Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>LG Energy has the second-largest market cap on KOSPI. For Fast Entry to fail, the price must lose 90% of its current value. So, Fast Entry is a foregone conclusion. </li>
<li>
The review period ends on February 21. The implementation date is March 11, and the announcement will likely be made public around February 24-25.</li>
<li>The stock with the lowest market cap from May to October last year will leave the Index. The victim is Dongwon F&amp;B, beating Nexen Tire by a very narrow margin. 
</li>
</ul>


LG Energy has the second-largest market cap on KOSPI. For Fast Entry to fail, the price must lose 90% of its current value. So, Fast Entry is a foregone conclusion. 

The review period ends on February 21. The implementation date is March 11, and the announcement will likely be made public around February 24-25.
The stock with the lowest market cap from May to October last year will leave the Index. The victim is Dongwon F&amp;B, beating Nexen Tire by a very narrow margin. 



Clearing up Misunderstandings About LG Energy K200 Fast Entry & Likely Deletion Stock

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> ends 30 April. The KRX will announce the changes in May with implementation at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS)</a> could get Fast Entry to the KOSPI200 Index in March. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a> needs a price jump to get Fast Entry.</li>
<li>We see 6 potential changes to the KOSPI200 in June; most of these are high probability. The potential adds are already outperforming the potential deletes - there should be more.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the KOSPI2 INDEX ends 30 April. The KRX will announce the changes in May with implementation at the close on 9 June.

LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS) could get Fast Entry to the KOSPI200 Index in March. Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS) needs a price jump to get Fast Entry.
We see 6 potential changes to the KOSPI200 in June; most of these are high probability. The potential adds are already outperforming the potential deletes - there should be more.


KOSPI200 June Index Rebalance Preview: High Probability Adds/Deletes

Below is KOSPI 200's screening methodology for the regular bi-annual rebalancing. The rebalancing trading will occur at the close on December 9, and the review period is May 1 to October 31. We will likely hear the rebalancing results in late November.<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="150">
<col width="800">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Status (₩B)"}'>KOSPI 200 bi-annual rebalancing</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Rebalancing"}'>Rebalancing</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Biannually"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Biannually</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Effective date"}'>- Effective date</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - December"}'>- Implementation</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44540}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"mmmm d, yyyy","3":1}'>December 10, 2021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>- Rebalancing trading</td>
<td>December 9, 2021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Review period"}'>- Review period</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"May 1 to October 31, 2021"}'>May 1 to October 31, 2021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="6" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Screening"}'><div>Screening</div></td>
<td rowspan="6" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile). Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile. Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%. If not reach a full 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%. Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification."}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'><ul>
<li>Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile).</li>
<li>Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile.</li>
<li>Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%.</li>
<li>If not reach 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%.</li>
<li>Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification.</li>
</ul></td>
</tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Total float MC (₩B)"}'>Total float MC (₩B)</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1247667.684}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0"}'>1,247,667.7</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/157/original/1.png?1632295209" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231157"></figure></section>

Below is KOSPI 200's screening methodology for the regular bi-annual rebalancing. The rebalancing trading will occur at the close on December 9, and the review period is May 1 to October 31. We will likely hear the rebalancing results in late November.





KOSPI 200 bi-annual rebalancing

Rebalancing
Biannually


- Effective date
Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December


- Implementation
December 10, 2021


- Rebalancing trading
December 9, 2021


- Review period
May 1 to October 31, 2021


Screening

Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile).
Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile.
Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%.
If not reach 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%.
Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification.








Total float MC (₩B)
1,247,667.7

Source: KRX



KOSPI 200 Bi-Annual Rebalancing Preview (December 9)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership -- overweight. At the same time we recommend selectivity in new purchases considering many Chinese equities are extended. In this report we highlight a number of attractive stocks from Chines markets as well as opportunities within Greece, South Africa, India, and Taiwan.

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership -- overweight. At the same time we recommend selectivity in new purchases considering many Chinese equities are extended. In this report we highlight a number of attractive stocks from Chines markets as well as opportunities within Greece, South Africa, India, and Taiwan.

EM Equity Strategy: Remain Overweight China

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE) are showing signs of bottoming due to positive short-term price inflections topside their respective downtrends. Additionally, cyclical Sectors Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Manufacturing exhibit early signs of price and RS bottoms throughout Europe, Japan, and EM.  In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable opportunities within these cyclical Sectors, and provide a technical appraisal of major global indexes.

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE) are showing signs of bottoming due to positive short-term price inflections topside their respective downtrends. Additionally, cyclical Sectors Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Manufacturing exhibit early signs of price and RS bottoms throughout Europe, Japan, and EM.  In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable opportunities within these cyclical Sectors, and provide a technical appraisal of major global indexes.

Global Equity Strategy: Global Outlook Improving

South Korea

S&T Motiv Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of automobile parts. The Company's products include motors, suspension modules, fuel rails, air bags, shock absorbers, and transmissions.  S&T Daewoo also produces car televisions, car navigation systems, and alarm systems.

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S&T Motiv (064960 KS)

Clearing up Misunderstandings About LG Energy K200 Fast Entry & Likely Deletion Stock

There seem to be misunderstandings and confusion about LG Energy's KOSPI 200 Fast Entry. This post seeks to correct these misunderstandings.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 June Index Rebalance Preview: High Probability Adds/Deletes

There could be 2 changes to the KOSPI200 in March & then another 6 in June. Historically, the adds outperform the deletes and the first couple of...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI 200 Bi-Annual Rebalancing Preview (December 9)

This post previews the upcoming regular bi-annual rebalancing of KOSPI 200, whose rebalancing trading will take place on December 9.

Sanghyun Park

EM Equity Strategy: Remain Overweight China

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership --...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Global Outlook Improving

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE) are showing signs of bottoming due to positive short-term price inflections topside their...

Vermilion Research

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