...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA/Temu/Shein/PDD/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI/JD/1024 HK/2618 HK

​Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico; Tencent gaming studio announces 4 new games; Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered 1688 in South...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Chinese e-commerce giants like Alibaba and Pinduoduo are expected to see a significant rise in overseas e-commerce, but political uncertainty is...

Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico; Tencent gaming studio announces 4 new games; Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered 1688 in South...