High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and turns of sanctions, threats, and political press conferences that have led to market moving changes and positioning in certain sectors and their related stocks.</li>
<li>There is now emerging evidence that the market has digested the “war premium” for many of these post-invasion moves and many areas are now breaking down in the face of concerns over macro GDP growth.</li>
<li>One of the more significant areas impacted by the invasion of Ukraine was the agricultural sector.</li>
</ul>


The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and turns of sanctions, threats, and political press conferences that have led to market moving changes and positioning in certain sectors and their related stocks.
There is now emerging evidence that the market has digested the “war premium” for many of these post-invasion moves and many areas are now breaking down in the face of concerns over macro GDP growth.
One of the more significant areas impacted by the invasion of Ukraine was the agricultural sector.


Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of consumers’ savings, 100 bps hikes not off the table, and to top it off a good likelihood the Fed will actively sell (!) mortgage-backed securities from their balance sheet.</li><li>Well, there is a big news: for the first time in 8 months, the bond market isn’t compounding Powell’s hawkish rhetoric.</li><li>Instead, fixed income investors have become loud enough we can almost hear them ask one big question: a recession is becoming increasingly likely, so what are you going to do about it J-Pow?</li></ul>

In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of consumers’ savings, 100 bps hikes not off the table, and to top it off a good likelihood the Fed will actively sell (!) mortgage-backed securities from their balance sheet.Well, there is a big news: for the first time in 8 months, the bond market isn’t compounding Powell’s hawkish rhetoric.Instead, fixed income investors have become loud enough we can almost hear them ask one big question: a recession is becoming increasingly likely, so what are you going to do about it J-Pow?

Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

<ul>
<li>Bond market volatility continues to lead all markets lower, triggering a further round of deleveraging.</li>
<li>Cryptos have been crushed and Credit markets appear to have hit capitulation, even if equities have not.</li>
<li>FX volatility, especially in the Yen, is also causing, as well as reflecting, distress in terms of forced buying/distressed selling and is being exaggerated by the (VaR) volatility based risk management models that trigger further deleveraging of balance sheets.</li>
</ul>


Bond market volatility continues to lead all markets lower, triggering a further round of deleveraging.
Cryptos have been crushed and Credit markets appear to have hit capitulation, even if equities have not.
FX volatility, especially in the Yen, is also causing, as well as reflecting, distress in terms of forced buying/distressed selling and is being exaggerated by the (VaR) volatility based risk management models that trigger further deleveraging of balance sheets.


Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Bear market results from sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn, led by Fed. More pain to come. Recession is here 
</li>
<li>
 US Federal Reserve is driving markets lower and USD up. QT has officially started, but Fed has in fact been secretly tightening liquidity for months</li>
<li>Effective Fed balance sheet likely to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction. Wall Street at risk. 
</li>
</ul>


Bear market results from sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn, led by Fed. More pain to come. Recession is here 


 US Federal Reserve is driving markets lower and USD up. QT has officially started, but Fed has in fact been secretly tightening liquidity for months
Effective Fed balance sheet likely to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction. Wall Street at risk. 



Recession Is Here! SPX(S&P500) Still Set to Test 3200.Last Week’s US Fed Move Makes This More Likely

<ul>
<li>Heading into yesterday’s Fed meeting, the bond market asked a tough question to Powell: do you mean business?</li>
<li>Powell took a ‘’Bad Cop, Good Cop’’ stance: he answered with a firm ‘’Yes’’ at first, and then tried to soften the message during the press conference.</li>
<li>This spurred a relief rally in risk assets, but it won’t last. Bond markets hate half-hearted stances, and they will keep testing the Fed and risk assets until they get what they want: clarity.</li>
</ul>


Heading into yesterday’s Fed meeting, the bond market asked a tough question to Powell: do you mean business?
Powell took a ‘’Bad Cop, Good Cop’’ stance: he answered with a firm ‘’Yes’’ at first, and then tried to soften the message during the press conference.
This spurred a relief rally in risk assets, but it won’t last. Bond markets hate half-hearted stances, and they will keep testing the Fed and risk assets until they get what they want: clarity.


United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 6/27

The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Time To Buy Bonds?

In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Build a Bear

Bond market volatility continues to lead all markets lower, triggering a further round of deleveraging. Cryptos have been crushed and Credit...

Mark Tinker

Recession Is Here! SPX(S&P500) Still Set to Test 3200.Last Week’s US Fed Move Makes This More Likely

World recession Is here. SPX(S&P500) set to test index 3200.Last week’s US Fed move makes this more likely. They pulled another US$105 billion from...

Michael J. Howell

Stop Fooling Around, J-Pow

Powell took a ‘’Bad Cop, Good Cop’’ stance: he answered with a firm ‘’Yes’’ at first, and then tried to soften the message during the press...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)