Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>RTY was the favored long bet at 1,650 and SPX near 3,700/25. NDX 11k was our low call to cover shorts.</li>
<li>Call was for a ST top Monday for a give back (often hard) and then an upside re test to form a bigger tactical high.</li>
<li>Risk looks more favorable to buy US dips in July with Europe and Asia trailing. Inflation expectations have come off (bear commodity call) and been replaced with recession risk.</li>
</ul>


RTY was the favored long bet at 1,650 and SPX near 3,700/25. NDX 11k was our low call to cover shorts.
Call was for a ST top Monday for a give back (often hard) and then an upside re test to form a bigger tactical high.
Risk looks more favorable to buy US dips in July with Europe and Asia trailing. Inflation expectations have come off (bear commodity call) and been replaced with recession risk.


Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>The benchmark, CRB Commodity Index, ended the week 3,4% lower.</li>
<li>It was a tough week for investors who have long positions on commodities in place.</li>
<li>While the mass media is already calling for an end of the commodity bull market, I do think that we only see a correction, which we can use for re-entries in commodities with structural supply problems.</li>
</ul>


The benchmark, CRB Commodity Index, ended the week 3,4% lower.
It was a tough week for investors who have long positions on commodities in place.
While the mass media is already calling for an end of the commodity bull market, I do think that we only see a correction, which we can use for re-entries in commodities with structural supply problems.


High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and turns of sanctions, threats, and political press conferences that have led to market moving changes and positioning in certain sectors and their related stocks.</li>
<li>There is now emerging evidence that the market has digested the “war premium” for many of these post-invasion moves and many areas are now breaking down in the face of concerns over macro GDP growth.</li>
<li>One of the more significant areas impacted by the invasion of Ukraine was the agricultural sector.</li>
</ul>


The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and turns of sanctions, threats, and political press conferences that have led to market moving changes and positioning in certain sectors and their related stocks.
There is now emerging evidence that the market has digested the “war premium” for many of these post-invasion moves and many areas are now breaking down in the face of concerns over macro GDP growth.
One of the more significant areas impacted by the invasion of Ukraine was the agricultural sector.


Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of consumers’ savings, 100 bps hikes not off the table, and to top it off a good likelihood the Fed will actively sell (!) mortgage-backed securities from their balance sheet.</li><li>Well, there is a big news: for the first time in 8 months, the bond market isn’t compounding Powell’s hawkish rhetoric.</li><li>Instead, fixed income investors have become loud enough we can almost hear them ask one big question: a recession is becoming increasingly likely, so what are you going to do about it J-Pow?</li></ul>

In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of consumers’ savings, 100 bps hikes not off the table, and to top it off a good likelihood the Fed will actively sell (!) mortgage-backed securities from their balance sheet.Well, there is a big news: for the first time in 8 months, the bond market isn’t compounding Powell’s hawkish rhetoric.Instead, fixed income investors have become loud enough we can almost hear them ask one big question: a recession is becoming increasingly likely, so what are you going to do about it J-Pow?

Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

<ul>
<li>Bond market volatility continues to lead all markets lower, triggering a further round of deleveraging.</li>
<li>Cryptos have been crushed and Credit markets appear to have hit capitulation, even if equities have not.</li>
<li>FX volatility, especially in the Yen, is also causing, as well as reflecting, distress in terms of forced buying/distressed selling and is being exaggerated by the (VaR) volatility based risk management models that trigger further deleveraging of balance sheets.</li>
</ul>


Bond market volatility continues to lead all markets lower, triggering a further round of deleveraging.
Cryptos have been crushed and Credit markets appear to have hit capitulation, even if equities have not.
FX volatility, especially in the Yen, is also causing, as well as reflecting, distress in terms of forced buying/distressed selling and is being exaggerated by the (VaR) volatility based risk management models that trigger further deleveraging of balance sheets.


United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

SPX Risk on July Trade

RTY was the favored long bet at 1,650 and SPX near 3,700/25. NDX 11k was our low call to cover shorts. July into August bias to buy select risk for...

Thomas Schroeder

The Commodity Report #57

The benchmark, CRB Commodity Index, ended the week 3,4% lower It was a tough week for investors who have long positions on commodities in place....

The Commodity Report

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 6/27

The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Time To Buy Bonds?

In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Build a Bear

Bond market volatility continues to lead all markets lower, triggering a further round of deleveraging. Cryptos have been crushed and Credit...

Mark Tinker