Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss 19 value oriented stocks in KOSPI200 that have been big outperformers YTD but whose share prices have risen less than 100% from 3/20/2020 to 1/25/2022.</li>
<li>Among the 19 stocks in this list, 32% are financials (6 companies) and 16% are F&amp;B (3 companies).</li>
<li>These 19 value-oriented stocks could continue to outperform the market in the next few weeks due to rising inflation, geopolitical uncertainties, and uncertainties regarding how the COVID-19 narrative will end.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss 19 value oriented stocks in KOSPI200 that have been big outperformers YTD but whose share prices have risen less than 100% from 3/20/2020 to 1/25/2022.
Among the 19 stocks in this list, 32% are financials (6 companies) and 16% are F&amp;B (3 companies).
These 19 value-oriented stocks could continue to outperform the market in the next few weeks due to rising inflation, geopolitical uncertainties, and uncertainties regarding how the COVID-19 narrative will end.


Outperforming Value Stocks With Contrarian Qualities in KOSPI200

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.</li>
<li>Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.</li>
</ul>


It has been an interesting year and short interest has varied a lot across countries, sectors and stocks. We look at changes in Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.
Shorts have soared in Korea following the resumption of short selling, while short interest has increased in the other countries too.
Ping An Insurance and BYD had the biggest short covering, while China Merchants Bank saw the largest increase in shorts over the year.


With ex-dividend date coming up in Korea on 29 December, we take a look at the dividend yield differential between the common and preferred shares and the discount on the preferred shares.We recommend buying preferred shares (and hedging with the common shares) with large dividend yield differentials versus the common shares and that are trading towards the bottom of their discount range versus the common. Apart from the dividend yield pickup we also expect to earn returns on the narrowing of the discount on the preferred shares.With short selling only permitted on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22911:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> constituents, shorts selling on the preferred shares is not possible since they are not eligible for index inclusion.We see attractive risk/reward for the preferred shares on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-household-health-care" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6501:1" rel="noopener">LG Household &amp; Health Care (051900 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electro-mechanics-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:539:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electro Mechanics Co, Ltd. (009150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-oil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1667:1" rel="noopener">S Oil Corp (010950 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20854:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI (006400 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a>.

With ex-dividend date coming up in Korea on 29 December, we take a look at the dividend yield differential between the common and preferred shares and the discount on the preferred shares.We recommend buying preferred shares (and hedging with the common shares) with large dividend yield differentials versus the common shares and that are trading towards the bottom of their discount range versus the common. Apart from the dividend yield pickup we also expect to earn returns on the narrowing of the discount on the preferred shares.With short selling only permitted on Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX) and KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) constituents, shorts selling on the preferred shares is not possible since they are not eligible for index inclusion.We see attractive risk/reward for the preferred shares on Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), LG Household &amp; Health Care (051900 KS), Samsung Electro Mechanics Co, Ltd. (009150 KS), Amorepacific Group (002790 KS), S Oil Corp (010950 KS), Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS), Samsung SDI (006400 KS) and SK Innovation (096770 KS). 

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our biggest concerns have stemmed from a handful of large-cap China internet names, which have held back the MSCI EM and Hang Seng indexes. We are also getting a breakout above $93.50-93.75 on the US dollar, a concerning risk-off signal. Still, our list of concerns remains short, and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall.

Our biggest concerns have stemmed from a handful of large-cap China internet names, which have held back the MSCI EM and Hang Seng indexes. We are also getting a breakout above $93.50-93.75 on the US dollar, a concerning risk-off signal. Still, our list of concerns remains short, and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall.

Global Cyclical Value Sectors Improving -- Buying Financials and Energy Names: ING Groep, Many More

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Hyundai Oilbank has officially started the IPO process. It has reportedly sent out an RFP to local and overseas brokerages. The company is expected to pursue a listing on the KOSPI in early 2022.<div class="content-highlight">
After stopping preparations for an IPO in 2019, it again seeks to enter the stock market after more than two years. This is the third challenge since 2012, when the first listing attempt was made.
<ul>
<li>In 2012, the company gave up halfway due to the sharp drop in international oil prices. </li>
<li>In 2017, Hyundai Oilbank was designated as a company subject to accounting supervision. So the IPO was again abandoned midway.</li>
</ul>
</div>In January 2019, Hyundai Oilbank raised an equity investment worth ₩1.37T from Saudi Aramco for a 17% stake, and as a result, officially announced the suspension of the IPO. So, the estimated IPO valuation at this point is about ₩8.1T. The Aramco investment of ₩1.37T for a 17% stake translates into an ₩8.1T valuation.Hyundai Oilbank recorded an operating profit of ₩412.8B in the first quarter of this year, successfully turning to black compared to the previous quarter.

Hyundai Oilbank has officially started the IPO process. It has reportedly sent out an RFP to local and overseas brokerages. The company is expected to pursue a listing on the KOSPI in early 2022.
After stopping preparations for an IPO in 2019, it again seeks to enter the stock market after more than two years. This is the third challenge since 2012, when the first listing attempt was made.

In 2012, the company gave up halfway due to the sharp drop in international oil prices. 
In 2017, Hyundai Oilbank was designated as a company subject to accounting supervision. So the IPO was again abandoned midway.

In January 2019, Hyundai Oilbank raised an equity investment worth ₩1.37T from Saudi Aramco for a 17% stake, and as a result, officially announced the suspension of the IPO. So, the estimated IPO valuation at this point is about ₩8.1T. The Aramco investment of ₩1.37T for a 17% stake translates into an ₩8.1T valuation.Hyundai Oilbank recorded an operating profit of ₩412.8B in the first quarter of this year, successfully turning to black compared to the previous quarter.

KOSE (Long) Vs. HHI Holdings (Short) Pair Trade on Hyundai Oilbank IPO

South Korea

S-Oil Corporation refines crude oil and sells petroleum and its related products.  The Company mainly focuses on petroleum refining, petrochemical, and lubricant business. S-Oil's major products are gasoline, bunker oil, kerosene, naphtha, lubricants, benzene, toluene, and xylene.

S Oil Corp (010950 KS)

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Korea Preferred Shares - Trade Ideas

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Global Cyclical Value Sectors Improving -- Buying Financials and Energy Names: ING Groep, Many More

Continued rising rates is likely to support value Sectors moving forward (especially Financials and Energy), and it also typically indicates...

Vermilion Research

KOSE (Long) Vs. HHI Holdings (Short) Pair Trade on Hyundai Oilbank IPO

Hyundai Oilbank has started the IPO process, likely acting as a discount factor on HHIH's share price. So, from a swing trade perspective, Long...

Sanghyun Park