Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as...</li>
<li>...market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, the 3-month uptrend (currently at ~6380), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059</li>
<li>Bullish Developments Continue: DJI and Russell 2000 Breakouts and Much More</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as...
...market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, the 3-month uptrend (currently at ~6380), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059
Bullish Developments Continue: DJI and Russell 2000 Breakouts and Much More


DJI and Russell 2000 Breaking Out; Staying Bullish; Bullish Developments Continue

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 25 - August 29. .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.</li>
<li>
<strong>OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close</strong>: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">ASX 200 INDEX</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>
<strong>OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close</strong>: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta (META US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 25 - August 29. .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.

OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: Alphabet, S&amp;P 500 INDEX , Tesla , China Mobile (941 HK) , Toyota Motor (7203 JP) , ASX 200 INDEX , CSI 300 Index , HSI INDEX.

OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: Meta (META US) , Softbank Group (9984 JP).


Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 25 – August 29

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Amrutha Raj

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Newmont completed a USD 2 billion debt tender, reflecting its ongoing debt-reduction strategy. Total debt fell from USD 6.4 billion in 2023 to USD 1.4 billion currently.</li>
<li>As the world’s largest gold miner and the only one in the S&amp;P 500, Newmont’s scale, portfolio reforms, cost discipline, and strong margins reinforce its industry leadership.</li>
<li>Strong metal prices, elevated gold, and a bullish options market, combined with a Sharpe ratio of 3.68, position Newmont to outperform peers and deliver efficient risk-adjusted returns to investors.</li>
</ul>


Newmont completed a USD 2 billion debt tender, reflecting its ongoing debt-reduction strategy. Total debt fell from USD 6.4 billion in 2023 to USD 1.4 billion currently.
As the world’s largest gold miner and the only one in the S&amp;P 500, Newmont’s scale, portfolio reforms, cost discipline, and strong margins reinforce its industry leadership.
Strong metal prices, elevated gold, and a bullish options market, combined with a Sharpe ratio of 3.68, position Newmont to outperform peers and deliver efficient risk-adjusted returns to investors.


From Debt to Dominance: How Newmont Is Redefining Gold Mining

Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Markets feel frothy right now – sentiment’s euphoric, valuations are near the ceiling – but trying to call the exact top is usually a losing game. </li>
<li>It may be tempting to short the market, but the smarter move is to use efficient, asymmetric hedges: trades that don’t cost but pay out big when things crack.</li>
<li>Right now, these hedges’ prospects are unusually attractive: risks are stacked high, but insurance – volatility – is still relatively cheap</li>
</ul>


Markets feel frothy right now – sentiment’s euphoric, valuations are near the ceiling – but trying to call the exact top is usually a losing game. 
It may be tempting to short the market, but the smarter move is to use efficient, asymmetric hedges: trades that don’t cost but pay out big when things crack.
Right now, these hedges’ prospects are unusually attractive: risks are stacked high, but insurance – volatility – is still relatively cheap


How To Bet Against The Bubble… Without Going Bust

Rex American Resources / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

DJI and Russell 2000 Breaking Out; Staying Bullish; Bullish Developments Continue

$DJI and Russell 2000 $IWM Breaking Out; Staying Bullish $SPX $QQQ; Bullish Developments Continue: DJI, IWM, $RSP Breakouts, RS on $XLP at new...

Vermilion Research

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 25 – August 29

WEEKLY analysis of tactical setups for indices, stocks, commodities, and bonds for August 25-29. Several overbought conditions in US and Asia...

Nico Rosti

From Debt to Dominance: How Newmont Is Redefining Gold Mining

A deep dive into Newmont’s strategic reforms, including debt reduction and portfolio optimization, its disciplined financial management,...

Mint Finance

How To Bet Against The Bubble… Without Going Bust

Markets feel frothy right now, but trying to call the exact top is usually a losing game. It may be tempting to short the market, but the smarter...

Finimize Research

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research