Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anthem-biosciences" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44206:1" rel="noopener">Anthem Biosciences</a> raised INR 34bn (US$394m) in its IPO valuing the company at INR 320bn (US$3.7bn). The stock lists today.</li>
<li>The grey market premium is INR 132/share, so the stock could list 23.2% higher than the IPO price. That will help in getting larger index flows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anthem-biosciences" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44206:1" rel="noopener">Anthem Biosciences</a> could be added to one global index in November while the stock price gain will determine whether the stock is added to the other global index in December.</li>
</ul>



Anthem Biosciences raised INR 34bn (US$394m) in its IPO valuing the company at INR 320bn (US$3.7bn). The stock lists today.
The grey market premium is INR 132/share, so the stock could list 23.2% higher than the IPO price. That will help in getting larger index flows.

Anthem Biosciences could be added to one global index in November while the stock price gain will determine whether the stock is added to the other global index in December.


Anthem Biosciences IPO: Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timing

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>With CPI inflation at 2.1%YoY in Jun'25, the real policy rate is +3.4% -- higher than in Jan'25 (+2.19%) before the 100bp of repo rate cuts. </li>
<li>Despite a shift to a larger rate cut (accompanied by reductions in CRR), the RBI is still a bit behind the curve. We expect another 100bp of cuts by Feb'26. </li>
<li>Vegetable deflation will persist through H2CY25, so we expect headline CPI inflation to average 2.9% in FY26, obliging more rate cuts, enabling real GDP growth of 8.5%+ in FY26. </li>
</ul>


With CPI inflation at 2.1%YoY in Jun'25, the real policy rate is +3.4% -- higher than in Jan'25 (+2.19%) before the 100bp of repo rate cuts. 
Despite a shift to a larger rate cut (accompanied by reductions in CRR), the RBI is still a bit behind the curve. We expect another 100bp of cuts by Feb'26. 
Vegetable deflation will persist through H2CY25, so we expect headline CPI inflation to average 2.9% in FY26, obliging more rate cuts, enabling real GDP growth of 8.5%+ in FY26. 


India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In FY25, India Inc. showed strong resilience despite global challenges, with a sharp earnings rebound in Q4 offsetting earlier softness. </li>
<li>A standout trend was the clear earnings outperformance of mid- and small-cap (SMID) companies, which led in 15 out of 19 sectors. </li>
<li>Sectors like consumer durables, capital goods, and chemicals led SMID gains, and their momentum is expected to sustain in FY26 amid steady capex and demand.</li>
</ul>


In FY25, India Inc. showed strong resilience despite global challenges, with a sharp earnings rebound in Q4 offsetting earlier softness. 
A standout trend was the clear earnings outperformance of mid- and small-cap (SMID) companies, which led in 15 out of 19 sectors. 
Sectors like consumer durables, capital goods, and chemicals led SMID gains, and their momentum is expected to sustain in FY26 amid steady capex and demand.


Thematic Report : FY25 Earnings Report: Sector Leaders and What’s Shaping FY26

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>



Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.

Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>How did our major investment themes do so far in 2025?</li>
<li>Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on</li>
<li>We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for H2 25</li>
</ul>


How did our major investment themes do so far in 2025?
Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on
We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for H2 25


India

The S&P BSE Sensex Index is a cap-weighted index. The index members have been selected on the basis of liquidity, depth, and floating-stock-adjustment depth and industry representation. Sensex has a base date and value of 100 in 1978-1979. The Index shifted to free-float methodology since 09/01/03. Please see {SNSXOLD Index <GO>} for mid-month options.

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

Anthem Biosciences IPO: Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timing

Anthem Biosciences raised US$394m in its IPO valuing the company at US$3.7bn. The stock lists today. No Fast Entry but the stock should be added to...

Brian Freitas

India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Thematic Report : FY25 Earnings Report: Sector Leaders and What’s Shaping FY26

India Inc. displayed strong resilience in FY25, with mid- and small-cap companies leading in earnings outperformance across various sectors,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mid-Year Themes Review - Part I

A review of the performance of major investment themes in 2025 and outlook for the second half of the year, focusing on our favoured Asian equity...

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Anthem Biosciences IPO: Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timing

Anthem Biosciences raised US$394m in its IPO valuing the company at US$3.7bn. The stock lists today. No Fast Entry but the stock should be added to...

Brian Freitas

India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

​Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Thematic Report : FY25 Earnings Report: Sector Leaders and What’s Shaping FY26

​India Inc. displayed strong resilience in FY25, with mid- and small-cap companies leading in earnings outperformance across various sectors,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

​Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mid-Year Themes Review - Part I

​A review of the performance of major investment themes in 2025 and outlook for the second half of the year, focusing on our favoured Asian equity...

Rikki Malik

Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...

India Inc. displayed strong resilience in FY25, with mid- and small-cap companies leading in earnings outperformance across various sectors,...

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

A review of the performance of major investment themes in 2025 and outlook for the second half of the year, focusing on our favoured Asian equity...